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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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I still think we have plenty of time to bring this thing back. We don’t need whole scale changes 200 miles west with no mechanism to induce it. It’s literally just comes down to the phasing and interactions of both the upper low and southern stream. 90 hours out is an eternity in this set up. 

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Plenty of heavy rain has moved through the area over the last couple hours putting even more of a dent in any potential drought conditions. Rainfall since yesterday now is over 1 inch at most spots. The highest amount so far is the 1.43 at Glenmoore. Here in EN we are now running 0.74" above normal in precip for the month. YTD we are only 1.75" below normal. Winds are gusting as high at 36 MPH during the last few minutes at KMQS Coatesville Airport.

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24 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

Damn the MA folks getting the good winds too? WTH do they need to one up us in the wind department as well

Who cares, weather - smeather. Philly won the Super Bowl! 

Constant steady wind now. Sounds like a long-ass train in the distance been traveling by for an hour plus now...

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Well, whole town on barnegat bay is without power.  My scanner is going nuts. Several pole fires and two sub station faults.   This is going to be a 2 or 3 day repair for parts of town I'm sure.   So happy I invested in a whole home generator.  

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Going to steal a page from Ji...but this was a pretty disappointing winter. We finally look to have a D-J-,F all BN temps yet I am only halfway to avg seasonal snowfall. I realize the clime is different than 25 years ago, but seriously, what do we need to do anymore? You would think with seasonal BN temps we would have cashed in on at least 1 good storm. Just tired of being nickel and dimed. Maybe it was an avg Nina winter. But seriously. The last 9 winters have been depressing asf. And we've had a few Ninos during that period, and we still can't cash in. So I'm not sure what it takes anymore at this point just to reach avg snowfall around here. End rant...see you for 0z runs :guitar:

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2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Going to steal a page from Ji...but this was a pretty disappointing winter. We finally look to have a D-J-,F all BN temps yet I am only halfway to avg seasonal snowfall. I realize the clime is different than 25 years ago, but seriously, what do we need to do anymore? You would think with seasonal BN temps we would have cashed in on at least 1 good storm. Just tired of being nickel and dimed. Maybe it was an avg Nina winter. But seriously. The last 9 winters have been depressing asf. And we've had a few Ninos during that period, and we still can't cash in. So I'm not sure what it takes anymore at this point just to reach avg snowfall around here. End rant...see you for 0z runs :guitar:

Myself, as of today:

Grade: C

*Bunch of sirens just now starting to crank..

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3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

My grade is a C-

Green bursts in the sky attm. Transformers blowing??

I didn't go that low because we did have cold, wind, snow on the ground for much of the winter in one place or another and that crazy ass New Year's Eve  night system with wind rain and hail. As far as snow, F-. I wouldn't even call most of the events we saw this year nickel and dime. More like penny events with totals we measured in the tenths... pathetic.

 

 

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Ok. So. Why was today's forecast so hilariously bad? It was supposed to get above 50, but we never even cracked 40. And now I see possible snow in the overnight? I guess the rain panned out, but still. Underpredicting the temp by ~10°F on the day is somewhat alarming.

image.png

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2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Going to steal a page from Ji...but this was a pretty disappointing winter. We finally look to have a D-J-,F all BN temps yet I am only halfway to avg seasonal snowfall. I realize the clime is different than 25 years ago, but seriously, what do we need to do anymore? You would think with seasonal BN temps we would have cashed in on at least 1 good storm. Just tired of being nickel and dimed. Maybe it was an avg Nina winter. But seriously. The last 9 winters have been depressing asf. And we've had a few Ninos during that period, and we still can't cash in. So I'm not sure what it takes anymore at this point just to reach avg snowfall around here. End rant...see you for 0z runs :guitar:

Gotta be climate change screwing with the Pacific Ocean water temps and effing up the PAC Jet skewing ridging out west

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