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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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8 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Well at least no one made a thread for this in here so we have none of our posters to blame for this threat disappearing.

I was thinking about going George Costanza and doing the complete opposite…

Start a generic storm thread first, then wait for a storm to pop up to discuss it, be it later this year, or next year, or the year after, or the year after that…

At some point the Were Due Index has to pay off!

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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Yeah, assuming February stays below average temperaturewise, when was the last time we got 4 straight below average temperature months? You can bet your bottom dollar that March is going to be warmer than average.

It has been a solid winter with sustained cold and below normal temps since Turkey Day....within several inches of normal snow for the season. While no blockbuster snow - I did use by snow blower 2 times!

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Yes the trends have been quite unfavorable, but I don't think we're done seeing changes with the evolution of the upper level low that tugs and phases with the southern vort. The past 4 runs of the Euro have been all over the place with that, it won't be resolved until we're closer in. The phase is just off too. Not saying the changes with the ULL will result in a better outcome, in fact we could see it continue to get worse with the phase. But the Euro still shows 6-8" SE if Philly in south Jersey. There's no reason to believe we can't squeak that NW a bit in 96-102 hours

trend-ecmwf_full-2025021612-f090.500hv.na.gif

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9 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

I saw that as well that's where I got my money.. :D

I mean the euro had my area at 3.5" and Philly at 6" not in the grand scheme of things far from a decent event with only a small tick

EE rule

ok maybe 5" in Philly i dunno

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4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

NAM past 60hrs is the equivalent of the CRAS. Don't do it to yourself, though it is apropo and quite comical tbh

I know, I feel dirty for looking at.

Is there a 12-step program for weenies who can’t stop looking at models even after they bailed??

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