LehighValleyDad Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 FWIW from a long time reader of this forum. I don't think any solution is off the table yet. It seems that most of the best storms here in the Lehigh Valley often flirt with "it's going to miss to the south and east". I'm not saying this threat will definitely materialize, but I think it's still very possible. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ladies and gentleman we have lost the Icon moment of silence please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: That piece of energy is directly affected by the strength and position of this storm in the 50 50 region so yes Well that needs to get on board or get the F**k gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Ladies and gentleman we have lost the Icon moment of silence please Alright, it’s been fun I’ll see you all next year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Ladies and gentleman we have lost the Icon moment of silence please From 28" to 20" to .5" in 3 runs. I loathe this fucking hobby 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Violentweatherfan said: Alright, it’s been fun I’ll see you all next year. Hopefully in December and we don't have to wait until Feb with the Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: From 28" to 20" to .5" in 3 runs. I loathe this fucking hobby Not giving up till the Ukie folds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Must be like a funeral parlor on the New England side anyone peeked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Must be like a funeral parlor on the New England side anyone peeked in No thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: No thanks Lots of talk about closing and ejecting the thread. If you ask me, it's premature-ejectulation. Either way, New England has relatively small skyscrapers and significantly fewer bridges to jump from. The jumping will result in minimal weenie casualties. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 25 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Bluewave from the NYC forum mentioned how the pacific was impacting our storm chances. Potentially due to climate change, heating up the pacific and making the flow progressive and effing up the jet stream If I’m misquoting Bluewave, my apologies, but the other day he mentioned the PAC jet extension and how it wouldn’t allow much ridging on the west coast. This is a very simple game. You hit the ball. You catch the ball. You need the ridge axis over Boise ID. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Wildwood is still very much in the game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Might need to head to sister’s house in cape may point (if I don’t hang out in Richmond)…should have headed to Maine for tomorrow’s plastering‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS shit the bed, not even a flake N of the turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS shit the bed, not even a flake N of the turnpike. Really thought we had this one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Said I’d give it to 12z tomorrow, but no point dragging this out. So much for another “epic pattern”. Bring on spring! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Worst of all is a miss means we’re gonna have to deal with the wrath of drought guy! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Said I’d give it to 12z tomorrow, but no point dragging this out. So much for another “epic pattern”. Bring on spring! I’m waiting until this storm moves out. Got too invested to give up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just incredible. Story of the winter has been weak and south. No exception here it seems. Jackpot on the gfs is about 10" around Ocean City. Bet that keeps going down... Bring springSent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Last 3 runs of the CMC. Comical. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 …Worst is when your friends and family laugh at you for getting sucked in once again‼️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 See you guys in December. Have a safe summer! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Worst of all is a miss means we’re gonna have to deal with the wrath of drought guy! Don't you love it? LMAO These LR models cannot handle a very progressive flow with strong confluence and are unreliable now. This drought will be epic at this rate. The 1.5 to 2 in rains are now off the table unless a decent squall line forms tomorrow morning before the front comes through. Thunderstorm is in the cards thats for sure This crap on the ground now will be a memory by noon tomorrow. Then what ever moisture is still in the ground will refreeze for another week.Then comes those fricking 40+ mph winds for the 20th time in 6 months drying out the ground even more. I see power outages/tree damage as the news maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, Albedoman said: Don't you love it? LMAO These LR models cannot handle a very progressive flow with strong confluence and are unreliable now. This drought will be epic at this rate. The 1.5 to 2 in rains are now off the table unless a decent squall line forms tomorrow morning before the front comes through. Thunderstorm is in the cards thats for sure This crap on the ground now will be a memory by noon tomorrow. Then what ever moisture is still in the ground will refreeze for another week.Then comes those fricking 40+ mph winds for the 20th time in 6 months drying out the ground even more. I see power outages/tree damage as the news maker. That was NOWHERE near apocalyptic enough‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Well, there's a reason we dont get widespread mecs in a nina. Looking more likely we roll into a Nino for next winter. Recent Nino climo suggests it isnt what it once was. Otoh, we are beyond due for a good above avg snowfall winter. We're not getting an el nino next winter. We have a late peaking la nina that is at or below -1C on the MEI and RONI, like we were in 2022. The la nina will continue into next winter. El nino will need to wait until 2026-27, if not 2027-28. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: See you guys in December. Have a safe summer! See you in March for the St Patrick's storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The Gefs are a nice improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ukie looks good lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ukmet took any snow to tuna town....way east. Good night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ukmet took any snow to tuna town....way east. Good night Still running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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