RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Word on the street is the euro ai is out with the fishes Next up the 84hr NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 minutes ago, RedSky said: So yeah been reading the MA side and hearing about the slightly worse 18z and then realized wait what the run wasn't done at 144hrs, it was likely going to put up a 24-28" meatball over me in the next panel lol. Relief I mean seriously everything right now is a total wait and see but models are nice to look at. The speed and movements of the pieces are going to change over the next 24-48 hours I believe especially once our power house storm leaves Sunday. Once again we are staring at an interesting storm coming in tomorrow to Sunday complete with snow to rain possibly thunderstorms for some followed by power outage 50 mph gusts Sunday into Monday, but yet we find ourselves looking beyond to what is coming in 4.5 days we have been doing this since the thunderstorm hail fest right before Christmas. I’m still in the camp a lot of things can go wrong with this set up the one I fear most is the guide stage right out to sea and or develop too late and bury New England time will tell. If 20” is still on the table come Monday night I’m really excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro ai is sitting on the beach in Bermuda with a watermellon martini complete with the tiny floral umbrella laughing at us. It's so far away you can't not laugh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 14 minutes ago, RedSky said: Euro ai is sitting on the beach in Bermuda with a watermellon martini complete with the tiny floral umbrella laughing at us. It's so far away you can't not laugh. I don't have a good feel about next week if I'm being totally honest and not the usual wiggum playing devils advocate sorta thing. We've been teased with the eps mega snow mean TWICE this season already, and both times, the mid Atlantic took the brunt and we got advisory type stuff. We are in a Nina. And so far climo has played out with Delaware and South Jersey taking the bulk of the storms. Why would this be different? Seriously, change my mind that this is going to morph into even a low-end MECS for SE PA? I just am getting bad vibes from the minute the GFS mirrored March 2001 last night. Prove me wrong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I don't have a good feel about next week if I'm being totally honest and not the usual wiggum playing devils advocate sorta thing. We've been teased with the eps mega snow mean TWICE this season already, and both times, the mid Atlantic took the brunt and we got advisory type stuff. We are in a Nina. And so far climo has played out with Delaware and South Jersey taking the bulk of the storms. Why would this be different? Seriously, change my mind that this is going to morph into even a low-end MECS for SE PA? I just am getting bad vibes from the minute the GFS mirrored March 2001 last night. Prove me wrong. 96hr NAM will be out at 10pm stay the course 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, RedSky said: 96hr NAM will be out at 10pm stay the course Yo, you literally made me spit my beer out hahaha. Well played sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I don't have a good feel about next week if I'm being totally honest and not the usual wiggum playing devils advocate sorta thing. We've been teased with the eps mega snow mean TWICE this season already, and both times, the mid Atlantic took the brunt and we got advisory type stuff. We are in a Nina. And so far climo has played out with Delaware and South Jersey taking the bulk of the storms. Why would this be different? Seriously, change my mind that this is going to morph into even a low-end MECS for SE PA? I just am getting bad vibes from the minute the GFS mirrored March 2001 last night. Prove me wrong. I’m afraid to say the trend all season has been South no reason at this point to think any different. I think we’ll know by Sunday if Lucy is warming up or not. I’ve Nickle and dimed my way to 15” so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 hours ago, Albedoman said: I want to give all you snow weenies out there a heads up. I am currently employed as a township consultant for planning. (Yeah retirement hogwash need the bucks LOL) Last night at the local township meeting, I was told by the public works director that they been told by salt suppliers that many (dozens) municipalities are OUT OF SALT. They the township maybe resorting to sand. The salt suppliers were told it will be 10-15 days before the municipalities y will be resupplied. Will not help after Sunday thats for sure. I expect a state disaster will be issued sometime after Sunday for any major storm over 6" so as the salt bins can filled in a hurry. The media has been kept out the picture on this entire situation but not for long because what municipality wants to broadcast to the media that they are out of salt or have a limited amount to their residents? Yes these numerous "nuisance" storm events have quickly escalated to a road disaster as many municipalities have already expended their salt budget twice over. Once the news gets out folks, hold on to hat. Thus far the media is too damn busy covering social BS and Trump doings. They better worry about their own dam backyard first as I always say. really this is an issue on the municipalities. And I work for one. We are near out, in a major city. no training, and no calibration of salt spreaders. Bad recipe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 23 minutes ago, RedSky said: Euro ai is sitting on the beach in Bermuda with a watermellon martini complete with the tiny floral umbrella laughing at us. It's so far away you can't not laugh. Unless the gfs and Euro AI are too focused on the southern shortwave heading out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said: Unless the gfs and Euro AI are too focused on the southern shortwave heading out. It was really far ahead of other guidance with the lead shortwave at just 132hrs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: really this is an issue on the municipalities. And I work for one. We are near out, in a major city. no training, and no calibration of salt spreaders. Bad recipe Waiting on doge to put snow plows and salt on the chopping block "get a horse, use skis these things are an unnecessary expense" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Increasing cloudiness 26f humidity 53% dew point 12f wind calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 To be fair tho we haven’t had a tpv dropping down from Canada to phase and capture all year. Every wave that has hit snj and deleware has been a whole different evolution. I’m really confident in a region wide event here. Let’s hope the 0z runs throw us a bone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 NAM is a little better for snow tomorrow in southeast PA 1-2" southeast and 2-4" northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: NAM is a little better for snow tomorrow in southeast PA 1-2" southeast and 2-4" northwest Approximately what action news was saying at 6:00 p.m. . Coating to an inch from Philly to the local burbs then one to two inches upper Bucks and Montgomery county into Berks. I'll go with the lesser snow amounts because this crap has changed over way quicker than forecasted in the previous events... 28f and clouds rolling in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 See you guys late in the week for the Feb 25 system tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: See you guys late in the week for the Feb 25 system tracking. Another Day 10 storm? My favorite! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GFS won't play ball here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Sigh. GFS remains squash city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Hearing the CMC is gonna be a good one... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 CMC will get her done nice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Canadian mixes up to route 202 while the LV/Poconos get absolutely crushed. 24-30” jackpot from York through the coal region into the Poconos. Now we just need the GFS to join the party… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Typical model bias at play with the amped Canadian and the progressive euro. Let’s split the middle and we are all happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Sign me up for the cmc 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, coastal front said: Typical model bias at play with the amped Canadian and the progressive euro. Let’s split the middle and we are all happy. Progressive GFS you mean? The Euro doesn’t have a progressive bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Progressive GFS you mean? The Euro doesn’t have a progressive bias. Yeah my bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 UKMET Atari graphics promise a big hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 0z ECM another big hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Holy shit the Euro is insane! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yeah better than 12z it's your big dog 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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