ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Not sure what I am missing with all the doom and gloom. The NBM is far from shabby snow wise next week from Tuesday 7am thru Friday 7am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Going to need a miracle of the Meadowlands change after the Sunday morning system clears the region and full sampling happens on the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yeah ,but there are issues with our epic pattern. Not we have energy and a trof trying to set up in the SW, the EPO ridge is displaced too far West, the waning HL block is in the western side of Canada, and the SER is flexing it's muscle. The EPO ridge too far west has been my primary concern I have been watching the trends in that direction the last couple days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Not sure what I am missing with all the doom and gloom. The NBM is far from shabby snow wise next week from Tuesday 7am thru Friday 7am Yeah it still looks fine for getting at least one decent storm. Guess my snow expectations are lower than they used to be. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yeah ,but there are issues with our epic pattern. Not we have energy and a trof trying to set up in the SW, the EPO ridge is displaced too far West, the waning HL block is in the western side of Canada, and the SER is flexing it's muscle. plenty of time for relatively small changes in the above... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Not sure what I am missing with all the doom and gloom. The NBM is far from shabby snow wise next week from Tuesday 7am thru Friday 7am Ahhh the blender model were every op and ensemble suite known to man is thrown in along with some of Trumps orange face cream and blended 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: The EPO ridge too far west has been my primary concern I have been watching the trends in that direction the last couple days. I kept telling ppl stop looking ahead to the 20th+.....and watch the 5th-14th. But I got ripped a new one. The same ppl do the same thing every year and never learn. One year they will hit it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I'm going back to work. 18z happy hour better be happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I kept telling ppl stop looking ahead to the 20th+.....and watch the 5th-14th. But I got ripped a new one. The same ppl do the same thing every year and never learn. Yep, mint. Sinners I'll tell you, sinners! Need a couple of wacks with a 2x4 to straighten them out... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 Happy hour will suck us all back in. Buckle up. Enjoy the ride. Keep your head and arms inside the mixer at all times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Sinners I'll tell you, sinners! Need a couple of wacks with a 2x4 to straighten them out... Where's a nun when you need one?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I kept telling ppl stop looking ahead to the 20th+.....and watch the 5th-14th. But I got ripped a new one. The same ppl do the same thing every year and never learn. One year they will hit it. I just never understand the folks that are gleeful after 1 run and in the toilet after a bad one. The truth is never in the extremes....watch the ensembles and you will never be misled IMHO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 46 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ahhh the blender model were every op and ensemble suite known to man is thrown in along with some of Trumps orange face cream and blended Let's hope Trumpy throws out the bad models along with all the other grifters he is showing to the door!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Let's hope Trumpy throws out the bad models along with all the other grifters he is showing to the door!! Let's hope Trumpy gets impeached and Musk gets deported soon. Also, Trump is the biggest grifter of them all. 3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Blue Dream said: Let's hope Trumpy gets impeached and Musk gets deported soon. Also, Trump is the biggest grifter of them all. 1 minute ago, Blue Dream said: Let's hope Trumpy gets impeached and Musk gets deported soon. Also, Trump is the biggest grifter of them all. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Ok no politics on the weather side, that is a slope as slippery as my walk way from yesterday and still is 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 As long as it’s snow I’m happy, hell that sleet accumulation yesterday was fine for me. I just keep my expectations in check every year the guidance does this and most fall for it. Enjoy the SB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 NWS has growing confidence in plowable snow this week "While it’s still four to five days away, confidence is increasing the region will see a plowable snow event sometime during the mid- week period next week. It’s going to be active regardless with the first system arriving on Tuesday and sticking around through early Wednesday. The second system will arrive on Thursday and persist into Friday.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I’d temper expectations for 02/08 storm model’s are showing all precipitation as snow when it’s not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18z shunted south for early next week. Brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 4 minutes ago, Duca892 said: 18z shunted south for early next week. Brutal Been the theme all winter, lot of 5 day fantasy storms that trend weaker and south. Super frustrating 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 NYC and Boston get theirs tomorrow. DC and Richmond get theirs early next week. And we get rain late week. Damn the Eagles better win!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 SECS on the GFS for next weekend. Here we go again… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I always like a south Goofus a few days prior to an event - let the north trend begin at 0z!!! NWS discussion says their confidence is increasing for a mid week plowable event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, LVblizzard said: SECS on the GFS for next weekend. Here we go again… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 So, with next week in the dumpster, how we looking for our big grand finale major drool-worthy loaded powder keg pattern after the 20th? We still good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Don't do it to yourself. Seriously,walk away: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Don't do it to yourself. Seriously,walk away: Or better - the last lyric - Know when to RUN!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well, I was bored and reading thru the weenie handbook, and I found a glimmer of hope....page 4 section b: "wait for the energy in question to get onshore before throwing in the towel on any given storm as things will begin to trend favorably". Hmmm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The fact the 18z Euro ensemble is the same as 12z says the operational was a lower outlier....plenty of time to come back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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