LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 04:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:28 AM The cold snap looks crazy next week. Wind chills could get below -10 on Tuesday morning. When was the last time it got this cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted yesterday at 04:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:30 AM 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: They are gravitating to crossing the streams …Please include which “storm(s)” you guys are detailing here‼️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 04:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:33 AM GFS went from crushing everything into oblivion next week after the cold arives to ice then rain as early as Thur-Fri. Total model mayhem 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM 4 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: …Please include which “storm(s)” you guys are detailing here‼️ That was Sunday the 202 thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 04:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:39 AM Something happened to my cache for the CMC midweek next week damnit, no storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 05:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:17 AM 0z Ukie is 3-5" region wide Sunday (Even a tad more with kuchie ratios) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 05:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:34 AM Euro has flurries for all of us on Sunday. The look at H5 did improve from 18z though FWIW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 05:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:53 AM #1 and #4 ranked models vs #2 and #3 Game day Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 05:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:56 AM We shouldn't feel bad the euro just royally screwed all the south of their snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted yesterday at 11:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:50 AM Hell back to another 190+ hours out crush job by the GFS this morning for next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM Gfs gives a sizable NW shift at 6z for Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:55 AM 6 hours ago, LVblizzard said: Euro has flurries for all of us on Sunday. The look at H5 did improve from 18z though FWIW. 6z euro with a banger for the Sunday PM thing...4-7" 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 12:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:00 PM 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 6z euro with a banger for the Sunday PM thing...4-7" CMC only model that has been consistent with this storm with a nice 3-6, 4-8" for the area. GFS still shows a nice SECS-MECS for later next week. Fantasy land loves the ice storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 12:03 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:03 PM 9 hours ago, 21chuck said: I appreciate that the philly subforum does not make storm threads prematurely. It seems to be a curse. Since i have been here (2012) I have seen one thread about a storm more than a week out and that was the 2016 Blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted yesterday at 12:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:07 PM Ya euro is nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted yesterday at 12:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:14 PM 4 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Ya euro is nice Can we lock it in, if we’re going by the nickle and dime events that just might be a fifty center 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 12:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:35 PM 32 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Since i have been here (2012) I have seen one thread about a storm more than a week out and that was the 2016 Blizzard. You're welcome. I think im 6 for 6 creating threads for big storms over the years. Only make em when they are actually looking good and not some roll the dice crap. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 12:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:56 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
21chuck Posted yesterday at 01:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:08 PM 1 hour ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Since i have been here (2012) I have seen one thread about a storm more than a week out and that was the 2016 Blizzard Probably a discussion for another thread, but I recall there being remarkably strong early forecast confidence for that one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 01:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:15 PM 8 minutes ago, 21chuck said: Probably a discussion for another thread, but I recall there being remarkably strong early forecast confidence for that one. 40 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You're welcome. I think im 6 for 6 creating threads for big storms over the years. Only make em when they are actually looking good and not some roll the dice crap. Yeah I just looked at the thread again. It's a great read if you're bored at work and need to kill time. Everyone was screaming how good the models looked a week out. Good times, good times. I say if the Euro catches on to late next week by Saturday then start a thread... Right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted yesterday at 01:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:18 PM 40 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You're welcome. I think im 6 for 6 creating threads for big storms over the years. Only make em when they are actually looking good and not some roll the dice crap. Thanks for this information. Now that I know you haven't created a thread for a big storm in 9 years (since the Big One in January 2016), if you create one, I know it's happening! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 01:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:26 PM 1 hour ago, anthonyweather said: Gfs gives a sizable NW shift at 6z for Sunday It will come back! I’ll be back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted yesterday at 01:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:36 PM The CMC has been holding strong and consistent this entire week for Sunday- Monday event, I find that refreshing. The GFS has been floundering and the Euro came back toward the CMC solution. The totals have been all over the place but it appears 6-8+ in may come more into line later tonight IMHO. I would post a thread later tonight after the OZ runs if the start aligning with my thoughts 0f 6-8 in. This would be a WSW event. A watch maybe needed by Sat morning if this scenario comes to fruition. The key will be the high snow ratios too. The storm may move quickly but the ratios and cold in place will make for a winter wonderland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 PM Some light snow this afternoon and evening with a clipper system could leave between 0.3" to as much as 1" of snow in spots. We should see our temperatures briefly rise above freezing on both Friday and Saturday afternoon. Snow may arrive on Saturday but will quickly turn to rain. An arctic cold front will cross the area on Sunday morning. A storm will form along this boundary. Now where this storm forms will determine if this is a plowable snow event or not. Either way the coldest weather since December 2022 will follow. Temperatures will fall to around 10 degrees on Monday morning and if we have a solid snowpack we could see low temperatures for both Tuesday and Wednesday morning next week below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted yesterday at 02:20 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:20 PM I'd be down for this: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 02:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:42 PM The NAM is either on to something or completely out to lunch. It has absolutely nothing, and I mean nothing, for Sunday. It doesn’t even want to form a low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted yesterday at 02:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:43 PM We're certainly not going to get a long-lead storm chase in this pattern. Way too much movement. If we're lucky we can build general consensus under 60 hours. I think we're getting close for Sunday, so maybe by tomorrow night we have something we can feel confident about projecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 03:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:21 PM ICON and RGEM say no way to the NAM solution. ICON has a 3-6” event for all of us, RGEM rains on the city and gives the LV/Poconos 6-10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted yesterday at 03:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:44 PM 23 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: ICON and RGEM say no way to the NAM solution. ICON has a 3-6” event for all of us, RGEM rains on the city and gives the LV/Poconos 6-10”. Follow the bouncing baroclinic zone lol gfs will show 6-10” for PHL and sunny for the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM Flurries here in Reading! 23°F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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