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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion


JTA66
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1 minute ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Yeah little late for us here Philly proper but overall a nice hit on 18Z. Two runs in a row we are there. Euro also shows it. We shall watch... 

Seems fitting if we miss to South on the first one then miss late on the Miller B development with the second. I'll weenie tag myself and see my own way out now, ty :weenie:

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Never made it above freezing yesterday with a high of 30 and low of 25.  But the wind and perhaps some insolation were enough to make my 1/2" disappear almost everywhere including grassy surfaces (at least on the S/SW-facing part of the house.  The N/NE side still has leftovers).

Currently 23 (my low so far this morning) and partly sunny with dp 12.

Since the last GFS run was mentioned regarding next weekend, the below caught my attention! :o:P

(ETA - added the 0z EC for comparison)

floop-gfs-snow-2025010506.sn10_acc-imp.us_ne-01052025.gif

floop-ecmwf_full-snow-2025010500.sn10_acc-imp.us_ne-01052025.gif

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Another sub-freezing day on tap today before light snow arrives toward daybreak tomorrow from southwest to northeast across the area. The well-advertised snow event should bring the most relative snow to areas closest to the Maryland and Delaware borders. Depending on how much snow falls in your area we could see some blowing and drifting snow issues by Tuesday afternoon. Cold temperatures but dry for the rest of the week before another potential winter event may arrive next weekend.

image.png.f7907294351ab0f4a99c27d4d6451454.pngimage.thumb.png.19e71101ed0406cbde59fcee9cfe5233.png

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Could end up with something next weekend but if I'm being totally honest, the GEFS and GEPS both moved significantly away from a large coastal storm now. Haven't seen 12z eps yet. Most individual solutions are no phase and any wave slides off the SE coast or sloppy phase with just a lighter event and fropa. 

Regardless, pattern still looks active after this so plenty more chances next few weeks.

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