Kevin Reilly Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: 0z NAM is ago for Friday night holiday snow. Let's reel this one in. Think the dynamic models way to go here let’s Go!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We do cold/dry and warm/wet better than any region. ..I'm willing to wager on this. Eh did you forget cold/rain? That would be our specialty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 GFS and RGEM a dusting to 1" snow Friday night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 ECM 1-3" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 19 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM 1-3" Also has some mood flakes and a coating on Christmas. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Today will be our last milder day as a cold front and some rain will cross the area later today into this evening. Close to normal temperatures tomorrow before a turn to much colder than typical for the weekend before Christmas. By Friday afternoon we may see some snow developing before the coldest weather so far this season arrives for the weekend. Highs should remain in the 20's Saturday through Monday with lows by Sunday night not too far from 10 degrees above zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 6z NAM for the "potential" Friday PM event... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 12z NAM/GFS still like an area of 1-3” in the general vicinity of the Delaware River. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 It’s a Christmas miracle on the Canadian! 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Can the GGEM be right just this one time? A Christmas miracle? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Euro backed off significantly for Friday and has nothing for Christmas. Dr. No living up to its name. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 23 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Euro backed off significantly for Friday and has nothing for Christmas. Dr. No living up to its name. Yeah Dr. Grinch makes his appearance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 hour ago, LVblizzard said: Euro backed off significantly for Friday and has nothing for Christmas. Dr. No living up to its name. Shocker 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 18z NAM still trying to squeeze a tiny bit of snow across the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 18 Author Share Posted December 18 Just give me mood flakes around Christmas and I’ll be happy. I’ll get greedy after New Years! 50F with rain on the doorstep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 9 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Can the GGEM be right just this one time? A Christmas miracle? Even if we don't get a Christmas miracle this year, we'll always have 1998. On the morning of Dec. 22, temps were in the mid-60s before dropping drastically throughout the day. That set the stage for an unexpected snowstorm on Dec. 23-24. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 0z grinch euro's heart grew ten times it's size with 1-2" Friday evening and flakes on Christmas Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 CMC has ging on by a thread for Christmas Eve/Day but continues to slow precip advance so subsequently it allows the BL to warm enough and the snow chart keeps ticking N. But let's not get ahead of ourselves....NAM says we whiten things Friday possibly enough to last thru the holiday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 I’m hugging the 12k and tossing the 3k. That’s gotta be allowed in the weenie rulebook somewhere, right? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 With our 0.26" of rain last evening, we are now above normal for rain this month and up to 95% of normal precipitation for the year to date. Today starts a stretch of at least the next week averaging at or below normal temperatures for Christmas Week. We will also have a couple chances of snow. The first chance is tomorrow afternoon into the night and again on Christmas Eve. It will turn very cold over the weekend with low temperatures in the single digits for many by Monday morning. Today also marks the 15th anniversary (2009) of one of our larger Christmas week snowstorms when between 10" to 15" of snow fell across the area. That snow led to one of our 2 most recent White Christmas (last one was in 2012). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 11 minutes ago, Physicsteve said: I’m hugging the 12k and tossing the 3k. That’s gotta be allowed in the weenie rulebook somewhere, right? I semi- take this back. I’m not taking any flakes for granted and appreciate whatever we get whenever we get it. Desperate times calls for desperate perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 3KM vs 12 KM NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 37 minutes ago, Physicsteve said: I’m hugging the 12k and tossing the 3k. That’s gotta be allowed in the weenie rulebook somewhere, right? Rule number one we hug the snowiest and most obscure model. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 Honestly we all know the NAM is overdone. Up this way I expect a few periods of mood flakes/flurries at best. Maybe we can verify an actual "snow shower". But this might be overly optimistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 Agreed. If anything, do we cash in more on the decaying/transferring low or developing coastal? Would more (or less) on the front end indicate the amount of coastal involvement or are they not correlated? I guess Im rooting for front end and then go from there. Delayed=Denied. Page 2, paragraph 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 12z NAM…aaaaaand it’s gone. Still has the norlun at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 NAM gives most folks at least a little snow....if you choose to believe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 Actually some decent agreement on the 12z models with the IVT over eastern PA/northern NJ. The wild card is the initial wave of precip tomorrow afternoon. Some models have it, some don’t. If that’s stronger than expected we could get an extra inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 ECM went all Santa ho ho ho at 12z 1-2" southeast regions and 2-4" northwest. Up to 12 hour period of falling flakes. *Friday evening/Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 19 Share Posted December 19 Euro tries to paint a general 2" to 5" event NW Of I95 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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