clskinsfan Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 RGEM and Euro like a couple of inches for west of the Blue Ridge on Sunday. American models not so much. Some snow TV would be nice at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 What the best timing for the Catoctins? I'd like to ride up there for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 Euro seems to like snow TV for east of 15 maybe I can log a fifth day of a trace 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 00Z 3k NAM holds onto 850’s a couple of hours longer than 18Z did here in the WV panhandle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 Well, NWS Blacksburg's 'in'. Hiked up WWA's for a mixed bag of stuff up to an inch total before going over to rain by noon. We shall see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 GFS a little more aggressive. Tempting to drive west for a few hours just to see an inch or two since winter is over after this storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 Good to see the American models come in line. Thinking snow TV is likely at least. Cold this morning for sure. Down to 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 If it’s snow it’s a coup. Will take it anywhere we can get it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 GGEM did cut back a little bit from last night. But would still take this in a heartbeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 UK looks a little better than last night as well. Around an inch in the Winchester area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 Warnings up for the mountains and advisories for 81/west corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 12z Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 MDZ001-501-WVZ501-503-505-150300- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0011.241215T1200Z-241216T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0011.241215T1200Z-241216T1200Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Grant-Western Mineral- Western Pendleton- 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to 3 inches and ice accumulations up to one quarter of an inch. Up to 6 inches of snow possible. * WHERE...In Maryland, Extreme Western Allegany and Garrett Counties. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Western Mineral, and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 7 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. The combination of snow and ice will result in power outages. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of snow and sleet is likely from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon, transitioning to a period of freezing rain by Sunday afternoon. Freezing rain or drizzle may persist through early Monday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 MDZ003-VAZ025>030-WVZ051-052-150300- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.241215T1200Z-241216T0600Z/ Washington-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren- Morgan-Berkeley- 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northwest and western Virginia, and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The combination of snow and ice could result in sporadic power outages. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of snow, sleet and freezing rain is likely from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. Precipitation transitions to rain at elevations below 2000 ft Sunday afternoon. Above 2000 ft, a period of freezing rain or drizzle may persist through Sunday night. The highest ice accumulation will be at elevations above 2500 ft, with a glaze of ice possible near the valley floor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 MDZ502-VAZ503-504-WVZ050-055-502-504-506-150300- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.241215T1200Z-241216T0600Z/ Central and Eastern Allegany-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton- 1226 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, western Virginia, and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The combination of snow and ice could result in sporadic power outages. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A period of snow and sleet is likely from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon, transitioning to a period of freezing rain by Sunday afternoon. Freezing rain or drizzle may persist through early Monday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 HRRR actually went a little snowier at 18Z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 RGEM went boom. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 Tomorrow will really depend on how the precip moves in and how long cold hangs on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 If this was 6 hours earlier we would’ve likely gotten on the board w a minor accumulation even in the immediate metro area; just a bit unlucky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 33 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Tomorrow will really depend on how the precip moves in and how long cold hangs on. Thanks John Madden. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 GFS bullish west of I-81. About 4” imby if it doesn’t all wash away! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 WSW for the cabin. I'll have to enjoy it from remote camera this go around though. Heading out there for Christmas, hopefully there's snow. Would be my first white Xmas in 20yrs I believe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 14 Author Share Posted December 14 27/18. High of 31 today. Cold is here. Lets just get the precip here early and its game on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 14 Share Posted December 14 1 hour ago, DDweatherman said: Thanks John Madden. Sure thing DT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 15 Share Posted December 15 2.7 inches according to the 18z GFS. I'll let you know when it starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 15 Share Posted December 15 Lot of variability in the 00z runs - hope western folks can score! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15 Author Share Posted December 15 Went to an ugly sweater party, came back and saw the American models are hating this event.....Whatever. Honestly. Give me some snow TV with a coating and I am happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 15 Share Posted December 15 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Went to an ugly sweater party, came back and saw the American models are hating this event.....Whatever. Honestly. Give me some snow TV with a coating and I am happy. GFS and RGEM like it a lot. Not sure those are the two models I’d want on my side, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 15 Author Share Posted December 15 I will say radar looks solid. If it can make it here before the cold air gets eroded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 15 Share Posted December 15 Sleet with a few mangled snowflakes in Lynchburg, maybe a trace of accumulation on grassy/elevated surfaces. This wasn't in the forecast for us - was supposed to be all rain. 33/31. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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