Wednesday Dec 11, 2024 1.5-4" rainfall, wind gusts coastal NJ LI CT 50-70MPH 1PM-mIdnight w power outages and Wed afternoon-eve OBS

[Sn0waddict]

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I agree.    Shifted everything including the big winds east

Bigtime fail by the 12z 3k NAM. Miles apart from 18z for this area.

[Brian5671]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

Bigtime fail by the 12z 3k NAM. Miles apart from 18z for this area.

RGEM too was off at 12z.    Most models going back to yesterday were too far west with the heaviest precip...certainly not flood watch type rains west of New Haven or Central LI

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

RGEM too was off at 12z.    Most models going back to yesterday were too far west with the heaviest precip...certainly not flood watch type rains west of New Haven or Central LI

The WAR is not really a presence this year as much, at least so far, so we may not see the so often west bump we've seen with every system the last few winters unless that changes.

[bluewave]

12 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The WAR is not really a presence this year as much, at least so far, so we may not see the so often west bump we've seen with every system the last few winters unless that changes.

The WAR was much stronger than forecast back around the start of December. But the Pacific Jet has been very fast also. So the trough couldn’t go negative tilt fast enough for areas west of NYC to get the heavier rains that Long Island is getting. Very northern stream dominant pattern.

[snywx]

Its not exactly dry here to the NW.

Temp 51°

1.15" so far 

[lee59]

There still seems to be a squall line and heavy rain to our south and west that should come thru in a few hours if it holds together. So far windy and showery but nothing as predicted. Lots of heavy rain to the south and east over the ocean.

[IrishRob17]

13 minutes ago, snywx said:

Its not exactly dry here to the NW.

Temp 51°

1.15" so far 

.85" IMBY from this storm, 1.19" for the week IMBY.

[snywx]

24 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

.85" IMBY from this storm, 1.19" for the week IMBY.

1.51” for the week here 

[MANDA]

More heavy rain approaching my area from the west.

[FPizz]

1 hour ago, Poker2015 said:

We better get some heavier stuff later or it will be tough to even get to 1"

Squall line to our west now

[Roger Smith]

TRW 70% likely 22z to 23z in NYC metro, 23z to 00z sw CT and LI. Expect  first T reports from cNJ 21z to 22z. 

Slight bow echo on cold front near PA-NJ border now. Gusts to 45 possible and 35 likely. Could be minor svr wx risk by 01-03z in e NE, gusts to 60 kts (all gust references earlier in kts)

[keno19]

Nassau county south shore wind gust 43mph   no 60 mph yet

[winterwx21]

Only 0.59" here so far. Looks as if the next batch will get us to about 1 inch for the day. Definitely an underperformer. I was actually able to go for a run during the late afternoon. Just some light rain with very little wind, and it felt good running in low 60s. I sure didn't think I'd be able to run today considering how bad the forecast looked. 

[jm1220]

11 minutes ago, keno19 said:

Nassau county south shore wind gust 43mph   no 60 mph yet

So far in Long Beach it’s just breezy. At this point if the winds don’t kick up they likely won’t. Just a nasty evening. 

[keno19]

HRRRR  not even picking up the squall line.  hmmmm  models have over done precip and wind.   This def is not even wind advisory level so far, neverless a high wind warning

[jm1220]

41 minutes ago, keno19 said:

HRRRR  not even picking up the squall line.  hmmmm  models have over done precip and wind.   This def is not even wind advisory level so far, neverless a high wind warning

So far heavy meh with some scattered shrug. 

[steve392]

Areal flood watch issued for my area. Moderate to heavy rains. 

[Snowlover11]

pouring here

[Brian5671]

Everything ended up further east.   RI has 3-4 inches of rain so far and the winds ended up in eastern NE.    Models too far west with it all.

[jm1220]

39 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Everything ended up further east.   RI has 3-4 inches of rain so far and the winds ended up in eastern NE.    Models too far west with it all.

Models got the NJ to W LI shaft zone right though. If I’m lucky I’ll end with 1.5”. Probably 1.2-1.3”. 

[Pequest]

Things beginning to wind down out here. Only had a peak 24MPH wind gust but 2.01" for the day after a high of 62. 

[snywx]

Temp 38°

1.51" for the day 

[sussexcountyobs]

Rain is currently changing to snow here 

[lee59]

Rain tapering down here, 1.24 inches. Peak gust 36mph. Both less than expected.

[WestBabylonWeather]

Here in western Suffolk wind wasn’t as bad as suggested and I ended with 2” in 24 hours. A good storm but nothing too crazy

 

[Tatamy]

Storm total for this event 1.80”.  Cold air arriving here with the temp down to 38.

[weathermedic]

.87 here 

[Poker2015]

1.07" 

[gravitylover]

1.4, 2" since Monday.

[IrishRob17]

1.54 for the storm, 1.88 for the week and 1.97 for the month.