Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[CT Rain]

I love the NAM

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Eff that model. JFC.

Lmao.  JFC(Just F’n Crazy)?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Lol  7" on Martha's Vineyard

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Eff that model. JFC.

even perking my interest again.. if it wasn't for everything else coming west so far I would just laugh at it 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

even perking my interest again.. if it wasn't for everything else coming west so far I would just laugh at it 

Ya it has some support..

[ineedsnow]

[CoastalWx]

Need more dynamics here. Would be some glop.

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I love the NAM

Lol... Love the way you just poke in every now and then. 

[WeatherWilly]

I'm glad I'm spending Christmas on the Cape.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Need more dynamics here. Would be some glop.

Man glop.  As long as it’s white…it’s good glop. Festive. 

[CoastalWx]

3K well west too 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Man glop.  As long as it’s white…it’s good glop. Festive. 

All my man glop has always been white, personally.

 

[dendrite]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Man glop.  As long as it’s white…it’s good glop.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Man glop.  As long as it’s white…it’s good glop. Festive. 

Won’t do much if it’s 34. Gonna need the man lift like it shows down the cape. So back this biatch up.

[dryslot]

That is a huge shift, I'm not going to do it.

[CT Rain]

5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Lol... Love the way you just poke in every now and then. 

There's been NOTHING to talk about.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

All my man glop has always been white, personally.

 

You’re killing it tonight Astro lmao. 

[kdxken]

8 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I love the NAM

Christmas Eve will find us
Where the love light gleams
It will snow for Christmas
If only on the NAM.

[ORH_wxman]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Won’t do much if it’s 34. Gonna need the man lift like it shows down the cape. So back this biatch up.

That’s a pretty solid CF. Like upper 20s to mid 30s over 10-15 miles on the high res stuff. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Need more dynamics here. Would be some glop.

A solid 2-3” of Glop would freeze over hard on Saturday and be a glacier for Christmas for you 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

A solid 2-3” of Glop would freeze over hard on Saturday and be a glacier for Christmas for you 

Yeah at least it gets nice and cold behind the storm. Airmass of yore. Hopefully this isn’t another fake trend and everyone can pick up at least enough to cover the grass. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

A solid 2-3” of Glop would freeze over hard on Saturday and be a glacier for Christmas for you 

That was where I was going with the glop idea too…. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That’s a pretty solid CF. Like upper 20s to mid 30s over 10-15 miles on the high res stuff. 

3k likes Ray. We can’t have that now lol. 

[brooklynwx99]

i’m gonna toss the NAM until it has support from a single reliable model. the LR RAP doesn’t count lmao 

if the RGEM moves NW i’ll be intrigued 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

A solid 2-3” of Glop would freeze over hard on Saturday and be a glacier for Christmas for you 

I know how it goes here. It’s cold aloft,  but the airmass in the lower levels is not that cold. Need that flip like far SE MA gets. Interior SE MA would do well.

 

Anyways it’s the nam. I don’t feel comfortable talking too much about it lol.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I know how it goes here. It’s cold aloft,  but the airmass in the lower levels is not that cold. Need that flip like far SE MA gets. Interior SE MA would do well.

 

Anyways it’s the nam. I don’t feel comfortable talking to much about it lol.

But tonight both of them went the same way…any more credence lent to that idea? 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 for Phil on the 3K.  4” for Ray?

[eduggs]

A serious step back towards the wild 6z run. Not quite as expansive on the NW, but still great for eastern SNE. We probably won't know until nowcast time.

[ORH_wxman]

Airmass on Saturday night/Sunday is good delivery for us. Montreal express vector. If we can grab some snow cover, it’s a taking-the-under type of forecast…rarity the last few winters. 

[ineedsnow]

1z HRRR coming in slightly west of the last run so trend hasn't stopped