Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

'syzygy' storm, 1986 i believe it was.   then later on 10 years later, the 'megalopolis blizzard,'  1996  ... at first i was thinking there's been a dearth (historically ) of events in the first 10 days of january's. then i'm like, whaaaa.    i think it's just the last 10 year's worth of winters doing a fantastic job at gaslighting my memory ..heh.  

starting to like the 2-6th

edit,wrong thread -

Was it 2018 that had that massive bomb in early January?

[Cyclone-68]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

My worst fear (and quite possible) is that this flashes to a blue bomb in SE MA in that rt 3 to rt 24 corridor to my south and I’m left looking at a coating Saturday morning. 
That would be the third time in a row I’d have to go south to get my winter fix lol. And yes I would take the kids there.

Snow and thunderstorms it seems 

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Was it 2018 that had that massive bomb in early January?

Yes....1/4/18

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes....1/4/18

Too bad that cut off over Myrtle Beach...would have been an all-timer-

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Too bad that cut off over Myrtle Beach...would have been an all-timer-

It was fairly progressive too. It dumped a ton in 10 hours.

[dryslot]

Bu bye.

[Hazey]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Bu bye.

You say good bye and I say hello...lol

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Bu bye.

Dryslot, the grim reaper of model run updates, has spoken.

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, Hazey said:

You say good bye and I say hello...lol

Enjoy

[SouthCoastMA]

I think I've spent too much time tracking what will likely surmount to some rain and maybe a coating if lucky

[ROOSTA]

Where is the NEXT one?

I'm still looking E for any tropical system. LOL
Local meteorologists speaking of the next blast of cold air (drop of 10F into the 60's) so break out the parkas. Then it's only 3 days, back to the 70's and 80's.
I live vicariously till I move from this gun wielding, nut-job State.    

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ROOSTA said:

Where is the NEXT one?

I'm still looking E for any tropical system. LOL
Local meteorologists speaking of the next blast of cold air (drop of 10F into the 60's) so break out the parkas. Then it's only 3 days, back to the 70's and 80's.
I live vicariously till I move from this gun wielding, nut-job State.    

IMO, your governed down there pretty nicely.  But ya, I need seasons in my life still, so I won’t be living in FLA anytime soon. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I think I've spent too much time tracking what will likely surmount to some rain and maybe a coating if lucky

Tried to tell ya.

[dryslot]

Never had a chance up here but i was rooting for some to at least get something out of this, To bad because its a potent system that goes bonkers over the Maritime's.

[40/70 Benchmark]

EURO AI model kind of looks like the GFS with CJ in my area.

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Tried to tell ya.

Granted, I was more intrigued due to the  proximity to Christmas..so I'd be happy with a coating or inch. But the COC tease of getting the ccb close enough was just that. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI sucked with this overall. Time to lower it into a pool of molten metal. 

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI sucked with this overall. Time to lower it into a pool of molten metal. 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/12/festive-lights-snows-possible-leading.html

[40/70 Benchmark]

Should say "mainly rain/non accumulating snow, but whatever-

[brooklynwx99]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI sucked with this overall. Time to lower it into a pool of molten metal. 

i think it has issues with precip smoothing. makes sense

[dendrite]

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i think it has issues with precip smoothing. makes sense

It was very smoothed. 

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Should say "mainly rain/non accumulating snow, but whatever-

Thanks for putting the red line about 1 mile east of me. 

[WxWatcher007]

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI sucked with this overall. Time to lower it into a pool of molten metal. 

If there’s a drone strike on your house tonight thank Euro Skynet. 

[H2Otown_WX]

33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI sucked with this overall. Time to lower it into a pool of molten metal. 

Any other model you would like to inflict pain on?

[SouthCoastMA]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It was very smoothed. 

smooth brained AI

it needs the T1000 upgrade

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

If there’s a drone strike on your house tonight thank Euro Skynet. 

Come with me if you want to live.

[ROOSTA]

I'll be back...
AI is some scary shit.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Come with me if you want to live.

I’m looking for Scott from Weymouth,  Is he here?  I’ll be Baaack!