Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:51 PM, Prismshine Productions said:

actually it was not

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Yeah I thought it looked better than 6z GFS regardless of sfc low position. I still think this is mostly a tease though...it won't ever get close enough.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah maybe Ray gets a consolation prize for taking over house duties lol. I get it. 

 

Something to watch from  Essex county just inland to metro west and nrn RI. Hopefully some leftovers here.

[SouthCoastMA]

Looked like ass here. CCB much further east

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:53 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah maybe Ray gets a consolation prize for taking over house duties lol. I get it. 

 

Something to watch from  Essex county just inland to metro west and nrn RI. Hopefully some leftovers here.

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What a waste of a very healthy shortwave.

[dryslot]

At least it will be cold thereafter.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:53 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah maybe Ray gets a consolation prize for taking over house duties lol. I get it. 

 

Something to watch from  Essex county just inland to metro west and nrn RI. Hopefully some leftovers here.

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I think that’s where most of us are at this point. Hope for enough moisture to get a solid coating for the next cold intrusion and hope the Christmas shortwave morphs into something decent. 

[Prismshine Productions]

light backside band gives everybody at least mood flakes

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:31 PM, CoastalWx said:

Jack was east of him, he'd be pissed.

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Nah, cover the grass for Xmas and I'm good....

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:59 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nah, cover the grass for Xmas and I'm good....

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If this CF sets up with a bit of easterly flow over the top, it might do that from your area to mine....I could see 2-4" happening. The problem is the setup is delicate, so just assume it won't work out until we're closer....but it's a plausible scenario....and yes, a derivative of fraud five, but once in a while they throw you a bone.

[dendrite]

Congrats Hazey

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/18/2024 at 3:57 PM, Prismshine Productions said:

light backside band gives everybody at least mood flakes

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Yeah, I’d be tempted to sign on the dotted line right now.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:01 PM, dendrite said:

Congrats Hazey

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Story of the last several years...either @Hazey or @BuffaloWeather. In between is residual rectal syrup.

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Story of the last several years...either @Hazey or @BuffaloWeather. In between is residual rectal syrup.

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Truffle butter?

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:04 PM, CoastalWx said:

Truffle butter?

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Yea, nice sphincter sunday with a swirly on top.

[ORH_wxman]

At least we're getting good accurate descriptions of the last few winters in this thread.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm honestly starting to feel good about at least some mood flakes in the air and some accumulation on the ground in my area during the lead up to Xmas.

[dryslot]

Don't forget Uncle Leo.

[ineedsnow]

CMC would work for some

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:08 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm honestly starting to feel good about at least some mood flakes in the air and some accumulation on the ground in my area during the lead up to Xmas.

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Yeah agree there. I think even here as well. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Well.. there always the inverted trough possibility here in CT. I didn't be okay with an inch. It's going to be cold enough to get us through Christmas Eve at least.

[ineedsnow]

GFS saving christmas

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:08 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm honestly starting to feel good about at least some mood flakes in the air and some accumulation on the ground in my area during the lead up to Xmas.

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Wrong thread for it, but Xmas Eve/Xmas is starting to look more and more interesting.

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:13 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah agree there. I think even here as well. 

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I really do hope that you guys get this. Even if we miss out on it, it'll make up for what you guys didn't get before. Again, what falls should stay on the ground till at least Christmas Eve.

[CoastalWx]

The only inv trough I see is down by NJ? There may be a band of -SN Saturday traversing the region. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Wrong thread for it, but Xmas Eve/Xmas is starting to look more and more interesting.

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I hope.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Wrong thread for it, but Xmas Eve/Xmas is starting to look more and more interesting.

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Time to hit the blog maybe tomorrow and the weekend.

[Prismshine Productions]

thank you GFS

[MJO812]

Ukie closer 

[brooklynwx99]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:14 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Wrong thread for it, but Xmas Eve/Xmas is starting to look more and more interesting.

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yup, looking like good agreement on WAA into a great antecedent airmass

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 4:55 PM, MJO812 said:

Ukie closer 

Euro is coming soon

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