Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:08 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This. This exact scenario has happened like 4 times with this “threat” already.

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This is the best bump we’ve seen since this thing went east days ago so if we get another at 00z then I’d watch very closely in SE MA. Obviously a big if though. 

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:14 AM, ineedsnow said:

One eps member goes over the cape lol

Wonder how the snowfall map from that one member would look

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[WinterWolf]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:08 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This. This exact scenario has happened like 4 times with this “threat” already.

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Surprise, modeling is having issues.  The bigger question is, will you be waiting for the 0z runs tonight? Cuz that should lend much more credence to what we’ve just seen, or prove the point that it’s only a blip. 

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:18 AM, WinterWolf said:

Surprise, modeling is having issues.  The bigger question is, will you be waiting for the 0z runs tonight? Cuz that should lend much more credence to what we’ve just seen, or prove the point that it’s only a blip. 

I got to be up at 6am in the morning but I am going to try my hardest to see the 0z suites... Weenie wins

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[SouthCoastMA]

The EC-AI hasnt flinched much, so if these trends hold then it would be a big win for Skynet

[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:14 AM, ineedsnow said:

One eps member goes over the cape lol

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Maybe it scores a coup.

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:27 AM, dryslot said:

Maybe it scores a coup.

Hopefully that precip shield would be healthy

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[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:17 AM, Prismshine Productions said:

Wonder how the snowfall map from that one member would look

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Probably something like this

[mahk_webstah]

  On 12/17/2024 at 11:44 PM, ORH_wxman said:

If we get another bump NW at 00z, I’d watch for real in SE MA. They only need like 50-60 miles now on some of these solutions to get into the NW side of CCB. 

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But then the messenger east shift so they need 100

[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:33 AM, mahk_webstah said:

But then the messenger east shift so they need 600

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fyp to get back here mahky mahk.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:27 AM, dryslot said:

Maybe it scores a coup.

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Pretty much only solution that offers precip 

[DJln491]

another 50 miles or so and I might cross 1 inch accum.  that said I'll probably be watching 00z  

[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:36 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Pretty much only solution that offers precip 

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The last 24 hrs will show the inv schlong hitting someone.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:36 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Pretty much only solution that offers precip 

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Big 0z suite incoming…

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:40 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Big 0z suite incoming…

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Breathless anticipation. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:38 AM, DJln491 said:

another 50 miles or so and I might cross 1 inch accum.  that said I'll probably be watching 00z  

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Everybody who’s in here now, will be waiting for 0z…And that’s a fact.  If it goes back SE, you go to bed and forget about it.  

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:41 AM, WinterWolf said:

Everybody who’s in here now, will be waiting for 0z…And that’s a fact.  If it goes back SE, you go to bed and forget about it.  

Yepppp

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[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:41 AM, WinterWolf said:

Everybody who’s in here now, will be waiting for 0z…And that’s a fact.  If it goes back SE, you go to bed and forget about it.  

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Until 06z

[dryslot]

You know all of you will take a look, Its like dopamine.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:51 AM, dryslot said:

You know all of you will take a look, Its like dopamine.

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I honestly will not....but if somehow I woke up and it looked good, then I'd be hooked.

[WinterWolf]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:51 AM, dryslot said:

You know all of you will take a look, Its like dopamine.

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It’s like a movie we’ve been watching for 4 days…and just as we’re about to turn it off cuz it sucks, something interesting happens, and you gotta see what happens next.  
 

I won’t stay up for the euro though..that’s too late. 

[weathafella]

  On 12/17/2024 at 8:08 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Christmas Eve 2022 was frigid here. Had a high of 15. Only other day to do that since was Feb 4, 2023 with the Montreal Express cold. No other sub 20 high days.

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What value does that have for you?

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:51 AM, dryslot said:

You know all of you will take a look, Its like dopamine.

Give me another hit of dopamine...

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[CoastalWx]

I feel like I should  be the boy on The Polar Express holding the silver Christmas Bell saying “I believe….I believe…”

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/18/2024 at 1:09 AM, CoastalWx said:

I feel like I should  be the boy on The Polar Express holding the silver Christmas Bell saying “I believe….I believe…”

We got to

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[WinterWolf]

  On 12/18/2024 at 1:09 AM, CoastalWx said:

I feel like I should  be the boy on The Polar Express holding the silver Christmas Bell saying “I believe….I believe…”

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Oh for sure….   Hoping if it can’t come back for all of us, it at least gives your area a little love. You guys can use it. Pulling for you pal. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 12/18/2024 at 12:15 AM, ORH_wxman said:

This is the best bump we’ve seen since this thing went east days ago so if we get another at 00z then I’d watch very closely in SE MA. Obviously a big if though. 

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I’m not falling for it. If I wake up and it looks decent, maybe I’ll start paying attention. 
 

It easily could revert back 

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/18/2024 at 1:14 AM, WinterWolf said:

Oh for sure….   Hoping of it can’t come back for all of us, it at least gives your area a little love. You guys can use it. Pulling for you pal. 

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I have that awful feeling that 0Z will pull back, but here’s to miracles  lol.

[Typhoon Tip]

Think it’s interesting that the jet mechanics are just starting to nose on board into the denser sounding grid out west and right away, we get some modulation here.

[dryslot]

  On 12/18/2024 at 1:19 AM, CoastalWx said:

I have that awful feeling that 0Z will pull back, but here’s to miracles  lol.

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We will probably be getting "That" nam run at some point coming up............