Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[MJO812]

Threat is done

Sorry guys 

[Prismshine Productions]

Eh, we kinda getting into that range where the short term models take precedent... We tried tho

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This heralded December pattern is going to amount to about an inch of snow that fell after a ton of rain. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Precip shield on nw side looks like crap on all models. Maybe I'll get lucky with a coating to an inch. Outer cape may get some OE snow showers late Sunday or Monday..so maybe something to watch for them

[NorEastermass128]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This heralded December pattern is going to amount to about an inch of snow that fell after a ton of rain. 

Sort of the tenor of the last couple of seasons. More inches of rain than snow each winter month. BTW, tenor is the new weenie word of this winter.

Looking forward to this afternoon’s 50s and sun. 

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This heralded December pattern is going to amount to about an inch of snow that fell after a ton of rain. 

So far just flurries down here. Not even a coating.

December sucks

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

So far just flurries down here. Not even a coating.

December sucks

Didn’t suck here. Move out of that concrete jungle…they need cops everywhere.  

[Chrisrotary12]

8 hours ago, Hazey said:

GFS finally getting its sea legs back. Late to the party but should steady up now. That run slays Nova Scotia…lol. Damn. Could easily catch the Cape and SE Mass. Keep the faith.

I know the one place it won't get is SNH and NE MA.

[CoastalWx]

Man what a suck month for many. Lots of beer in here last night it seems.

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Threat is done

Sorry guys 

It's not done until it's Saturday. You serious Clark? Or are you trying some D.I.T. reverse Psych

[MJO812]

22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Didn’t suck here. Move out of that concrete jungle…they need cops everywhere.  

It has sucked for many areas in SNE. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, MJO812 said:

It has sucked for many areas in SNE. 

Except for a few hamlets in CT where it lasted several hours. Look at SNH for God’s sake.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man what a suck month for many. Lots of beer in here last night it seems.

Yup. I don’t care that my 6” December looks good on the data table. 

[MJO812]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Except for a few hamlets in CT where it lasted several hours. Look at SNH for God’s sake.

I remember when I use to get skunked to my north all the time. Now we all get skunked together like one big family.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS looking much better but still ots

 

8 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Way better

The "much better, but" crap doesn't cut it at this stage....who cares if its over Flemming Cap or the Andrea Gale.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, DJln491 said:

Not sure what to make of 6z gfs. It appears to be another move west until the very end where it kind of fizzles ots. 

I think you do on some level of consciousness.....

[SouthCoastMA]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man what a suck month for many. Lots of beer in here last night it seems.

I saw those posts last night and didn't get my hopes up. seasoned vets know, classic overnight model head fake 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, Boston Bulldog said:

I have a few caution flags on the improved 0z GFS run. Watch where the SLP develops - it congeals on some spurious convection that forms off of FL, helping shunt the ocean storm a bit NW

Sure the upper level changes are there, but I don't think they support such a substantial shift without the convective feedback

 

You don't say....

[Boston Bulldog]

Looks like the trough on 6z GFS actually trended a bit better than 0z, but the SLP development and evolution is significantly more realistic than at 0z. No spurious convective mass modifying the surface evolution

[Kitz Craver]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

The "much better, but" crap doesn't cut it at this stage....who cares if its over Flemming Cap or the Andrea Gale.

I saw that over coffee this morning. I just LOL’d hard. Shit is half way to Portugal. Lol 

[40/70 Benchmark]

45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Didn’t suck here. Move out of that concrete jungle…they need cops everywhere.  

It sucked for many spots both in and out of the jungle...clearly you were in a good spot. I don't get the need to try and impart your reality onto others..makes very little sense.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I saw that over coffee this morning. I just LOL’d hard. Shit is half way to Portugal. Lol 

"I'm really starting to get concerned for the health of Queen Elizabeth II".....like, fu*king helllloooooo??

[ORH_wxman]

The main trough trending better isn’t enough on this threat unless it’s very strong changes…it needs to overcome the southern stream destructive interference happening. That will take the type of trend you don’t typically see inside of 100 hours. We’d need a pretty substantial positive trend at 12z for me to entertain more than 1-2”. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

The only thing the blows more ass than a shitty reality is an aversion to said shitty reality.

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It has sucked for many areas in SNE. 

Yea, I don't get it....I got nailed last January, but can still appreciate that the month blew big ones for most of the region.

[dryslot]

Next.

[WinterWolf]

29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It sucked for many spots both in and out of the jungle...clearly you were in a good spot. I don't get the need to try and impart your reality onto others..makes very little sense.

But it’s ok when we have to hear how great you did last January…give me a break! It hasn’t been bad here. Sorry if it sucked at your place.  
 

Clearly you were in a good place for last January…I didn’t once say you’re imparting that on us. I got 7.5” from that storm last January, and you almost tripled it if I remember correctly.  That was fabulous for you.  And I’m sure that one sucked for Anthony too.   

[WinterWolf]

And who’s imparting anything? This is a forum for god sakes.  And I completely get that this month to date has sucked for a lot of places. I wasn’t saying it hasn’t for a lot of places.  I was speaking to Anthony…but his place almost always sucks.  That ain’t anybody else’s fault.   

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But it’s ok when we have to hear how great you did last January…give me a break! It hasn’t been bad here. Sorry if it sucked at your place.  
 

Clearly you were in a good place for last January…I didn’t once say you’re imparting that on us. I got 7.5” from that storm last January, and you almost tripled it if I remember correctly.  That was fabulous for you.  And I’m sure that one sucked for Anthony too.   

I think I got 2 inches 

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

But it’s ok when we have to hear how great you did last January…give me a break! It hasn’t been bad here. Sorry if it sucked at your place.  
 

Clearly you were in a good place for last January…I didn’t once say you’re imparting that on us. I got 7.5” from that storm last January, and you almost tripled it if I remember correctly.  That was fabulous for you.  And I’m sure that one sucked for Anthony too.   

So, I shouldn't report the snowfall at my place? That is imparting my version of reality? I think you are confused, dude.