Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:26 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: ECMFW sucks with the MJO.Here is the GFS for comparison Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:30 AM, Prismshine Productions said: Here is the GFS for comparison Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand Even if it did go into the MC...may not matter much with the GLAAM forecast to remain high in conjunction with better climo. We have been in the MC most of December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:28 AM, dryslot said: Expand What can am I kicking? Expected a shitty December and below average seasonal snowfall across the board, but I'd rather take my chances at peak climo than Nodecember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:34 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What can am I kicking? Expect below average snowfall across the board, but I'd rather take my chances at peak climo than Nodecember.Worse that last year?Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:36 AM, Prismshine Productions said: Worse that last year? Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand No. Better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:34 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What can am I kicking? Expected a shitty December and below average seasonal snowfall across the board, but I'd rather take my chances at peak climo than Nodecember. Expand You just punted December, No? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 End of the Nam, that s/w over Florida is hauling and will be offshore by the time our vort for this weekend gets goingSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 At the plate: 0z ICONicSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 2:39 AM, dryslot said: You just punted December, No? Expand Yea, but I never expected much...my forecast was essentially a punt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 It’s much more acceptable if December was a torch. Here we are with some decent cold and still screwed. That’s what gets me. Hope for a good 00z suite. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 I see you IconSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 Icon caves to the southern ots solution, batter outSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:16 AM, CoastalWx said: It’s much more acceptable if December was a torch. Here we are with some decent cold and still screwed. That’s what gets me. Hope for a good 00z suite. Expand The only luck the last few years have been bad luck, Just can't seem to get one to work out in every ones favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:16 AM, CoastalWx said: It’s much more acceptable if December was a torch. Here we are with some decent cold and still screwed. That’s what gets me. Hope for a good 00z suite. At least it feels like legit winter coldSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:25 AM, Prismshine Productions said: At least it feels like legit winter cold Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand Yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:20 AM, Prismshine Productions said: Icon caves to the southern ots solution, batter out Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand it actually has an IVT over LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:26 AM, brooklynwx99 said: it actually has an IVT over LIWhich does us zero favorsSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:16 AM, CoastalWx said: It’s much more acceptable if December was a torch. Here we are with some decent cold and still screwed. That’s what gets me. Hope for a good 00z suite. Expand I totally disagree. I’d take cold and dry in a heartbeat over another torch for Christmas. On 12/16/2024 at 3:21 AM, dryslot said: The only luck the last few years have been bad luck, Just can't seem to get one to work out in every ones favor. Expand Yeah…as cautiously optimistic as I am overall, if we can’t produce anything meaningful down here during a decent December, I’d find it hard to believe that next month is anything but more of the same, pretty 500 and MJO depictions be damned. You have to produce when the windows are open. Not even getting contact when you have an 88mph fastball in the strike zone tells me everything I need to know. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:28 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah…as cautiously optimistic as I am overall, if we can’t produce anything meaningful down here during a decent December, I’d find it hard to believe that next month is anything but more of the same, pretty 500 and MJO depictions be damned. You have to produce when the windows are open. Not even getting contact when you have an 88mph fastball in the strike zone tells me everything I need to know. Nah, we getting contact, but mere pedestrian infield groundouts with an occasional bunt singleSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:28 AM, WxWatcher007 said: I totally disagree. I’d take cold and dry in a heartbeat over another torch for Christmas. Yeah…as cautiously optimistic as I am overall, if we can’t produce anything meaningful down here during a decent December, I’d find it hard to believe that next month is anything but more of the same, pretty 500 and MJO depictions be damned. You have to produce when the windows are open. Not even getting contact when you have an 88mph fastball in the strike zone tells me everything I need to know. Expand My point is that unlike recent Decembers that torched, we are -2 and still porked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:31 AM, CoastalWx said: My point is that unlike recent Decembers that torched, we are -2 and still porked. Expand regression to the mean is a bitch, isn’t it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:31 AM, CoastalWx said: My point is that unlike recent Decembers that torched, we are -2 and still porked.I rather it be -2 around Christmas than feeling like a year long summer, you can only have so many 70 and 80 degree Christmases before feeling like you living in bloody Australia Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2024 Author Share Posted December 16, 2024 new gfs right off the bat this run has a 00z chart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:33 AM, brooklynwx99 said: regression to the mean is a bitch, isn’t it Expand It’s beyond that. It’s mutilation. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 Something tells me this run is gonna suck...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:30 AM, Prismshine Productions said: Nah, we getting contact, but mere pedestrian infield groundouts with an occasional bunt single Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand Up there, yes. I’m not sure 1.7” here when my climo is ~11” for December is real contact by this point in the month. On 12/16/2024 at 3:31 AM, CoastalWx said: My point is that unlike recent Decembers that torched, we are -2 and still porked. Expand Yeah. It sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:47 AM, Prismshine Productions said: Something tells me this run is gonna suck... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand Wednesday coming in more amped isn’t a good start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 On 12/16/2024 at 3:51 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Wednesday coming in more amped isn’t a good start Exactly my pointSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 poof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2024 Share Posted December 16, 2024 Should end up being a closer whiff this run ha ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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