Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[CoastalWx]

Caution the clown maps as well with a torched airmass prior to anafrontal 

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/15/2024 at 11:52 PM, CoastalWx said:

Caution the clown maps as well with a torched airmass prior to anafrontal 

Kinda why I perfer the Kuchie over 10:1, it takes that better into account

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[Typhoon Tip]

  On 12/15/2024 at 11:18 PM, WinterWolf said:

Yup, “Tenor” of the season decade.  Lots to sample/figure out…hang tough boys.  

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[dryslot]

  On 12/15/2024 at 11:52 PM, CoastalWx said:

Caution the clown maps as well with a torched airmass prior to anafrontal 

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Looks ok up here looking at a sounding, Was no warm layers weds night, Might be the only snow this week but i would sacrifice it for a bigger slower system on the 22nd

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/15/2024 at 11:53 PM, Prismshine Productions said:

Kinda why I perfer the Kuchie over 10:1, it takes that better into account

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It’s still a garbage air mass.   I’m expecting maybe a few flakes.  

[ineedsnow]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:04 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

It’s still a garbage air mass.   I’m expecting maybe a few flakes.  

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Meh most falls at night and cools enough by then.. 

[ineedsnow]

  On 12/15/2024 at 11:53 PM, Prismshine Productions said:

Kinda why I perfer the Kuchie over 10:1, it takes that better into account

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[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:06 AM, ineedsnow said:

 

Yeah, that is definitely flatter

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[dryslot]

This is no good south of CNE

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:07 AM, dryslot said:

This is no good south of CNE

Dang, even I get a slight torch

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[Damage In Tolland]

High confidence in this for Friday night/ Saturday 

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:26 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

High confidence in this for Friday night/ Saturday 

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In what sense. What does it look like it's going to do for us? I'll take 1-3/2-4 as it would stay on the ground for Christmas. But I'm not sure exactly what we might get from This

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:33 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

In what sense. What does it look like it's going to do for us? I'll take 1-3/2-4 as it would stay on the ground for Christmas. But I'm not sure exactly what we might get from This

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8.5 ABVs on those bad boys tonight.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:33 AM, Snowcrazed71 said:

In what sense. What does it look like it's going to do for us? I'll take 1-3/2-4 as it would stay on the ground for Christmas. But I'm not sure exactly what we might get from This

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Light - moderate event 

[ineedsnow]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:07 AM, dryslot said:

This is no good south of CNE

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Meh trended flatter that's all I have to see. Cool that a bit and we good

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:38 AM, ineedsnow said:

Meh trended flatter that's all I have to see. Cool that a bit and we good

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It’s garbage. Maybe you get lucky and get more than an inch of slushy paste but that event is complete trash except for a narrow stripe in NNE and maybe adjacent CNE. 
 

[alex]

GYX seems maybe overly optimistic?

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:55 AM, alex said:

GYX seems maybe overly optimistic?

Albany gave me 30# pops Friday, Friday Night, and Saturday for snow

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[TauntonBlizzard2013]

We now have people rooting against their own self interests lol

[wokeupthisam]

  On 12/15/2024 at 10:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s going to snow. Just a matter of nailing down amounts 

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  On 12/15/2024 at 10:27 PM, weathafella said:

It’s going to snow. Just a matter of when this which winter it next happens.

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  On 12/15/2024 at 10:27 PM, weathafella said:

FYP

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FYP^2...  

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 1:09 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We now have people rooting against their own self interests lol

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I mean, would you rather have a 2-5" or a shot at double digits?

[ineedsnow]

  On 12/16/2024 at 1:32 AM, Prismshine Productions said:

I mean, would you rather have a 2-5" or a shot at double digits?

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2 to 5  the next storm can always go poof or something else can happen so there's no storm 

[ineedsnow]

  On 12/16/2024 at 12:44 AM, ORH_wxman said:

It’s garbage. Maybe you get lucky and get more than an inch of slushy paste but that event is complete trash except for a narrow stripe in NNE and maybe adjacent CNE. 
 

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meh trend it a bit cooler and I think we can pull off 2 to 4 here 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm ready for a January thread. 

[Prismshine Productions]

0z suites starting to roll out, NAM is at the plate, less amped for midweek

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[Go Kart Mozart]

  On 12/16/2024 at 1:51 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm ready for a January thread. 

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...as we charge into the MC!

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 2:09 AM, Go Kart Mozart said:

...as we charge into the MC!

I am not a fan about how fast it charges into Phase 3...

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[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/16/2024 at 2:09 AM, Go Kart Mozart said:

...as we charge into the MC!

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ECMFW sucks with the MJO.

[dryslot]

  On 12/16/2024 at 1:51 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm ready for a January thread. 

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[Prismshine Productions]

  On 12/16/2024 at 2:28 AM, dryslot said:

Lol

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