Converged on a 12/21/2024 coastal storm, however ... much higher than normal uncertainty relative to very shortterm. May need nowcast for impacting east/SE regions

[WinterWolf]

Something small/wintry is still quite possible.  We Monitor as the week goes on. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro would be a nice couple of inches . That’s kind of how we envision it 

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro would be a nice couple of inches . That’s kind of how we envision it 

The dusting looks great.

[Prismshine Productions]

global blowtorch on the GEFS... good lord 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

global blowtorch on the GEFS... good lord 

beach weather

[Prismshine Productions]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

beach weather

perfect to shoot some drones XD

[Prismshine Productions]

eh... end of the GEFS starts to raise heights again with the PNA

 

[weathafella]

Euro snows on us Boxing Day.  But in the less clowny range, I kind of like where we stand right now on the models for next weekend.  Let's see what happens when the lead wave hits NOAM today and tonight.

[Kitz Craver]

Im less encouraged. 12z definitely went in the wrong direction, I’d say across the board.

[ineedsnow]

Just drove to market basket and the amount of brine on the roads makes me think a massive icestorm is coming.. what a waste

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Euro snows on us Boxing Day.  But in the less clowny range, I kind of like where we stand right now on the models for next weekend.  Let's see what happens when the lead wave hits NOAM today and tonight.

WTTTE

[CoastalWx]

EPS looks like crap too.

[WinterWolf]

Well, It can only get better…

[Greg]

Same thing all the time. Storm around the 19th looked somewhat good, now the high is too slow from the upper Midwest and the southeast ridge a little too strong. Giving us here in Southern New England a general shut out but cold Xmas anyways. Go figure. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well, It can only get better…

Same ole shit.

[mahk_webstah]

Have to admit I thought it was going to come together snowy on today’s runs.  Bummer

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Have to admit I thought it was going to come together snowy on today’s runs.  Bummer

Still a long ways out.. atleast a couple more days until we get a better idea.  

[mahk_webstah]

Maybe it can trend back into a moderate event for up here or more generally. But I agree that high end is off the table.

[mreaves]

3 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

if you call mid 30s mild...

It is for everyone north of like Greenfield, MA

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, mreaves said:

It is for everyone north of like Greenfield, MA

I think normal high for 12/25 in most of NNE is already AOB freezing.

[crownweather]

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

Euro snows on us Boxing Day.  But in the less clowny range, I kind of like where we stand right now on the models for next weekend.  Let's see what happens when the lead wave hits NOAM today and tonight.

A 2010 Boxing Day snowstorm redux would be nice.  Still remember seeing the model guidance on that Christmas Day of what was about to come.  Definitely a nice Christmas present that year!! 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

28 minutes ago, mreaves said:

It is for everyone north of like Greenfield, MA

Thanks for the shout-out!  

[WinterWolf]

24 minutes ago, crownweather said:

A 2010 Boxing Day snowstorm redux would be nice.  Still remember seeing the model guidance on that Christmas Day of what was about to come.  Definitely a nice Christmas present that year!! 

That was modeled out to sea two days prior…a complete miss. Funny how that happens.  Turned into A NY NJ Bomb. Wasn’t all that great here….10-12” or so. A let down from the forecast the day before. A few days later it all melted out…NYE was warm and wet/foggy. 

[mitchnick]

Though a touch further east, Icon is deeper at 120hrs on the 18z run vs 12z at 126 hrs

[ineedsnow]

ill take the ICON for midweek and the weekend 

[Prismshine Productions]

18z Icon was a tick better... midweek system vort was a hair weaker

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Though a touch further east, Icon is deeper at 120hrs on the 18z run vs 12z at 126 hrs

I think that trend even if it’s east, is what we want. 

[vegan_edible]

im not gonna bet on the icon to pull through for us, but man am i hoping it does. ive had a particularly shitty fucking week. wednesday marks two years since my mother completely unexpectedly passed away, and im headed to albany to be with my family for the holidays. christmas is so magical to me, could really use even the smallest storm to help decompress from all the things im feeling.

 

sorry for venting it out, coming here from the nyc forum bc albany is probably closer to your climate than nyc's 

y'all are pretty cool over here btw

[weathafella]

26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That was modeled out to sea two days prior…a complete miss. Funny how that happens.  Turned into A NY NJ Bomb. Wasn’t all that great here….10-12” or so. A let down from the forecast the day before. A few days later it all melted out…NYE was warm and wet/foggy. 

It nailed Boston and the immediate area inside 128 pretty good with 18+ in many areas including mine at the time and probably where i currently live.

[Prismshine Productions]

3 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

im not gonna bet on the icon to pull through for us, but man am i hoping it does. ive had a particularly shitty fucking week. wednesday marks two years since my mother completely unexpectedly passed away, and im headed to albany to be with my family for the holidays. christmas is so magical to me, could really use even the smallest storm to help decompress from all the things im feeling.

 

sorry for venting it out, coming here from the nyc forum bc albany is probably closer to your climate than nyc's 

y'all are pretty cool over here btw

*hugs*