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Wednesday NY State Screamer 12/11.


CoastalWx
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Wow people are soft nowadays.. already early dismissals in ct for rain and wind tomorrow! UNBELIEVABLE!! 

UPDATED TUESDAY, DEC 10 AT 10:36 PM
Bozrah Schools: Early Dismissal
Clamshell Quilt Guild: Event Postponed Thru Tomorrow
Grasso Technical HS-Groton: Early Dismissal; No Activities
Groton Schools: Early Dismissal
Knights Of Columbus Council 2336: No Bingo Tomorrow Evening
Pine Point School-Stonington: Early Dismissal
Preston Schools: Early Dismissal
Stonington Schools: Early Dismissal; No PM K'gtn/PreSch.
Voluntown Schools: Early Dismissal; No PM PreSchool
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43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well closest is just over 2 miles to my north. 

But with this wind direction it won’t matter. Wind will be from like 170 or so. I find these events to be better just inland from south coast. My guess is ern Plymouth county will rip as this looks to get a boost in the LLJ as it traverses that area. We may get clipped with that. I know it’s the wind clown map, but 3K nam shows that. 

Ok... Agree with eastern Plymouth county thoughts.  While many of the modeled maps are clownish, I think you are in a good spot to rip 55 to 60 mph just overhead; whether or not it will get to ground level is always the challenge. The the forecasted warming of the sfc & boundary layers certainly won't hurt!!! Probably will be able to hear the LLJ ripping by a few hundred feet overhead.  Meanwhile folks with anemometers on a 10 ft pole attached to their deck will complain they never busted 25 mph.  

 

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6 hours ago, FXWX said:

Ok... Agree with eastern Plymouth county thoughts.  While many of the modeled maps are clownish, I think you are in a good spot to rip 55 to 60 mph just overhead; whether or not it will get to ground level is always the challenge. The the forecasted warming of the sfc & boundary layers certainly won't hurt!!! Probably will be able to hear the LLJ ripping by a few hundred feet overhead.  Meanwhile folks with anemometers on a 10 ft pole attached to their deck will complain they never busted 25 mph.  

 

Yeah, it looks like it ship low pretty good here especially before the front makes it here. Almost looks like the HRRR suggest a little mow to enhance it around these parts.

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR rips 55-70 mph gusts from west central CT into E MA. Strongest gusts are 10-15 miles inland in CT

Great, right over my house.  I'm sure we'll lose power later today.  :axe:

 

What time are we expecting the highest winds in SE CT?

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10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looking pretty pretty good round here . Here’s hoping  . What is timeframe for strongest gusts in CT?

I think your shot is in that 21-00z window. So near sunset until about 7-8pm.

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Looks like the good gusts today will be Rhode Island and eastern Mass...maybe back into far eastern CT...shocker

Looking at radar it looks like C-E CT is going to dry slot while the heaviest slides to the east

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