CoastalWx Posted December 9 Author Share Posted December 9 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Still quite a strong signal just off the deck 97kts kissing ptown a few hours later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ignoring the clown wind maps, the NAM is impressive in its own right. Poor Box .. only thinking it’s for immediate coast. They do this so often and then have to cover their tails as it closes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 97kts kissing ptown a few hours later. I won’t lie, a quick chase is tempting especially if we can continue raising the ceiling. Even Boston is toying with big gusts if the weenie 3k is close to accurate. 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Poor Box .. only thinking it’s for immediate coast. They do this so often and then have to cover their tails as it closes in I’m still a little skeptical of massive inland wind but each model suite is getting a little more buy in from me. Like Wiz said, 3k would be pretty big across the board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I won’t lie, a quick chase is tempting especially if we can continue raising the ceiling. Even Boston is toying with big gusts if the weenie 3k is close to accurate. I’m still a little skeptical of massive inland wind but each model suite is getting a little more buy in from me. Like Wiz said, 3k would be pretty big across the board. Not just because I live in an elevated area.. but we have seen these numerous times over the years. BOX starts with south coast then the next update they have it into RI and ORH county and then right before go time expand it west again, These events always roar in the hills . This whole area does so well on any type of S or SE wind . I’ve seen it too many times to count . This one has a better shot of right into the valley than some of the others with almost no inversion and temps/ dews near 60 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9 Author Share Posted December 9 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Not just because I live in an elevated area.. but we have seen these numerous times over the years. BOX starts with south coast then the next update they have it into RI and ORH county and then right before go time expand it west again, These events always roar in the hills . This whole area does so well on any type of S or SE wind . I’ve seen it too many times to count . This one has a better shot of right into the valley than some of the others with almost no inversion and temps/ dews near 60 Unless there are a lot of showers to keep temps in check, this looks like a good setup there. At least for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Let's fkn gòoooo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Unless there are a lot of showers to keep temps in check, this looks like a good setup there. At least for now. Yeah .. if it’s 50.. it won’t gust much past 46mph.. but upper 50’s - 60 .. roofs are blowing off 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Hammer went hard on the winds all of CT . Normally he is very low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Caribou FD looks bleak: Rain Wednesday and Wednesday night will fall heavily at times with 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain expected with locally 3 to 4 inches of rain possible, especially Downeast and the Central Highlands. This will cause significant snow melt where the snow pack has set up across the north. Localized flooding is possible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Caribou FD looks bleak: Rain Wednesday and Wednesday night will fall heavily at times with 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain expected with locally 3 to 4 inches of rain possible, especially Downeast and the Central Highlands. This will cause significant snow melt where the snow pack has set up across the north. Localized flooding is possible. Not much better here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Hopefully the GFS has a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hopefully the GFS has a clue. Please tell me its morphing into a weak frontal passage? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 3 minutes ago, mreaves said: Please tell me its morphing into a weak frontal passage? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 31 minutes ago, dryslot said: Get that axis back over VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Get that axis back over VT.No.Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeppy Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 .gov called for less than an inch, approaching 3" now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 4 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: Ensemble mean for me is 47mph gusts with a range from 23 to 66... That actually ticked up from 6z Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Unless it’s a thunderstorm, the valley is generally where wind goes to die. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 BOX doesn’t seem too interested in the winds 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX doesn’t seem too interested in the winds I bet those go up on tonight's update 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX doesn’t seem too interested in the winds Ya that’s underwhelming. Maybe tomorrow they will go a little more aggressive? Still 2 days out, so they’re waiting to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX doesn’t seem too interested in the winds Have you read this thread or looked at models today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Unless it’s a thunderstorm, the valley is generally where wind goes to die.Thanks for letting me know HippySent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have you read this thread or looked at models today? I’m not saying I agree with that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that’s underwhelming. Maybe tomorrow they will go a little more aggressive? Still 2 days out, so they’re waiting to see. I agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX doesn’t seem too interested in the winds Rule of thumb is to always take the under when you're looking to mix down winds on WAA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Rule of thumb is to always take the under when you're looking to mix down winds on WAA That’s noones rule of thumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: That’s noones rule of thumb Ok... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Take the under on modeled winds unless you can mix them to the surface in some heavier echoes and this usually ends up more localized then widespread more often then not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 last Decembers killer cutter #1 I was on the south shore Duxbury/Pembroke. The best winds mixed winds when the sun was poking through, and it was indeed very impressive with gusts over 65. The fine line/actual cfp was very unimpressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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