87storms Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: Fully expecting our area to get shafted. All it would take is for the development to be delayed by 6 -12 hours. East off 95 is in a great spot. From experience, we typically need the northern stream to dig more or else the coastal will get going too late. However, this looks more like a miller hybrid so we can still get a snowstorm out of it if the cutoff low takes a northern route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On the ledge for this storm. Not proud of it but I’m not liking the vibes. Energy is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: On the ledge for this storm. Not proud of it but I’m not liking the vibes. Energy is off. To amped or out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: On the ledge for this storm. Not proud of it but I’m not liking the vibes. Energy is off. You're one of our strongest. Get back out there on the front lines and fake a smile if you have to. Whatever it takes, we got this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: To amped or out to sea? More worried about OTS with the seasonal trend and every ens suite worsening in that direction… but amped would hurt me more. Sorry NE crew 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You're one of our strongest. Get back out there on the front lines and fake a smile if you have to. Whatever it takes, we got this. im here for the 00z EURO but not gonna sugarcoat it if it folds like a lawn chair 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 47 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: More worried about OTS with the seasonal trend and every ens suite worsening in that direction… but amped would hurt me more. Sorry NE crew im here for the 00z EURO but not gonna sugarcoat it if it folds like a lawn chair I’m still very scared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’m still very scared Not going lie. Don't like the eps individual members at all. Most have the max SE of DC. It's an Imby game and I'm tired of being fringed up here. I can see where this is heading. Honestly if we end up with 3 or 4 up here along the M/D line and places south get a foot+ I'm probably going to have to take a beak for a while lol. Everyone can feel however they want but the Euro/ eps runs were discouraging to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Not going lie. Don't like the eps individual members at all. Most have the max SE of DC. It's an Imby game and I'm tired of being fringed up here. I can see where this is heading. Honestly if we end up with 3 or 4 up here along the M/D line and places south get a foot+ I'm probably going to have to take a beak for a while lol. Everyone can feel however they want but the Euro/ eps runs were discouraging to me. I feel better about getting 6” of snow as a floor in DC. I feel worse about SE being the way to lose this. Overall a better morning for me. I’d really like a foot, which is “duh” I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yeah I don't trust this thing to produce warning level snows right now. Until the bleed east stops, I'm lowering my expectations of breaking the streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 This being my first time tracking a major snowstorm on this forum but is everyone always this crazy? I mean even if this ends up being 4-8 that is an incredibly solid storm imo, ig I just don’t understand the negativity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I feel better about getting 6” of snow as a floor in DC. I feel worse about SE being the way to lose this. Overall a better morning for me. I’d really like a foot, which is “duh” I guess I counted 30 of the 50 eps members that really put the northern tier on the fringes. Obviously we still see some snow but not what we all want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I feel better about getting 6” of snow as a floor in DC. I feel worse about SE being the way to lose this. Overall a better morning for me. I’d really like a foot, which is “duh” I guess I do too...and you know how I feel about my yard. 6" being the floor for DC would be a disaster up here. Not getting at LEAST 6-7" is a fail, imo It would be the same dang thing that's gone on for 6 years and I am so over it, smh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: This being my first time tracking a major snowstorm on this forum but is everyone always this crazy? I mean even if this ends up being 4-8 that is an incredibly solid storm imo, ig I just don’t understand the negativity. We've really missed out on the good stuff compares to other places more south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: This being my first time tracking a major snowstorm on this forum but is everyone always this crazy? I mean even if this ends up being 4-8 that is an incredibly solid storm imo, ig I just don’t understand the negativity. Your area has done much better than the screw zone some of us have been in. 4-8" would be fine...but if 4-8 happens with this storm to that would mean the same folks would be closer to the 4" mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: We've really missed out on the good stuff compares to other places more south Yep...this is starting to feel like another screw job in the making. We're not there yet, but what WxUSAF just shared about the weaking of that piece in the NS on the eps has me concerned. We need that to stop and/or reverse course. If it doesn't...mercy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yep...this is starting to feel like another screw job in the making. We're not there yet, but what WxUSAF just shared about the weaking of that piece in the NS on the eps has me concerned. We need that to stop and/or reverse course. If it doesn't...mercy. I'm posting all this in here to not clog up the Medium range thread with the woah is me talk but I'm not interested in 2 to 4 if other places close by are getting 15" I got 18 hours in a row of pixie dust on Tuesday. Totaling 2" lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 14 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I'm posting all this in here to not clog up the Medium range thread with the woah is me talk but I'm not interested in 2 to 4 if other places close by are getting 15" I got 18 hours in a row of pixie dust on Tuesday. Totaling 2" lol. I think most anti-negativity is not so much about what you describe (2-4 vs 15) as...people who get upset they might get a foot+ of snow instead of two+ feet bc a model showed two feet before. But maybe you feel that way too. Not sure of the geography of those complaints but it's obv worse if they've had a good winter to date and are whining But -- unless I'm missing something it's not that many people. It seems like it only takes a single complaint for a dozen people to be like omgggg the meltdownsss it's pandemonium this place is off the rails etc which is why I advocate ignoring people who make truly ridiculous complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Kay said: I think most anti-negativity is not so much about what you describe (2-4 vs 15) as...people who get upset they might get a foot+ of snow instead of two+ feet bc a model showed two feet before. But maybe you feel that way too. Not sure of the geography of those complaints but it's obv worse if they've had a good winter to date and are whining But -- unless I'm missing something it's not that many people. It seems like it only takes a single complaint or a dozen people to be like omgggg the meltdownsss it's pandemonium this place is off the rails etc which is why I advocate ignoring people who make truly ridiculous complaints. It hasn't been that great of a winter compared to areas south. I'm a little over 50% climo for my area. Some areas are already at or over there average snowfall for the season. For me it's not really about getting a foot when the previous model showed 2ft. It's getting 3" while a place 100 miles SE of me gets 15" I would never post this stuff in the main thread. That's why I'm in the panic thread lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: It hasn't been that great of a winter compared to areas south. I'm a little over 50% climo for my area. Some areas are already at or over there average snowfall for the season. For me it's not really about getting a foot when the previous model showed 2ft. It's getting 3" while a place 100 miles SE of me gets 15" I would never post this stuff in the main thread. That's why I'm in the panic thread lol. I know...I was contrasting your POV vs someone complaining ridiculously. It's been rough north, for me too, though I have way shittier climo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Kay said: I know...I was contrasting your POV vs someone complaining ridiculously. It's been rough north, for me too, though I have way shittier climo Hopefully we all get pummeled next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I'm at 12.7 inches for the year. 40% climo. Haven't seen a 6" snow fall in stephens city since Jan 2016 (when I was in cross junction I had 3). Seeing another storm fringe the NW zone is beyond frustrating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I'm at 12.7 inches for the year. 40% climo. Haven't seen a 6" snow fall in stephens city since Jan 2016 (when I was in cross junction I had 3). Seeing another storm fringe the NW zone is beyond frustrating. Pretty much the same story in Baltimore. Listen you know this winter is just bad luck if we can't even get 6 inches in our yards from a system like this...I mean that would be insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I have a bad feeling about this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 36 minutes ago, T. August said: I have a bad feeling about this one Figured I’d see you in here. Have you ever considered visiting the beautiful city of Richmond? I hear its a great snow town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Rvarookie said: Figured I’d see you in here. Have you ever considered visiting the beautiful city of Richmond? I hear its a great snow town Man at this point I would jettison any chance of snow imby under the sole condition that you rain. No offense of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, T. August said: Man at this point I would jettison any chance of snow imby under the sole condition that you rain. No offense of course. Snow gods heard you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The Icon was a hairs breath from disaster out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 And there it is. The northern Shenandoah Valley will get another WWA storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darkstorm Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 And there it is. The northern Shenandoah Valley will get another WWA storm.I got a feeling this will reel back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2015Wrx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I have a feeling it’s going to get nasty in here the next few days. Tensions are so high, what a strange hobby this is. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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