Burghblizz Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM For midweek - NAM looks like it wants more of a longer duration, steady, WAA type snow. Maybe a more modest…but more realistic “good” solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1014 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 PAZ009-015-016-021-022-029-031-073-075-077-078-WVZ004-012-021-509- 170000- /O.EXB.KPBZ.WW.Y.0015.250216T1800Z-250217T0500Z/ Forest-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene- Westmoreland-Fayette-Indiana-Higher Elevations of Indiana- Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- Including the cities of Tionesta, Washington, Greensburg, Brookville, Kittanning, New Kensington, Armagh, Waynesburg, Indiana, Fairmont, Punxsutawney, Monessen, Murrysville, Pittsburgh Metro Area, New Martinsville, Lower Burrell, Clarion, Latrobe, Ford City, Morgantown, Moundsville, Canonsburg, and Uniontown 1014 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest, southwest, and western Pennsylvania and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions, as snow may accumulate quickly. As temperatures drop below freezing later, any lingering water on roads may freeze, causing locally icy conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPittsburgh. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM 1 hour ago, Burghblizz said: For midweek - NAM looks like it wants more of a longer duration, steady, WAA type snow. Maybe a more modest…but more realistic “good” solution. MAG mentioned something like this to possibly happen for PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted Sunday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:38 PM Predictably, the mid-week storm is turning into another southern slider and missing PA. That's the seasonal norm. It was all too delicate and tenuous of a setup. Too many things to go wrong. It's a shame all the models at once locked onto a big solution because it's a massive tease, but I think that's the danger of model watching outside of a couple days lead. Also further demonstrates the tendencies of a cold-ENSO winter, and why the events in warm-ENSO winters are much more "stable" and easier to track. This isn't even 1996 anymore, and the increased speed of the northern jet is difficult to navigate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Sunday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:40 PM 58 minutes ago, jwilson said: Predictably, the mid-week storm is turning into another southern slider and missing PA. That's the seasonal norm. It was all too delicate and tenuous of a setup. Too many things to go wrong. It's a shame all the models at once locked onto a big solution because it's a massive tease, but I think that's the danger of model watching outside of a couple days lead. Also further demonstrates the tendencies of a cold-ENSO winter, and why the events in warm-ENSO winters are much more "stable" and easier to track. This isn't even 1996 anymore, and the increased speed of the northern jet is difficult to navigate. Anytime you are depending on the PV let alone interactions with individual lobes rotating around its absolutely tenuous. To be honest aside from maybe a run of the cmc this was never going to be a huge storm for us anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM 2 hours ago, Burghblizz said: For midweek - NAM looks like it wants more of a longer duration, steady, WAA type snow. Maybe a more modest…but more realistic “good” solution. Right now its really the only model showing it, but its an easier path (All Southern Stream) to something vs what we needed with the big phase. If it can amplify nothing to really suppress it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM Just now, RitualOfTheTrout said: Anytime you are depending on the PV let alone interactions with individual lobes rotating around its absolutely tenuous. To be honest aside from maybe a run of the cmc this was never going to be a huge storm for us anyways. The seasonal trend has been for a fast Pacific flow and for bigger storms to get shunted south and east whenever the TPV is involved. There's just no way to slow down the energy crashing into the Pacific North West which is knocking down the ridge. I still think we atleast get a storm bigger than 3 inches this season but it won't be this next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:47 PM 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: The seasonal trend has been for a fast Pacific flow and for bigger storms to get shunted south and east whenever the TPV is involved. There's just no way to slow down the energy crashing into the Pacific North West which is knocking down the ridge. I still think we atleast get a storm bigger than 3 inches this season but it won't be this next one. I agree, only to add that has been a problem to some extent (fast Pac flow) for more than just this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Sunday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:06 PM Severe Thunderstorm Warning WVC077-093-161830- /O.NEW.KPBZ.SV.W.0001.250216T1800Z-250216T1830Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 100 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Preston County in northeastern West Virginia... North Central Tucker County in northeastern West Virginia... * Until 130 PM EST. * At 100 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Rowlesburg, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. A 74 mph wind gust was reported at Elkins, WV IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Locations impacted include... Kingwood, Terra Alta, Rowlesburg, Albright, Tunnelton, Aurora, Cathedral State Park, Elgon and Cranesville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from windows. This storm is capable of producing widespread damaging winds. && LAT...LON 3927 7969 3944 7980 3960 7950 3940 7948 3935 7948 3934 7949 3929 7949 3922 7965 TIME...MOT...LOC 1759Z 239DEG 44KT 3932 7967 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH $$ McMullen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted Sunday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:08 PM Ripping good here. Huge flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:18 PM 8 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: Ripping good here. Huge flakes. Radar indicated change over should be going through Allegheny now. Actually a couple wet flakes mixing here too now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted Sunday at 06:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:24 PM Thumping here. Wind driven wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted Sunday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:36 PM Real quick inch on the ground already. Not exactly sure of the flip here because I wasn’t near a window, but likely within the last 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted Sunday at 09:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:51 PM Looks like some more in Ohio developing and heading our way. Maybe eek out another inch?Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted Sunday at 09:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:51 PM Temperature dropped to 27 and blowing snow and slush freezing up. I just had a wind gust over 45 and blew over both garbage cans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted Sunday at 09:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:56 PM Temperature dropped to 27 and blowing snow and slush freezing up. I just had a wind gust over 45 and blew over both garbage cans. My power has gone out briefly a couple of times.Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM 46 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: Looks like some more in Ohio developing and heading our way. Maybe eek out another inch? Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Looks to be filling in nicely. Id say another inch is doable based on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Sunday at 10:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:53 PM Coming down again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Sunday at 10:54 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 10:54 PM Should be able to get another inch atleast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted Sunday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:58 PM 16 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Looks to be filling in nicely. Id say another inch is doable based on that. Real nicely. It was just thin bands after the initial slug, then that shield really expanded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted Sunday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:58 PM Here also. Big fluffy flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted Sunday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:29 PM Snowing hard in Bethel now. Yeah, I'd say at least another inch out of this batch coming through. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Monday at 12:43 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:43 AM Still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted Monday at 12:48 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:48 AM Eventful day with flooding, 50 MPH wind gusts, mini-paste bomb and now snow squalls. NWS total will make a run at 3” (thought I saw 2.6” so far) Will probably wind up over 5” since yesterday. Great winter scenes this weekend - just crappy the first batch got washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted Monday at 01:30 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:30 AM 31 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: Eventful day with flooding, 50 MPH wind gusts, mini-paste bomb and now snow squalls. NWS total will make a run at 3” (thought I saw 2.6” so far) Will probably wind up over 5” since yesterday. Great winter scenes this weekend - just crappy the first batch got washed away. It was a great little event, I agree to bad the first batch got washed out, but better to have snowed and melted than to have never snowed at all. Made the best of yesterday with an impromptu sled and snowman session with the boy. Daughter just got her permit so took her driving tonight to get some bad weather driving experience (some donuts in an empty parking lot too ) then finished it off with dog walk pulling the boy in the sled in heavy snow. Sometimes I think cold and snowy weather gets me more motivated to be outside than warm weather lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Monday at 01:31 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:31 AM At least this will stick around a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted Monday at 01:54 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 01:54 AM 23 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: It was a great little event, I agree to bad the first batch got washed out, but better to have snowed and melted than to have never snowed at all. Made the best of yesterday with an impromptu sled and snowman session with the boy. Daughter just got her permit so took her driving tonight to get some bad weather driving experience (some donuts in an empty parking lot too ) then finished it off with dog walk pulling the boy in the sled in heavy snow. Sometimes I think cold and snowy weather gets me more motivated to be outside than warm weather lol Us weenies have a screw loose upstairs that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted Monday at 03:05 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:05 AM Still coming down good. Overperformer today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted Monday at 03:12 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:12 AM Still coming down good. Overperformer today.This definitely ended up being a pretty solid event all things considered. Could be pushing close to 4" by now. Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted Monday at 03:39 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:39 AM Weird weekend. 2.5 inches Saturday morning. It all melts by Sunday morning. Today I pick up 3 inches. Some drifting with gusty winds. Not bad for a weekend. Nice overperformer with most coming in daylight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now