Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:18 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Good to know. I came to post that the ICON moved south yet again. Targets DC south over to Delmarva with the heaviest axis of snowfall. Take your 10" and like it :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:18 PM GREM thru 77 holds onto primary longer. I 80 and south crew approves of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 03:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:19 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Well no one jumping in so...Icon is a slight bump south and a lessening in accums but still a nice hit for southers. More of a belt tightening than a big jog. If other 12Z's show jackput in the LSV or just south, the watches may start flying soon. That Kuch map is MUCH more aggressive than the 10-1 map. Not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:19 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That Kuch map is MUCH more aggressive than the 10-1 map. Not complaining. Personally I think we still end up less than the Icon is showing but I think some here feared we would be smoking cirrus at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:20 PM RGEM snow map moves N approx 50-*75 miles fwiw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:30 PM One thing to remember, we want to root the primary on for as long as it can, as thats the key to avoiding dryslot when primary transfers. Some early morning runs show this and hopefully confluence lessens a bit as this would likely further aid in primary holding together longer. Something I'm watching for anyway. edit...and as i look at nooner ICON, it says screw your idea pal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 03:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:34 PM 12z ICON not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 03:35 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:35 PM 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Well no one jumping in so...Icon is a slight bump south and a lessening in accums but still a nice hit for southers. More of a belt tightening than a big jog. If other 12Z's show jackput in the LSV or just south, the watches may start flying soon. The question is whether the lower quality models are just slowly catching up. Idk, but we'll get clues once Gfs, Euro, Gem and Ukie come in over the next 2 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:37 PM 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Personally I think we still end up less than the Icon is showing but I think some here feared we would be smoking cirrus at 12Z. Nobody I know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:50 PM I will say if the MU guy Elliott is worried about suppression, it'll suppress. I don't think he's ever been wrong about that coming to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:52 PM 2 minutes ago, canderson said: I will say if the MU guy Elliott is worried about suppression, it'll suppress. I don't think he's ever been wrong about that coming to fruition. Butttt he did say a good bet would be a plowable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:54 PM Nooner GFS early on...precip field coming a bit south of 6z. It's ELLIOTS fault. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:55 PM at 66 SLP slightly NW of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Friday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:55 PM Just now, pasnownut said: Nooner GFS early on...precip field coming a bit south of 6z. It's ELLIOTS fault. More snow in southern pa than 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:56 PM at 72, slp west of 6z by 75 miles ish. not horrible...yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:57 PM Going to need to up my 2-4" if Euro and UK match somewhat closely. Opps, just saw someone was doing a PBP, apologies for jumping the gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:57 PM at 78, primary holding on while it jumped at 6z. we'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Friday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:58 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:59 PM 78 qpf bumped north. southers approve. I 80'rs hold breath till HH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:00 PM 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:02 PM summary of GFS is....keep hope alive till next model says otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Friday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:02 PM Another kuchera view of the 12z GFS…very similar to the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:03 PM 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Nooner GFS early on...precip field coming a bit south of 6z. It's ELLIOTS fault. True, but his focus is really LNS south which even for this Forum is quite down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Friday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 PM 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Going to need to up my 2-4" if Euro and UK match somewhat closely. Opps, just saw someone was doing a PBP, apologies for jumping the gun. 11 gradients in Clearfield county. Insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:07 PM thru 60 CMC SLP and qpf field tick N of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:07 PM 1 minute ago, WmsptWx said: 11 gradients in Clearfield county. Insane. A short drive if it does not get you on that prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:08 PM at 66, SLP smide SE, qpf smidge NE.... wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:11 PM at 72, SLP and precip notably S. shall i stop now....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:12 PM Its farm show week coming up what a great start to it. TRADITION. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:13 PM One could argue the CMC is not a Miller B as it tracks the low so far South it can be prone to squeeze itself off the NC coast instead of transfer. Still a very healthy snow for south PA. Quite a of snow from the coastal including a CCB like effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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