pasnownut Posted Friday at 01:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:31 PM 1 hour ago, CASH_COOP said: How things were trending yesterday I thought for sure I’d wake up and find the heaviest axis around I 80 and more mixing down south, but not to be. I’m still being optimistic and hoping that there’s still a 48 hour north adjustment for euro. Have too much time invested to give up Normal ebbs and flows of model watchin. A little S and then a little N finds the southern tier lookin at an appreciable event...no matter the subtleties of our backyards. Still think up to I 80 and S see snow, unless some big shift comes in the next 24 hrs, which is not likely IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted Friday at 01:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:31 PM 13 hours ago, Rd9108 said: The fact that I'll be at work Monday makes me believe it will overperform and I'll be dealing with accidents and shoveling out hydrants all day. Been there done that Brother. A few different looks from the models. Be interesting to see where it ends up. I guess I will change the oil in my snow blower today. Oil cheaper than engines wearing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:33 PM 42 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Look, don't try to comfort me. I'm miserable physically from covid and I'm miserable mentally from this storm. Will you just let me be as miserable as possible? Lol Feel better pal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:56 PM 3k pretty dry for today. Time to pull out the rap which seems more realistic as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:08 PM 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 3k pretty dry for today. Time to pull out the rap which seems more realistic as of now. Looks like you should be seeing flakes flying pretty soon: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:11 PM 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like you should be seeing flakes flying pretty soon: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad It would be the third day in a row if we get some flakes today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:22 PM For 1/6 Nam is in similar position through 48. Vort in Canada a tad south but inconsequential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:30 PM Vort slightly North at 57 on 12Z Nam. South Central Canada High slightly less pronounced into the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:36 PM At 69, snow is spreading in PA looking similar to the 6Z Nam. Vort is 1MB higher and a slight south adjustment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 02:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:38 PM While we anxiously await the next NAM panels, check out Ellinwood's map he just posted in the MA thread. He's a very good, conservative met and his snow map predictions are usually accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted Friday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:41 PM NAM cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:41 PM It is an M/D mauler but a definitely tightening of the shield above I80. Snow not done yet at the 84 hour mark. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:42 PM MU worried about suppression: MU Weather Center 1/2 The ingredients are on the table for a #snowstorm Sun night into Mon, but details remain nebulous. An upper-level low over Nova Scotia & "Greenland block" will prevent the system from cutting to our west, & a strong surface high over the Upper Midwest will provide cold air.. 2/2 However, the track and intensity of the system are still quite uncertain, and both will play a large role in how much snow falls across northern MD and the LSV. A suppressed system remains my biggest concern, but a plowable snowfall (2"+) is still a "good bet." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:43 PM 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: NAM cave Nam did not change that much. Just tightened the shield to the north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted Friday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:45 PM Just now, Bubbler86 said: Nam did not change that much. Just tightened the shield to the north. And actually at 84 it looks like it’s redeveloping and throwing heavier stuff through the whole state. Long range NAM of course 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:46 PM Just now, anthonyweather said: And actually at 84 it looks like it’s redeveloping and throwing heavier stuff through the whole state. Long range NAM of course Yes, not worth digging in to much but definitely some coastal snow to go after 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Friday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:47 PM Sabillisville would be the place to be if NAM is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Nam SLP Location at 12Z top and 6Z bottom...to show it did not trend south. The shield did get limited to the north. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:55 PM 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nam SLP Location at 12Z top and 6Z bottom...to show it did not trend south. The shield did get limited to the north. hat That looks good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:57 PM As pointed out on the MA forum, this would be part of the snow continuing into Monday evening. Now I have to do some work so hopefully someone else has the same luck of a hold or trend a bit North with the Icon PBP. Nam with a sweet start to 12Z except for North of I80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:02 PM 15 minutes ago, CASH_COOP said: Sabillisville would be the place to be if NAM is correct are we just making up town names now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Friday at 03:04 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 03:04 PM 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: While we anxiously await the next NAM panels, check out Ellinwood's map he just posted in the MA thread. He's a very good, conservative met and his snow map predictions are usually accurate. Of course I'm in the 1-2 inch zone. Beyond po'd right now. I'm so sick of the amount of 1-2 inch events I get. I've said it before, if that's the case than I'd rather get no damn snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Friday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:04 PM Light snow has commenced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:05 PM 2 minutes ago, canderson said: are we just making up town names now That place is a great little town. Old Tyme N Md. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Friday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:08 PM Light snow starting in Fairfield. @DDweathermancan confirm if he’s around CV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:08 PM 1 hour ago, pawatch said: A few different looks from the models. Be interesting to see where it ends up. I guess I will change the oil in my snow blower today. Oil cheaper than engines wearing out. Mine started first pull. Oil so slightly used in last 3-5 yrs, I just topped off and am ready to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Friday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:16 PM FWIW RGEM coming in a tick N of 6z thru 65/ Precip shield slightly N as well. Subtleties mean everything to those on the edge, so I'm hoping the edge moves north today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Just now, pasnownut said: FWIW RGEM coming in a tick N of 6z thru 65/ Precip shield slightly N as well. Subtleties mean everything to those on the edge, so I'm hoping the edge moves north today. Good to know. I came to post that the ICON moved south yet again. Targets DC south over to Delmarva with the heaviest axis of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Well no one jumping in so...Icon is a slight bump south and a lessening in accums but still a nice hit for southers. More of a belt tightening than a big jog. If other 12Z's show jackput in the LSV or just south, the watches may start flying soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:17 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Good to know. I came to post that the ICON moved south yet again. Targets DC south over to Delmarva with the heaviest axis of snowfall. Just now, Bubbler86 said: Well no one jumping in so...Icon is a slight bump south and a lessening in accums but still a nice hit for southers. More of a belt tightening than a big jog. If other 12Z's show jackput in the LSV or just south, the watches may start flying soon. I jumped you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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