Ruin Posted Friday at 03:03 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:03 AM 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It was still transferring on most suites just later than it had been. If it were to ride the m/d line and not transfer, I think a lot a Southern PA would change to ice. If it runs through VA then stop the transfer all ya want. i dont think we would change to all ice but I know a transfer always give u good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:05 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:05 AM 2 minutes ago, Ruin said: i dont think we would change to all ice but I know a transfer always give u good snow. If a new sip starts developing off the coast, it will shut down the column warm up and we do not change (but have the dry slot risk, Miller B dilemmas.). Even in Miller A's, if the slp gets close enough, southern PA can change over despite antecedent cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:15 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:15 AM Icon pulled back a bit on its warm push and is an LSV Lancer with no mixing in any part of eastern PA. One to two feet. (Not a forecast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted Friday at 03:21 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:21 AM Damn…is this storm really trending for the better for us? That never happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Friday at 03:33 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:33 AM 0z ICON 10:1 snow map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 03:34 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:34 AM 1 minute ago, AccuChris said: 0z ICON 10:1 snow map . Wow! @mitchnick, please post that pretty 0z ICON Kuchera map for your new state in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:35 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:35 AM Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Wow! @mitchnick, please post that pretty 0z ICON Kuchera map for your new state in here! Pivotal has free Kuch ICON FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPASnow Posted Friday at 03:36 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:36 AM energy hasn't even come ashore yet, most likely these models will all change. If the confluence keeps weakening this will continue to jog north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 03:37 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:37 AM Just now, Bubbler86 said: Pivotal has free Kuch ICON FWIW. Thanks, but I can’t stand the navigation on that site. I gladly pay for the better maps on a user friendly site. Plus, I have you & @mitchnick that I rely on to post the Pivotal maps, Lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:38 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:38 AM Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Thanks, but I can’t stand the navigation on that site. I gladly pay for the better maps on a user friendly site. Plus, I have you & @mitchnick that I rely on to post the Pivotal maps, Lol! Lol, I was not trying to not have Mitch post but was unsure if you knew it was free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 03:41 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:41 AM Just now, Bubbler86 said: Lol, I was not trying to not have Mitch post but was unsure if you knew it was free. Thanks, I was just having some fun with you two. and… I really want to see that map for my yard… He posted it in the Mid Atlantic thread with the MD/VA view where you can only see the southern tier of PA. Come home Mitch, Lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Friday at 03:47 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:47 AM Best I could do for kuchera map on Pivotal with the 0z ICON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:54 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:54 AM 4 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Best I could do for kuchera map on Pivotal with the 0z ICON . You can change the zoom from continental US to regional and pick the dot in the Northeast. It can be cumbersome on mobile though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:58 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:58 AM This includes the small amounts tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 03:59 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:59 AM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You can change the zoom from continental US to regional and pick the dot in the Northeast. It can be cumbersome on mobile though. Desperate times call for desperate measures… Here is the 0z ICON Kuchera map for CTP… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 04:00 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:00 AM Darn, I should have waited to try to find it… I’ll never get those 5 minutes back, Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 04:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 AM The 0z GFS crushes CTP on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 04:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:06 AM 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Darn, I should have waited to try to find it… I’ll never get those 5 minutes back, Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:10 AM 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z GFS crushes CTP on Monday. This run amps up so much that a brief period of sleet reaches the southern tier of PA before going back to all snow as the low heads to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 04:12 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:12 AM 0z GFS snow through Monday Southern half of PA bullseye this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 04:13 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:13 AM 13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Desperate times call for desperate measures… Here is the 0z ICON Kuchera map for CTP… My 6-10” feels good right now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 04:14 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:14 AM 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This run amps up so much that a brief period of sleet reaches the southern tier of PA before going back to all snow as the low heads to the coast. Ruin jinxed us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted Friday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:15 AM Canada sucks lol…keeps the jackpot area in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 04:22 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:22 AM 0z Canadian still jackpots MD & southern tier of PA. A compromise of the 0z runs so far would work well for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 04:27 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:27 AM Like I said I like where MDT sits for this one as a close to bullseye. It will jog N a bit but can’t get N enough to put us toward the S mix. I feel quite secure with a 5-8” storm here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Friday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:29 AM Here's tomorrow afternoon's non-event. There is almost nothing that needs subtracting from the Sun/Mon storm. The only precip falls between 1pm and 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Friday at 04:44 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:44 AM 13 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Here's tomorrow afternoon's non-event. There is almost nothing that needs subtracting from the Sun/Mon storm. The only precip falls between 1pm and 4pm. funny thing i watched some weather at 11 from the locals they had nothing this morning on anything tomorrow tonight they have 1-2 inchs lol. they also didnt say nothing about any snow showers tonight. mind you we didnt get anything to lay except for some on the cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 05:40 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:40 AM Both the Ukie and Euro are uhh...south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted Friday at 06:57 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:57 AM 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Both the Ukie and Euro are uhh...south. Euro ensembles are supporting the Euro op as well. Definitely a large difference between them and the rest of the suite this cycle for our region. But even the Canadian still had good snows across most of C-PA despite having the heaviest swath just south. WB never updated the UKMET to 0z for me but it sounded like that was even further south. Euro itself makes this nearly a non event north of the turnpike. In terms of the 0z cycle the Euro suite is a south outlier with the overall snow swath, and that’s including the NBM (National Model Blend). It’s not storm tracking without a model battle of course. 0z GEFS vs Euro Ens Here’s the 03z NBM (National model blend), and I don’t have 24 hr snowfall for that product so had to use the total snowfall. Outside of the Laurels, SW PA and the NW PA snow belt tomorrow’s event adds an inch or less east of the mountains to that total. Adds 2-3” in SW PA and probably 3-4” in the NW PA snow belt. Honestly, that looks like the best compromise at the moment and pretty much in line with my earlier post with my early thoughts on accums. We shall see how things trend.. we’re still at D4 out from this event. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Friday at 10:52 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:52 AM It sure looks like every 06z model is taking a step back from the good stuff we saw last night from the 00z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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