anotherman Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM 16 minutes ago, canderson said: I think we're going, so let's hope so. Say hello to Jerry for me. May he live long and prosper. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:09 PM UK 10-1 for Monday. Add an inch or two for Kuch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM UK 10-1 for Friday where 10-1 would be very appropriate if not a tad too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:37 PM I am reading posts from other forums Euro further north and wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM Euro grabbed from MA but take 1/2-1" off this for the LSV as they forgot to only do a 24 hour map. So a general 4-6" snowfall for LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Thursday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:50 PM We'll be in for a treat. DT if (i read it right), will be releasing his famous first guess snow maps tomorro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:54 PM 2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: We'll be in for a treat. DT if (i read it right), will be releasing his famous first guess snow maps tomorro! The Euro snow map redone on MS Paint? Here is Euro QPF for Monday only. This situation is too fluid to say this is the final solution but it clearly shows how close or far away anyone can be for the event. Holding with 2-4" for my hood until I see more evidence otherwise. Keep seeing the obvious Miller B traits on these maps. BUT if these maps were 12-24 hours out I would bump it up to 4-6" for SW LSV and 3-5 for other areas of the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: The Euro snow map redone on MS Paint? Here is Euro QPF for Monday only. This situation is too fluid to say this is the final solution but it clearly shows how close or far away anyone can be for the event. Holding with 2-4" for my hood until I see more evidence otherwise. Keep seeing the obvious Miller B traits on these maps. BUT if these maps were 12-24 hours out I would bump it up to 4-6" for SW LSV and 3-5 for other areas of the LSV. JB thinks the axis of heavier snow will move north about 50 miles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 06:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:00 PM 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: JB thinks the axis of heavier snow will move north about 50 miles. From what point/model run? re: if he said that for the 6Z Icon then it did on the 12Z, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Thursday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:02 PM Just now, Bubbler86 said: From what point/model run? re: if he said that for the 6Z Icon then it did on the 12Z, etc. From JB an hour ago: But one where accumulating snow does get to NYC but the axis of the heaviest snow looks like you take I-70 from the plains to BWI and then just extend it east. In this band about 150 miles wide is 6-12 inches of snow which is 10 to 1 south of the axis and up to 20 to 1 north of it. Some 15-inch lollipops will occur. I do think there is room to shift north about 50 miles. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM 56 minutes ago, anotherman said: Say hello to Jerry for me. May he live long and prosper. He and my gpa were good friends from way back. The words he’d call Jerry the last 20 years would be worth the price of admission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM I'm skeptical that anyone east of the mountains sees 15" but what do I know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:10 PM 6 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: From JB an hour ago: But one where accumulating snow does get to NYC but the axis of the heaviest snow looks like you take I-70 from the plains to BWI and then just extend it east. In this band about 150 miles wide is 6-12 inches of snow which is 10 to 1 south of the axis and up to 20 to 1 north of it. Some 15-inch lollipops will occur. I do think there is room to shift north about 50 miles. Let’s roll with JB until someone says something higher. 50 mile north shift 6-12” with isolated 15” amounts. That’s my forecast I’ll start posting on social media lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:11 PM JB posting that gives me confidence that I'll be the winner and unfortunately, HR will probably somehow get shafted again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:14 PM 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm skeptical that anyone east of the mountains sees 15" but what do I know. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM 9 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: JB posting that gives me confidence that I'll be the winner and unfortunately, HR will probably somehow get shafted again. Facts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM One not so great for snow pack thing I see on the Euro is the coming "artic blast" keeps getting minimized. It is still seasonably cold and BN much of the time but several days above freezing the week after any snow we get Monday. Temps moderate after the 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Thursday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:26 PM MU also seeing threat for Friday.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:30 PM Tried to go for a walk but the wind is too brutal. Still constant 35-40 mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Thursday at 06:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:35 PM 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: One not so great for snow pack thing I see on the Euro is the coming "artic blast" keeps getting minimized. It is still seasonably cold and BN much of the time but several days above freezing the week after any snow we get Monday. Temps moderate after the 9th. Cold always gets pushed back or moderates models are hardly ever right on the cold it's normally always more short lived or warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Thursday at 06:36 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:36 PM 6 minutes ago, canderson said: Tried to go for a walk but the wind is too brutal. Still constant 35-40 mph winds. While I don't have much wind at my house, where we fuel our trucks is a different story. I opened the door and stood on the running board to put my coat on, and a damn gust kicked up and shut it right on my legs. Almost knocked me back into the truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:40 PM 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: While I don't have much wind at my house, where we fuel our trucks is a different story. I opened the door and stood on the running board to put my coat on, and a damn gust kicked up and shut it right on my legs. Almost knocked me back into the truck. Ouch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:41 PM 30 minutes ago, CASH_COOP said: Let’s roll with JB until someone says something higher. 50 mile north shift 6-12” with isolated 15” amounts. That’s my forecast I’ll start posting on social media lol Are you running the Direct Weather channel on YouTube? That dude (how dare I assume their gender) is single-handedly going to cause a weeniecide with his clickbait video titles of "Worst Blizzard in My Lifetime." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:46 PM 4 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Are you running the Direct Weather channel on YouTube? That dude (how dare I assume their gender) is single-handedly going to cause a weeniecide with his clickbait video titles of "Worst Blizzard in My Lifetime." Well over a quarter mil in subscribers - laughing straight to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:48 PM 6 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Are you running the Direct Weather channel on YouTube? That dude (how dare I assume their gender) is single-handedly going to cause a weeniecide with his clickbait video titles of "Worst Blizzard in My Lifetime." 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well over a quarter mil in subscribers - laughing straight to the bank. Who is this person yinz speak of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Thursday at 06:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:50 PM 9 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Are you running the Direct Weather channel on YouTube? That dude (how dare I assume their gender) is single-handedly going to cause a weeniecide with his clickbait video titles of "Worst Blizzard in My Lifetime." I joined the S & S nation. 1 2 3 and to the 4 inches of snow piling up outside your door. As long as someone named ruin doesn’t ruin my flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 06:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:53 PM I do think someone on this board receives a nice little thump tomorrow afternoon. Could be highly localized but I have a good feeling about this being a sneaky overperformer for some. I would favor the Bubbler, Cash, Mitch. etc. region but wouldn't rule out us over this way doing well either. Temps in mid 30s could be a minor issue but with dews in the mid 20s things should wet-bulb down to a little below freezing in any heavier bands or showers. I'm looking forward to seeing how it all plays out. These little short-term surprise events are always fun. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 06:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:55 PM The cold and wind sucks. There. I said it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:58 PM 3 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: The cold and wind sucks. There. I said it. move! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:00 PM 7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I do think someone on this board receives a nice little thump tomorrow afternoon. Could be highly localized but I have a good feeling about this being a sneaky overperformer for some. I would favor the Bubbler, Cash, Mitch. etc. region but wouldn't rule out us over this way doing well either. Temps in mid 30s could be a minor issue but with dews in the mid 20s things should wet-bulb down to a little below freezing in any heavier bands or showers. I'm looking forward to seeing how it all plays out. These little short-term surprise events are always fun. Right now I am going with 1-3" on non road surfaces over here. More likely 1 than 3. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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