pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM SLP at 90 a smidge N of 6z qpf field similar thermals a tad N (which should allow a better adjustment N in next couple panels. I80 and S may approve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Trend continues at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM GFS is a very solid evolution. Would please most everyone on this board. A nice 6" type event for most of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM 102 has snow up to NY border. Crowd pleaser fo sho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Cant copy and paste images any longer from tropical but 102 is solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM What I like about the 12Z GFS is expansion of heavier precipitation north and no real change on the southern end of the snowfall distribution. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:04 PM 20 minutes ago, pasnownut said: But is it a good model......??? Well for today it sure is... The best model is the model that shows the highest snow amount, you know this! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM 102 also transfers in N Va. good spot for us, as dry slot would be muted up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Just now, canderson said: The best model is the model that shows the highest snow amount, you know this! of course, but now you have the GFS sayin..... hold my beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Starting to get into solid model verification time as well (under 96 hours). You have to like where central sits for this one. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM 12z GFS definitely an improvement . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM verbatim based on SLP track and thermals, this is really a nice evolution, and believable as it fits the pattern. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: What I like about the 12Z GFS is expansion of heavier precipitation north and no real change on the southern end of the snowfall distribution. Certainly looking promising for a widespread 6"+ snowfall for much of the southern half of the State. On the college football weather front, as both Hard Rock Stadium and the Cotton Bowl are open-air (although Hard Rock is partially enclosed for fans), looks like there should be no major weather concerns. Forecast for Miami on Wednesday shows abnormally cool weather with low temperatures perhaps dropping below 50F and highs in the upper 60s, with fair weather. I expect Thursday to be similar but perhaps with some rebound in temperatures as a storm gathers over the Gulf of Mexico. In northern Texas, a sharp cool front will move through with chilly weather through Wednesday. Early indications for game day are similar conditions with some moderation - 40s to near 50, game time temp could dip into the 30s. Weather looks mostly fair, albeit chilly, at this point. At this time, it doesn't look like weather should play a significant role in either matchup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM There are eight shades of gradient in Clearfield county on that run. Let's fix that a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM looking at 500's and 700's not sure how much further north this can come, so keep an eye on that for those livin on the edge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM cold press at 102 is what might limit Nwd expansion, but can also help to squeeze the lucky ones isothermally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM 4 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: There are eight shades of gradient in Clearfield county on that run. Let's fix that a little bit. Looks like the GFS is suggesting some drying east of the ridges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM 13 minutes ago, Superstorm said: What I like about the 12Z GFS is expansion of heavier precipitation north and no real change on the southern end of the snowfall distribution. That 37 by Watertown lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM as i look at snowmaps for the funner qpf distribution, youll notice a nice bump N into true central. Thats a great thing. rt 30 and S has warning level and advisory level getting closer to I80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z Icon clearly shows the potential pitfalls of the Miller B. This snow map is for both events, fyi. That's what I'm looking for. About a 6 inch, high end advisory, low end warning, storm. While it would be nice to see those pinks covering the entire map, I'll take what the ICON is showing. I just want more that a 1-2 inch nuisance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM 1 minute ago, WmsptWx said: That 37 is nice lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Thursday at 04:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:23 PM 12z Canadian follows suit as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:25 PM CMC is similar to GFS and qpf distribution . Snowmaps a touch better and gets 6" up to voyager Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 04:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:27 PM good enough for now. See you tonight, or maybe HH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:28 PM Looking solid! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:44 PM 36 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Certainly looking promising for a widespread 6"+ snowfall for much of the southern half of the State. On the college football weather front, as both Hard Rock Stadium and the Cotton Bowl are open-air (although Hard Rock is partially enclosed for fans), looks like there should be no major weather concerns. Forecast for Miami on Wednesday shows abnormally cool weather with low temperatures perhaps dropping below 50F and highs in the upper 60s, with fair weather. I expect Thursday to be similar but perhaps with some rebound in temperatures as a storm gathers over the Gulf of Mexico. In northern Texas, a sharp cool front will move through with chilly weather through Wednesday. Early indications for game day are similar conditions with some moderation - 40s to near 50, game time temp could dip into the 30s. Weather looks mostly fair, albeit chilly, at this point. At this time, it doesn't look like weather should play a significant role in either matchup. The "Cotton Bowl" is played at Jerryworld, not the actual Cotton Bowl anymore (which is bullshit). The Cotton Bowl is also next Friday, while the Orange is Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM 1 minute ago, canderson said: The "Cotton Bowl" is played at Jerryworld, not the actual Cotton Bowl anymore (which is bullshit). Ah, yes, you are correct. So yeah, expect comfortable indoor conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM 6 minutes ago, canderson said: The "Cotton Bowl" is played at Jerryworld, not the actual Cotton Bowl anymore (which is bullshit). The Cotton Bowl is also next Friday, while the Orange is Thursday. I agree the Cotton Bowl should be played at the actual Cotton Bowl. What BS! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM 4 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Ah, yes, you are correct. So yeah, expect comfortable indoor conditions. I think we're going, so let's hope so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:03 PM 11 minutes ago, paweather said: I agree the Cotton Bowl should be played at the actual Cotton Bowl. What BS! Or in an actual bowl of cotton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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