Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:36 PM 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Speaking of right and wrong, I am taking partial credit for getting very close on the score/points for winning and losing teams for game 3. :-) I actually thought about that at the end of the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 02:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:40 PM I ended the year with 40.45" of total QPF, just a couple inches shy of my annual average. I saw an observer near Corry on Cocorahs reported 12" of snow already -- a nice start for them on what should be a prolonged lake effect event. The southern portion of the Tug looks to cash in big as well but what's new there ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Thursday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:42 PM 34 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Final 2024 Climatology numbers from Lancaster (Millersville): MU Weather Center #December2024 ended with 3.12” of liquid equivalent precip at@millersvilleu, bringing the annual total to 36.50” (about 5” below normal). Due in large part to an unusually mild ending, temps were nearly 2 degrees above average, in aggregate. (Temp departure was for December, 2024 as a whole was nearly 5" below normal for QPF) While I am only about 3 miles ESE of where they take measurements, I ended up with 46.50" of rain. Just goes to show you how different precipitation can be in small distances. NOTE: Nearly 12" of rain in August skewed my numbers. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:00 PM Ended up the year about 33" total precip here. Closest NWS station (HGR) had 31.02 putting it right in the middle of the totals rankings from the last 5 years and almost 6" below the running mean from 1899. This was the 19th driest year in HGR history. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 03:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:10 PM No commentary on this one from me: MU Weather Center 2024 was the 2nd-warmest year on record at@millersvilleu behind only 1998. The annual temp departure was a remarkable +3.65°F. This also means that 4 of the top 5 warmest years on record have occurred in the last 5 years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:12 PM While we are doing numbers, you can note a large scale trend here as to the south portion of the area (except Hanover.) THV ended very similar to HGR with only 31.16" making it the second driest year since full stats began at THV in 1999. 6-7" below mean. There has occasionally been some question about THV's equipment but just taking what the numbers say. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:12 PM 30 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I ended the year with 40.45" of total QPF, just a couple inches shy of my annual average. I saw an observer near Corry on Cocorahs reported 12" of snow already -- a nice start for them on what should be a prolonged lake effect event. The southern portion of the Tug looks to cash in big as well but what's new there ha. At the end of the year we ended up fairly close - 42.07" in my bucket. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM MU also going slightly higher than CTP regarding snow chances: (3 means average confidence in forecast) CTP has me at 60%/50% for same time periods. Sunday night Mostly Cloudy Snow Developing 70% 24 3 Monday Cloudy Periods of Snow 70% 30 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:15 PM 12Z Icon clearly shows the potential pitfalls of the Miller B. This snow map is for both events, fyi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Thursday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:20 PM On 12/17/2024 at 10:04 AM, Mount Joy Snowman said: You're not wrong haha. But I'll leave it at this: I've tailgated in worse, much worse. 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z Icon clearly shows the potential pitfalls of the Miller B. Also shows better influence from the coastal east of mountatins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Also shows better influence from the coastal east of mountatins. Yes, that was part of what I was inferring. Someone (this time me included) gets left out of the bigger snows when the coastal takes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:22 PM ICON not too shabby.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 03:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:23 PM ICON is a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 03:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:30 PM 20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: No commentary on this one from me: MU Weather Center 2024 was the 2nd-warmest year on record at@millersvilleu behind only 1998. The annual temp departure was a remarkable +3.65°F. This also means that 4 of the top 5 warmest years on record have occurred in the last 5 years. Had to post it, did ya? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM 8 minutes ago, Superstorm said: ICON not too shabby.... der Ikon uber Alles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM 18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: No commentary on this one from me: MU Weather Center 2024 was the 2nd-warmest year on record at@millersvilleu behind only 1998. The annual temp departure was a remarkable +3.65°F. This also means that 4 of the top 5 warmest years on record have occurred in the last 5 years. I am curious as to your implication as to no commentary...? Please elaborate if you'd like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 03:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:32 PM 84 Hr NAM because why not. Solid look. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Thursday at 03:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:39 PM Here in Carlisle, my total precipitation for the year 2024 came out to 48.23". Believe it or not, I finished the year with a surplus of only 0.20" above the normal annual average of 48.03". It was a topsy-turvy year month-to-month, especially the period from July through October. I measured just 1.43" in July (2nd driest month), followed immediately the next month of August with 10.69". (I think the last time I had a 10"+ month was September, 2018). September totaled 3.24" (-1.45" departure), followed by October, the driest month I have ever recorded at any of my previous locations, with a paltry 0.42". In the end it all averaged out to close to normal for the year. The annual departure of +0.20" was only +0.4% of the normal 48.03". An incredible year! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM 10 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Had to post it, did ya? Well...it defined how the year went as far as temperatures. The historical aspect of being the second warmest ever was worth sharing regardless of one's view. 10 minutes ago, Caveman said: I am curious as to your implication as to no commentary...? Please elaborate if you'd like... Sure thing! There's been a lot of ongoing "dialogue" regarding CC and the validity of said subject. It has become a polarizing topic. I felt like by simply posting the actual numerical data, each reader can discern as much or little from it as they want. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:43 PM 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Well...it defined how the year went as far as temperatures. The historical aspect of being the second warmest ever was worth sharing regardless of one's view. I'm just saying, this one's on you lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:44 PM 19 minutes ago, paweather said: ICON is a good run. But is it a good model......??? Well for today it sure is... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM A few were mentioning their precip totals for 2024...My gauge is ~3 miles SSW of KMDT which went into the books just under 43" for the year. At our humble abode, we measured just under 42" for the year. Fairly close agreement for having throughout the year rather diverse measurements for our convective precip events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:47 PM 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: But is it a good model......??? Well for today it sure is... I'm hugging it until we find a model that gives us more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM 24 minutes ago, Superstorm said: ICON not too shabby.... I'd think many/most would take the 12z evolution in a heartbeat. I know I would. Nice to see most bigguns coming around to more norther options. Not sure I'd call it a consensus yet, but its starting to look like one is forming, and the souther whiff appears a bit less likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:51 PM 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm hugging it until we find a model that gives us more. absolutely. Regardless of how these next couple weeks work out, legit tracking has commenced and is most welcomed by many. Nice to see a couple of chances looming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM 16 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I have a feeling OSU is gonna give that work to everyone on their way to a natty. Ugh. My speculation of a PSU/OSU natty looking considerably stronger after another round of play. Anyways, on the weather front, looks like a round of snow on the way for much of Pennsylvania, particularly in the south. The 00z GFS is illustrative, showing possible snowfall over the next 144 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:56 PM at 72, nooner GFS is a tick N of 6z wrt thermal boundaries and SLP good start, how will it finish.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:58 PM 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: at 72, nooner GFS is a tick N of 6z wrt thermal boundaries and SLP good start, how will it finish.... 84 looks primed and loaded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Just now, paweather said: 84 looks primed and loaded. yep. Looking a touch N of 6z. Money panels incoming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Beauty at 96. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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