Voyager Posted December 31, 2024 Author Share Posted December 31, 2024 This is a bit more zoomed. I took it to 168 as it's still snowing past 150. Also, this is 10:1 as I don't have the Kuchera map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, no need to apologize, but do you have the Ukie Kuchera map? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Euro south this run. Not great for PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Unfortunately the Euro this run hits a wall & takes the best snow into VA & DC this run. Still not a bad spot to be 5 or 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 12z runs leave all options on the table from good snow hits from the ICON & Ukie, to light snow from the Euro to whiff from the GFS. On to 18z… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Unfortunately the Euro this run hits a wall & takes the best snow into VA & DC this run. Still not a bad spot to be 5 or 6 days out. Confluence at day 6 is over progged 90% of the time it seems. I'll be surprised if it's that strong on models come the weekend. Plus, let's see what the Eps have to say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Confluence at day 6 is over progged 90% of the time it seems. I'll be surprised if it's that strong on models come the weekend. Plus, let's see what the Eps have to say. Whereas that data come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Confluence at day 6 is over progged 90% of the time it seems. I'll be surprised if it's that strong on models come the weekend. Plus, let's see what the Eps have to say. Good points. It’s not like we are trying to will a Miller A with precip cutting off in southern VA to move up to our latitude. Most guidance has a juicy low tracking from the Tennessee Valley into the lower Ohio Valley with an established juicy precip field. I will take my chances in southern PA with this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 51 minutes ago, Voyager said: This is a bit more zoomed. I took it to 168 as it's still snowing past 150. Also, this is 10:1 as I don't have the Kuchera map. I think this would please most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 34 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 12z runs leave all options on the table from good snow hits from the ICON & Ukie, to light snow from the Euro to whiff from the GFS. On to 18z… Just checking in. Disappointing to lose the euro. But yes, spot on that we know nothing at this point except that it will probably be cold enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Do we still pay attention to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Do we still pay attention to the Euro? Our friends to the south do especially when it was showing a footing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Our friends to the south do especially when it was showing a footing. So if it fails then we can all trashcan it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Someone just posted the recent official model rankings a couple of days ago in the Mid Atlantic thread. The Euro was first & the GFS was near the bottom, worse than the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 The EPS still has a decent middle ground & puts us very much in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 44 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Whereas that data come from? Experience of being in the bullseye 5-7 days out only to get rain/mix with snow to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Where’s TCC for next week? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Oh look. CWA-wide Wind Advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 16 minutes ago, paweather said: Where’s TCC for next week? Getting ready to post my now seemingly annual synopsis of record-breaking temperatures. From what I can tell, 2024 was a record-breaker pretty much everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 12 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Oh look. CWA-wide Wind Advisory. Don't forget the traditional December Severe Thunderstorm Warnings currently out in SW PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Don't forget the traditional December Severe Thunderstorm Warnings currently out in SW PA. I wouldn't be shocked to see a tornado warning after having one in Tionesta on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 We are all nerds. Do any of you have a 3D printer by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 We are all nerds. Do any of you have a 3D printer by chance? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Winds stronger tomorrow than I thought. Should have quite a few 50+ mph gusts. All day into the evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 15 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: I wouldn't be shocked to see a tornado warning after having one in Tionesta on Sunday. Looks like a little subtle rotation showing up on radar, so a spin-up tornado certainly can't be ruled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Don't forget the traditional December Severe Thunderstorm Warnings currently out in SW PA. 3rd day in a row to hit 60 here. Flamethrower of a post Christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 3rd day in a row to hit 60 here. Flamethrower of a post Christmas Impressive! I only managed 55 yesterday and that's where I'm at today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Someone just posted the recent official model rankings a couple of days ago in the Mid Atlantic thread. The Euro was first & the GFS was near the bottom, worse than the Canadian. Imo they are all pretty trash. Did they post accuracy percentage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Despite the torch the last 2 days, MDT is holding on to a -1.6 degree departure for the month. So even when today’s above normal day is factored in, MDT will have another below normal temperature month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: Getting ready to post my now seemingly annual synopsis of record-breaking temperatures. From what I can tell, 2024 was a record-breaker pretty much everywhere. Can I say who cares. I don’t I see snow in the forecast! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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