Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[mitchnick]

9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The happy hour GFS is getting into the good stuff this run…

Understatement of the year nomination! Lol

I wanna' cry...and NOT because of traffic in Hanover!!!

[mitchnick]

Don't see this every winter.

[AccuChris]

18z GFS says “all hail the emperor of the north”


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[MAG5035]

Well if anything, that’s probably one of the best overall op runs of anything winter I’ve seen in a good while for at least another two hours. 

[Ruin]

Happy dance dont look now. Dogs and cats living together mass hysteria ruin is happy 

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

Well if anything, that’s probably one of the best overall op runs of anything winter I’ve seen in a good while for at least another two hours. 

It's only 378 hours out. Lock it in...lol

[MAG5035]

Well GFS not a one hit wonder as the 0z has another run with a big storm near the 1/8 to 1/10 timeframe. Sort of redistributes energy away from any noteable in the 1/6-7 timeframe to make for the bigger storm a couple days later (but definitely faster than the 18z storm).  Range is obviously way out there, but got to start somewhere for a storm signal. Definite potential in this timeframe. Now to see if other stuff starts seeing it (0z Canadian is a no for now) 

[CarlislePaWx]

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

It's only 378 hours out. Lock it in...lol

That snow map is showing the cumulative total for the entire run, between now and 7am January 13th.  It's a beaut, that's for sure.

[mitchnick]

Euro a big old Miller A like days of yore.

[Voyager]

So the 1/6 storm, per the 6z GFS, cuts to the lakes, then redevelops off the coast of Rhode Island. Amazing....

[Bubbler86]

54 this AM.  A dark and dank Sunday probably upcoming.   Record high at MDT is a crazy 75 today so not reaching that. 

[mahantango#1]

And all this rain talk for this weekend so far has fizzled out too.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 46 with .28” of additional rainfall. 

[Bill Mead]

Apparently some gusty winds are in our future to close out 2024

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

[Bubbler86]

Almost to 60 already.  Gust of 42. 

 

[Blizzard of 93]

3 hours ago, Voyager said:

So the 1/6 storm, per the 6z GFS, cuts to the lakes, then redevelops off the coast of Rhode Island. Amazing....

There’s lot of cold air in place by that potential event, so this run has a Warning level amount of snow for most of us, followed by mix them dry slot.

Long way to go, but that wasn’t a bad run.

[Voyager]

26 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

There’s lot of cold air in place by that potential event, so this run has a Warning level amount of snow for most of us, followed by mix them dry slot.

Long way to go, but that wasn’t a bad run.

No it wasn't, but the idea of a mix (which I abhor) kind of irritated me. Especially with the advertised cold coming. A brief warmup to 33 to 35 with mixed slop sucks. I want a nice, pure snow event.

[ChescoWx]

Most of the area has picked up nearly 1" of rain over the last 3 days. We will finish the year not too far from normal annual rainfall. Today will be our warmest day since December 11th (59.6 degrees). Many spots could hit 60 degrees! Rain chances increase again tonight before we finally see some sun tomorrow. Still mild tomorrow with highs in the low 50's before we see more rain on New Year's Eve. We then start the trend to colder days with temperatures by Friday and next weekend falling below freezing for high temperatures.

[Itstrainingtime]

2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

And all this rain talk for this weekend so far has fizzled out too.

This is a very good point and should be noted given some of the conversation over the past couple of days. Total rainfall for the weekend is well under almost all guidance and forecasts I saw. WPC had the LSV in the 1.5" contour by 7pm this evening and I'm not even halfway there.

[Bubbler86]

12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This is a very good point and should be noted given some of the conversation over the past couple of days. Total rainfall for the weekend is well under almost all guidance and forecasts I saw. WPC had the LSV in the 1.5" contour by 7pm this evening and I'm not even halfway there.

Partly sunny and 62 here.   Were it not for the crazy wind and the rain still to our west,  it would be a chamber day.

[Voyager]

20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Partly sunny and 62 here.   Were it not for the crazy wind and the rain still to our west,  it would be a chamber day.

Damn...

Overcast with a very heavy mist/drizzle and 44 here. Just about as ugly as it gets.

[Itstrainingtime]

21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Partly sunny and 62 here.   Were it not for the crazy wind and the rain still to our west,  it would be a chamber day.

57 here with partial clearing. I've only received .49" of total rainfall for the entire weekend. The actual weather has not lived up to the forecast heading into the weekend.

Well...except for the mild weather today.

[mahantango#1]

35 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This is a very good point and should be noted given some of the conversation over the past couple of days. Total rainfall for the weekend is well under almost all guidance and forecasts I saw. WPC had the LSV in the 1.5" contour by 7pm this evening and I'm not even halfway there.

Event total since Friday I have .20

[Superstorm]

There’s lot of cold air in place by that potential event, so this run has a Warning level amount of snow for most of us, followed by mix them dry slot.
Long way to go, but that wasn’t a bad run.

I thought is was a great OPS run. Although I did not look at Ensembles.


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[Bubbler86]

18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

57 here with partial clearing. I've only received .49" of total rainfall for the entire weekend. The actual weather has not lived up to the forecast heading into the weekend.

Well...except for the mild weather today.

Not at all and latest model runs are underwhelming for  both tonight (which was supposed to be an all day rain today) and possibly Tue but Tue is a Miller B so nothing ever set in stone with that.    Just .35 so far for the weekend here. 

[Itstrainingtime]

21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Not at all and latest model runs are underwhelming for  both tonight (which was supposed to be an all day rain today) and possibly Tue but Tue is a Miller B so nothing ever set in stone with that.    Just .35 so far for the weekend here. 

My temp is now 61.2 with the sun shining...

[mahantango#1]

Up to 52 here with a thick fog coming off the creek here.

[Bubbler86]

Some of the models started backing off the rains 24-48 hours ago but here is the 12Z Thur GFS for time period 90 min from now.     Drastic difference vs. radar as of now. 

 

[CarlislePaWx]

At noon, here in Carlisle it continues to be overcast.  The sun has not been out since Friday.  Yesterday I recorded 0.20" of precip; 0.19" during the overnight going into yesterday, then only another 0.01" yesterday evening.  During the overnight (today 12/29) I recorded an additional 0.05" for a 2-day storm total of 0.25".  The current temperature has risen to 55.6 degrees.  The pressure is falling rapidly, down to 29.90"  So much for the 1.5"+ previously forecast.

[ChescoWx]

Very chilly water temps off AC at only 42 degrees this AM....sea breeze has kicked in down the shore and may see temps fall back into the 40's on the beaches