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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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7 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

I mean, I could probably just cut and paste your posts from the last two winters and they wouldn't be much different aside from the time stamp. How much shoveling did you do last year? 

Plenty, I had 25 inches last year with 5 plowable events.

Last year was below normal, but not too bad overall.

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4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I would love to chill & post weather maps & talk about the upcoming pattern. 
 

But that’s apparently wish casting.

Keep posting. Even though some of these 300hr maps won't work out I think most will enjoy them and the conversation of the weather. Eventually one time, one of these maps will become a reality leaving some on this forum unprepared.

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Morning everybody, I see things are feisty in here today. There’s room for everyone, from the debbie-downers to the sunshine-pumpers and all in between.  Just as Blizz’s constant long-range map posting can annoy some, other’s have been a bit too jilted by our recent years and seem to forget just what our climo can produce. If nothing else, things look to turn sharply colder after the New Year and likely stay that way for quite some time. That doesn’t necessarily mean snow, but it’s a regime we want to see. This after a mild period with some beneficial rains to end the year. A little something for everyone. Let’s let the pattern change do it’s thing and the chips fall where they may. 
 

Low of 37 here with .38” of rain. 

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13 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Morning everybody, I see things are feisty in here today. There’s room for everyone, from the debbie-downers to the sunshine-pumpers and all in between.  Just as Blizz’s constant long-range map posting can annoy some, other’s have been a bit too jilted by our recent years and seem to forget just what our climo can produce. If nothing else, things look to turn sharply colder after the New Year and likely stay that way for quite some time. That doesn’t necessarily mean snow, but it’s a regime we want to see. This after a mild period with some beneficial rains to end the year. A little something for everyone. Let’s let the pattern change do it’s thing and the chips fall where they may. 
 

Low of 37 here with .38” of rain. 

Good morning.

With the above normal temperatures the next few days, do you think MDT will be able to hold on to a below normal month?

I think they were -3.5 through yesterday.

I’m looking forward to your calculations good sir.

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High yesterday 34 degrees and we haven’t seen the sun for a few days.

We also have a fog advisory going on this morning, currently light drizzle and 34 degrees.

My birds have slowed down feeding this week, not sure what that’s all about.

I have used my snowblower twice this season. 
Blizz keep posting your maps…Thanks

Been a tough couple years

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57 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Good morning.

With the above normal temperatures the next few days, do you think MDT will be able to hold on to a below normal month?

I think they were -3.5 through yesterday.

I’m looking forward to your calculations good sir.

Don’t think I’ll have time to do a full calculation but just glancing at things, yes we should end with a BN month, probably by a full degree or so. 

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26 minutes ago, pawatch said:

High yesterday 34 degrees and we haven’t seen the sun for a few days.

We also have a fog advisory going on this morning, currently light drizzle and 34 degrees.

My birds have slowed down feeding this week, not sure what that’s all about.

I have used my snowblower twice this season. 
Blizz keep posting your maps…Thanks

Been a tough couple years

Your post made me go back and check records as it has been more than a couple down here.  In MDT's history it has only finished under 10" of snow 6 times since 1890.  The period checked was Nov 1 through May 31.  Three of them have been in the last quarter century with two in the last 5 years.  I purposely kept the Oct 2011 snow out of this list as it would hide what was a truly terrible winter for snow.   Since the beginning of the decade (with some time Nov/Dec 2019) only one year has been decent as to snow totals at MDT.

 

image.png.4c7ec0a6a4ee2907de18f8d37c51e684.png

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9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Don’t think I’ll have time to do a full calculation but just glancing at things, yes we should end with a BN month, probably by a full degree or so. 

Concur and I would guess, without doing math, it is 1.5-2BN.  Only 4 days left to lower it.

Also, in sad new RIP Greg Gumbel.  A legend of sports.

 

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Most spots across the area picked up between 0.40" to 0.60" of rain since last evening. Here in East Nantmeal we have picked up 0.56". Some off and on showers continue through early afternoon and then rain looks like it will return late tonight through early Sunday. We will dry out a bit tomorrow before more rain returns tomorrow night. Very mild for the rest of the year as we warm well into the 50's tomorrow. Rain chances again look likely by New Year's Evening before we see temperatures chill down to normal by New Year's Day. Well below normal temperatures are likely by Thursday and Friday.

image.png.4fbb0bd5f7c50913c221f51a562abacf.pngimage.thumb.png.94e84c809b2258f5113b3f45eb44ebae.png

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@Blizzard of 93 I think I came off the wrong way, and for that I apologize. For the record, as of now count me in the "excited for January" camp. There is much to be cautiously optimistic about.

And that was the sole basis of my "slow down" comment. There's a difference between being optimistic versus making definitive statements like "next week I'm going to be shoveling" - and those are statements that you've made repeatedly over the past few years when in the end, nothing happened.

I will never speak against your excitement and enthusiasm. I write about just that in my "day in the life" entries. But the fact remains...there's no absolutes when it comes to the weather other than what's happening outside your window now.

Again, I'm sorry I contributed to this for you.

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