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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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As a bartender at a bar literally steps from our capital, with lobbyists, politicians, and workers our overwhelming customers the single best choice we made more than a year ago was a hard ban on discussing politics at the bar. Our TV is either on the food network or Sports. By doing so we created a nice little refuge which people appreciate. A place to discuss things of shared interests that bring us together. Customers and employees are much happier. There is laughter once more in the air.

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4 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

As a bartender at a bar literally steps from our capital, with lobbyists, politicians, and workers our overwhelming customers the single best choice we made more than a year ago was a hard ban on discussing politics at the bar. Our TV is either on the food network or Sports. By doing so we created a nice little refuge which people appreciate. A place to discuss things of shared interests that bring us together. Customers and employees are much happier. There is laughter once more in the air.

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I don't go to a bar to watch fuckin Julia Childs lol 

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I don't go to a bar to watch fuckin Julia Childs lol 
The shows during the afternoon are fire. ESPN at that time is just soap opera bull crap. Plus the bar is an upscale casual cocktail/wine bar in a Mediterranean small plate restaurant with stone oven thin crust pizzas. A sports bar/neighborhood bar we are not.

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The only period I’m semi-interested in for anything wintry for the time being is that wave being progged in about the 3/7-8 timeframe, which comes on the heels of what likely will be a fairly potent GL cutter that will hopefully deliver some kind of decent rainfall in the eastern half of the state. Not expecting a phasing scenario so will have to see how the wave tracks across. 18z GFS tracking similar to the 12z Euro with the GFS a bit colder. One issue I’m already seeing progged is low level and surface temps could be an issue in the lower elevations like the Sus Valley if the wave delivers any kind of respectable precip to C-PA. After that we look to moderate significantly going into mid-month as despite the NAO forecast to go negative we counter with a pretty positive EPO and negative PNA. Major strat warming over the pole and a displacement/stretching of the stratospheric PV could eventually have implications down the road for late month, but of course you need more to go right storm wise and bigger - temp anomalies with respect to normal to remain in the snow game when you get to that late in the season. 

Climo wise CTP mentioned in their AFD today that MDT finished met winter (DJF) at 31.1ºF for average temp, which was 2.2ºF below normal. Good for the coldest winter since 2014-2015. Too bad that came with only 15.6” of snowfall, which is about 66% of average to date. Worse yet in the snow dept is Philly, only at 8.1” (42% of normal). Places like the deep Louisiana bayou country, New Orleans, Pensacola, etc have technically had snowier winters with that historic storm they got. Also underscores how dry that part of the state has been this winter as well as Philly is at 2.98” total precip YTD out of an average 5.99”. Driest was 1992 with 2.19”. 

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March sees a rapid increase in our temperatures by the end of the month. We start the month with average high temperatures in the low to mid 40's and end the month in the mid to upper 50's. Following that pattern, we will see well below temperatures today and tomorrow before we rebound to well above normal by Wednesday and then fall back to near normal to close out the work week. We have an excellent shot at some much-needed rainfall this week...arriving Tuesday night and lasting until Wednesday night.

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