Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[canderson]

.01” rain wooooooo

[Jns2183]

.01” rain wooooooo

I'm praying we get 20+ rainy days the next two months

Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

[WmsptWx]

Been pouring all night here. Very nice rainfall.

[Voyager]

We got 0.14" last night, then nothing today until just a few minutes ago, so we'll have to see what the event total is later.

[mahantango#1]

.22 rain so far from this event. Overnight low was 32. I believe the ground here is finally unfrozen. The rain is not running off anymore. Yesterday when the rest of the ice was melting it was running off. Getting closer to Spring.

[CASH_COOP]

Just now, mahantango#1 said:

.22 rain so far from this event. Overnight low was 32. I believe the ground here is finally unfrozen. The rain is not running off anymore. Yesterday when the rest of the ice was melting it was running off. Getting closer to Spring.

Tried changing cups this morning at one of the courses and the first 3” were good but hit a solid frozen layer below.  

[mahantango#1]

Pic I took 2 days ago the ice is still here on the creek this morning.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of only 42 here with just a couple hundredths of an inch at most.

[Jns2183]

Low of only 42 here with just a couple hundredths of an inch at most.

I'll still take how amazing it feels this morning to have my bedroom window open all night so I wake up to the scent of rain, room in the 50s, slight breeze, while under warm blankets. The light is perfect to wake up to. So much better than the sun shining a magnifying glass at me at the crack of dawn

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

[Itstrainingtime]

28 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of only 42 here with just a couple hundredths of an inch at most.

.o1" here officially with a low of 41.

[pawatch]

Currently 39 degrees. Yesterday and today .37” of rain.

We need the rain.

Good Morning Bubb.

[Itstrainingtime]

34 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

.o1" here officially with a low of 41.

Edit: Shower rolling through, up to .03"! 

[Itstrainingtime]

28 minutes ago, pawatch said:

Currently 39 degrees. Yesterday and today .37” of rain.

We need the rain.

Good Morning Bubb.

Nice rainfall for you. As you said, so very much needed. 

[CarlislePaWx]

A mere 0.04" here overnight.  Skies getting brighter with a few breaks visible.  41.4 degrees after a low of 37.8.

[Jns2183]

We have the most boring frontal pass in the world later today.

Late night Friday into Saturday our best friend Mr Wind is back

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

[Itstrainingtime]

19 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We have the most boring frontal pass in the world later today.

Late night Friday into Saturday our best friend Mr Wind is back

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

CTP says it will be windier here tonight than on Friday night/Saturday.

That's just what my forecast shows. 

[sauss06]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

CTP says it will be windier here tonight than on Friday night/Saturday.

That's just what my forecast shows. 

greatttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt

[WmsptWx]

I was just about to comment on the wind.

[Itstrainingtime]

16 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

I was just about to comment on the wind.

What exactly was your comment going to be? 

[Voyager]

0.26" looks to be the event total.

[WmsptWx]

6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

What exactly was your comment going to be? 

I was about to call it's mother a fat whore. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

SPC AC 271002

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0402 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2025

   Valid 021200Z - 071200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   ...D6/Tue - East Texas into the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley...
   A compact mid-level low will translate east across the Southwest on
   Sunday which will result in lee cyclogenesis in the southern/central
   High Plains. As surface high pressure across the Midwest translates
   east, favorable low-level trajectories and strengthening flow across
   the Gulf and southern Plains will initiate significant moisture
   return across Texas. The initial mid-level low will weaken as it
   moves across the Plains and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley on
   D5/Monday. However, lee cyclogenesis will likely strengthen Monday
   afternoon as a larger scale trough approaches the southern Plains.
   Shortwave ridging will likely keep the dryline capped on Monday with
   continued moistening beneath the capping inversion as low-level
   moisture advection continues. 

   By 12Z Tuesday, moisture recovery across the western Gulf should be
   complete with 70F dewpoints forecast near the Gulf Coast by both GFS
   and ECMWF ensembles. Confidence in the upper-level pattern is
   increasing as the ECMWF and EC Ensembles have been consistent with
   an amplified mid-level pattern across the central and southern
   Plains now for several consecutive runs. In addition, the GFS/GEFS
   has trended toward the more amplified ECMWF solution. As the
   confidence in the overall pattern increases, the confidence for a
   significant severe weather threat has also increased and 30% severe
   weather probabilities have been added from East Texas to central
   Mississippi. While specifics will remain uncertain until the event
   draws closer, the potential for multiple rounds of severe convection
   including supercells, clusters, and likely an eventual squall line
   will likely bring a threat for all severe weather hazards including
   strong tornadoes. 

   ...D7/Wed - Carolinas into the Southeast...
   The ECMWF/ECS, which has been several days ahead of other extended
   guidance on with this upcoming pattern, has trended toward greater
   moisture penetration into the Southeast US and east of the
   Appalachians. Low to mid 60s dewpoints in the presence of a very
   strong wind field will support a large area of severe weather threat
   from the Southeast to the Carolinas and perhaps into parts of the
   Mid-Atlantic. Storm mode and specific hazards will be impacted by
   prior day convection and the overall evolution of the deepening
   surface low and associated cold front, but a great enough threat
   exists for 15% severe weather probabilities for D7/Wednesday.

   ..Bentley.. 02/27/2025

[WmsptWx]

You can go ahead and put next Tuesday down as a potential red letter day in Dixie Alley.

[Itstrainingtime]

Just now, WmsptWx said:

You can go ahead and put next Tuesday down as a potential red letter day in Dixie Alley.

Paging James Spann...

[WmsptWx]

41 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Paging James Spann...

I think this is more Louisiana and Mississippi for a tornado outbreak, but severe storms should reach as far as Atlanta and then eventually parts of MD and VA. 

[canderson]

Wind has arrived. Just had the first gust to 31 mph. 

[Jns2183]

I think this is more Louisiana and Mississippi for a tornado outbreak, but severe storms should reach as far as Atlanta and then eventually parts of MD and VA. 

We haven't had widespread severe here in like a decade

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

[canderson]

2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We haven't had widespread severe here in like a decade

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

HBG has had hail storms the last three years. I’d never had that here before. 

[Itstrainingtime]

We don't need widespread severe around here. While snow is a "my backyard" derby, I frankly don't want to see or hear of anyone's property damaged. Period. 

[WmsptWx]

Yeah I'm alright with there not being a widespread outbreak here. I was in Wormleysburg back in 2010 and we had an outbreak where Camp Hill actually used a siren. 

 

If I never have to go through that again, I'll be okay.