paweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: We are at Logan Circle now waiting for hours for the parade to start! Plenty of time for models while I wait. I did post the Euro & EPS earlier! Have a great time Blizz. Your Eagles deserved this! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I'm thinking an inch from the front-end dump down this way tomorrow, two if we're lucky. Then a period of freezing rain before it all gets washed away Saturday night into Sunday. Could be fun for a few hours around lunch tomorrow. Then comes the cold for a few days starting Monday, with all eyes on the midweek coastal. 12z looms.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 hours ago, sauss06 said: thinking a road trip to OCMD Don't need much of a reason to take off and head to the beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Chilly and breezy but dry today. Tomorrow it appears that our 12th winter event of what has been a busy winter season will arrive. Snow should begin by late morning tomorrow and change to rain by late afternoon. We could see up to as much as 2" of snow before it all gets washed away with some much-needed rain. Warmer with periods of rain Sunday before a turn to much colder by Sunday night. Dry and unseasonably cold weather this week with most of the week remaining below freezing both day and night. The potential is there for our largest snowstorm of the season....but we do not shovel potential! If the storm occurs it appears late Wednesday into Thursday will be the time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Dear Central PA Weather Morning Crew: You're welcome. Thank me now or thank me later. This place was DEAD last evening...2 completely disjointed and meaningless convos going in our 2 threads centered on alcohol prices at sporting events and something related to Texas between the Windy guy from Harrisburg and the Snow Plow Driver from Dillsburg. Yes...Texas. We were talking about Texas man, we're talking about Texas. Texas. Not the Icon. Not the GFS. We're in here talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas... Sensing this, I said to myself "you know what...you've been excited about next week's potential for a couple of weeks now. It's time to step up your game and do something about it." So, even though I needed to be in the office early, I stayed up until 1:30 this morning. I, yes I provided updates on the GFS. The GEM. The UKMET...and finally the Euro. I even posted a freaking snow map or two!!! I resurrected the threat next week after 18z went to hell. I brought it back to life. Now, let's go! Already this morning, models don't look as epic as they did overnight. Let's keep the mojo flowing here! You’re doing the lord’s work. (and thank you) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 @sauss06 - there should be a new video coming from the guy in Mammoth...they picked up 55" so far from the current storm and it isn't finished yet: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Edit: and here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sDIeaJAAjR8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 51 minutes ago, paweather said: It's a Philly party today! Wife and I were going to go, but it sounded like a mess, so we bagged it. Bummed.. Enjoy Blizz n whoever else went. Way to go BIRDS!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I'm not sure the river has stayed iced over this long since moving here. It's been impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 ICON starts things off and, while not an especially tight track, presents a pretty nice outcome.... Edit: I should also add that it throws out a decent 2-4" thump tomorrow for Harrisburg and points northeast, while bulls eying @Voyager with ~6". Pretty much an inch or less for Lanc/York/Adams etc. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12z Nam and Rgem bring accumulating snows of 1-2"+ south of the MD line for southern folks fwiw. They both bring to to most others as well, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 12z Nam and Rgem bring accumulating snows of 1-2"+ south of the MD line for southern folks fwiw. They both bring to to most others as well, of course. Add the Gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS a widespread 1-3" for tomorrow with the 2" line reaching the MD border in a number of places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: GFS a widespread 1-3" for tomorrow with the 2" line reaching the MD border in a number of places. Temps are at or above freezing so roads should be ok. Just checked as I may need to be out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Temps are at or above freezing so roads should be ok. Just checked as I may need to be out. Yeah roads should remain fine tomorrow with the midday arrival. The one caveat being that it could really thump in certain spots, as has been depicted by some models, and as we know rates can always overcome. However, those would likely be brief bursts and things would clear up quickly again. Mainly a grass event and then we watch in melt. Such a shame we couldn't flatten things out and keep those temps from spiking just a little bit more on Sunday. With that cold coming it would have been nice to keep a layer down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 As others have mentioned, pretty much all of the 12Z models so far went thumpier for tomorrow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS will slide juuuuuust to our southeast for the midweek storm. A very near miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 MU Weather Center The talk of a "major snowstorm" late next week has merit. The MJO is in Phase 8, & we'll also have a ridge in the West & west-based, -NAO. All of this *could* add up to a bona fide Nor'easter. However, you can't shovel potential! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 MU Weather Center In terms of weather, it's shaping up to be a nasty #PresidentsDayWeekend. Periods of rain will dampen the LSV Sat eve through Sun AM before ending later Sun afternoon. Due to the ongoing #drought and absence of snowpack, #flooding won't be a concern. I expect 0.75-1.50" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 CMC looking juicy early on for next weeks potential mauler. Me likes....so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU Weather Center The talk of a "major snowstorm" late next week has merit. The MJO is in Phase 8, & we'll also have a ridge in the West & west-based, -NAO. All of this *could* add up to a bona fide Nor'easter. However, you can't shovel potential! Said that many days ago. Glad he agrees w/ me.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Sigh - I literally just mentioned this yesterday, and here we go again... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: GFS will slide juuuuuust to our southeast for the midweek storm. A very near miss. With the base state that were in, I'm gonna say it..... for the GFS....right where we want it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Canadian is a bomb, an absolute 'beaut. For viewing enjoyment only..... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Canadian is a bomb, an absolute 'beaut. For viewing enjoyment only..... Not to be argumentative, but it actually looked to me like this had an opportunity to be a WHOLE lot better. The low was only about 1004mb off the east coast. It hadn't really bombed out on this run until it was gone. Edit: It definitely went nuclear after that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Sigh - I literally just mentioned this yesterday, and here we go again...lol….we are the redheads stepchildren of NWS State College.. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not to be argumentative, but it actually looked to me like this had an opportunity to be a WHOLE lot better. The low was only about 1004mb off the east coast. It hadn't really bombed out on this run until it was gone. Edit: It definitely went nuclear after that! You're not wrong. I thought the same while viewing. There was potential for more but I guess that's a good thing?? And yes, it did bomb out pretty good once it gained some latitude, as we so often see. Bottom line, big east coast snowstorm is in the pipeline and that alone is worth some measured excitement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 49 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Temps are at or above freezing so roads should be ok. Just checked as I may need to be out. We've not cancelled our event for tomorrow at 2 p.m. I trust roads will just be wet. Temps will be around 35 it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 From JB talking about gfs: give it credit. It looks like its hitting the warm advection snow tomorrow. I am still wondering if that low will wind up south of New england to hold the cold air into the interior northeast meaning one heck of a snow/ice event from NYC ( a few inches of snow then sleet and freezing rain, not rain and 50) to BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Jalen Hurts about to be introduced to Americanwx - he's going to be heading down Broad Street and wondering why this one random dude in the crowd has his phone extended high in the air, not to take pictures or video of Hurts, but instead with some mysterious map image full of blues, pinks and purples all along the eastern seaboard... 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Ukie with a nice coastal track that gives like 6-8" to us easterners and drops off as you head NW to about 3" around State College. Biggest totals of a foot around coastal NJ and DE. Still has room to be pulled in. A nice result. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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