Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS is MUCH better for the LSV. Looks like warning amounts, especially east of I81. Decent snows farther N&W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Drool-worthy New England blizzard: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Canadian is 6-12" for the LSV and an incredible 15-30" for MD/DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: GFS is MUCH better for the LSV. Looks like warning amounts, especially east of I81. Decent snows farther N&W. Canadian’s coming in looking way better as well. Good start to the 0z suite. Been waiting to see how things respond as sometimes these storms kind of go away in the models during this particular range. The ingredients are going to be there for a big storm if we can amp and phase it in time to turn it up the coast. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Ukie 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Clean sweep by the overnight major league models - Euro is a solid 7-14" for much of our area, with parts of MD, VA & DE dealing with 18-24". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 GFS, Euro, Ukmet and GEM all have huge east coast snows. Differences are where they jackpot...some to our south and some to our northeast. All of them have maxima measured in feet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Clean sweep by the overnight major league models - Euro is a solid 7-14" for much of our area, with parts of MD, VA & DE dealing with 18-24". Great trends at 0z indeed! Euro was a major storm for the LSV & it wouldn’t take much to get even higher amounts into southern PA. Here’s a look at the 0z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 This is for Saturday: Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 420 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025 PAZ049>053-057>059-142130- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0016.250215T1700Z-250216T0600Z/ Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Lebanon- Including the cities of Bloomsburg, Shamokin, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Danville, Pottsville, Sunbury, Berwick, Lewisburg, and Selinsgrove 420 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations between a glaze and one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Great trends at 0z indeed! Euro was a major storm for the LSV & it wouldn’t take much to get even higher amounts into southern PA. Here’s a look at the 0z Euro 0z EPS looks good as well! This is just the 48 hour period around the Thursday storm chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Canadian is 6-12" for the LSV and an incredible 15-30" for MD/DE. thinking a road trip to OCMD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Canadians pretty aggressive with accumulating snow down in the southern tier on Saturday. They did do well with the 1/20 storm thermals so... Gem, which is 2-3" per 5-7.5mm: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off Rgem with 1-2+" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, sauss06 said: thinking a road trip to OCMD I think you want Rehoboth, DE. Less mix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Wxrisk.com notpdsoeSri68209l97u1622auf1g4f3352h03i6t2au6022m6m4hahf6401 · WOW-- 0z FRI EURO Crushes entire I-95 corridor with Historic Snowstorm FEB 19-20. ; From RAL to BOS 1-2 feet To understand why this is happening and WHY it is LIKELY to happen you need to watch the weather video which I produced and posted on early Thursday evening. Keep in mind that I've been talking about this serious threat around the 18th to the 20th of February since JAN 27. WXRISK blue sky AND over on Twitter wxiskgrain page I made a very lengthy post about this developing threat Back on on FEB 11 . Those of you who are long-time followers of WxRisk know that I have always maintained that the huge really big East Coast snowstorms like the one we saw in December 2018 and n January 2016 (among others ) you can ALWAYS see coming 7 days out. With the big ones the upper air patterns are that predictable. For what it is worth the British model is showing almost The Identical outcome in every possible way as the European model which is always a good sign in terms of forecasting confidence and reliability. Also the operational GFS is also showing a major snowstorm from Western and Central North Carolina up into Boston New York and Southern New England. but again as I explained in the weather I do NOT use the GFS model as my primary forecast model for East Coast winter storms until we get within 84 hrs. I posted some additional maps over on the wxrisk blue sky social. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 16 this Am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 16 this Am. 23 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 End of 6z Euro looked promising for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 It was quite the interesting night on PA309 over the Blue Mountain. Last night's winds brought trees and wires down some on top of cars which shut it down for a number of hours. After it re-opened, a heavy snow squall blew through dropping about 2 inches, which caused the road to ice up, which of course caused a number of trucks to get stuck and/or jackknife, which of course closed it back down again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Voyager said: It was quite the interesting night on PA309 over the Blue Mountain. Last night's winds brought trees and wires down some on top of cars which shut it down for a number of hours. After it re-opened, a heavy snow squall blew through dropping about 2 inches, which caused the road to ice up, which of course caused a number of trucks to get stuck and/or jackknife, which of course closed it back down again. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Should there be any concern with the amount of precipitation and frozen ground and runoff that could lead to ice breaking up on smaller streams and possibly leading up to ice jams? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I think we picked up just about an inch and a half last night from the snow showers. My yard currently is a layer of snow, a layer of sleet, a layer of freezing rain, and a layer of snow. It's nice. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Great trends for next week! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
str8liner Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 32 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: I think we picked up just about an inch and a half last night from the snow showers. My yard currently is a layer of snow, a layer of sleet, a layer of freezing rain, and a layer of snow. It's nice. Same here. We got a pretty good shot of snow too. The nice thing about that layer of snow sleet and freezing rain is it takes forever to melt. Hopefully it holds on over the weekend and then the cold temps lock it in for whatever comes next week. Helps lower the surface temps. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Dear Central PA Weather Morning Crew: You're welcome. Thank me now or thank me later. This place was DEAD last evening...2 completely disjointed and meaningless convos going in our 2 threads centered on alcohol prices at sporting events and something related to Texas between the Windy guy from Harrisburg and the Snow Plow Driver from Dillsburg. Yes...Texas. We were talking about Texas man, we're talking about Texas. Texas. Not the Icon. Not the GFS. We're in here talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas... Sensing this, I said to myself "you know what...you've been excited about next week's potential for a couple of weeks now. It's time to step up your game and do something about it." So, even though I needed to be in the office early, I stayed up until 1:30 this morning. I, yes I provided updates on the GFS. The GEM. The UKMET...and finally the Euro. I even posted a freaking snow map or two!!! I resurrected the threat next week after 18z went to hell. I brought it back to life. Now, let's go! Already this morning, models don't look as epic as they did overnight. Let's keep the mojo flowing here! 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Also, there was a very heavy burst of snow at home around 1:20 this morning. Near zero visibility for a couple of minutes. Totally unexpected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I was trying to figure out why Blizz was so quiet when the runs were coming in last night and then I remembered he was perched on top of a light pole on Market Street in Philly. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was trying to figure out why Blizz was so quiet when the runs were coming in last night and then I remembered he was perched on top of a light pole on Market Street in Philly. It's a Philly party today! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was trying to figure out why Blizz was so quiet when the runs were coming in last night and then I remembered he was perched on top of a light pole on Market Street in Philly. We are at Logan Circle now waiting for hours for the parade to start! Plenty of time for models while I wait. I did post the Euro & EPS earlier! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was trying to figure out why Blizz was so quiet when the runs were coming in last night and then I remembered he was perched on top of a light pole on Market Street in Philly. He probably can't hold a laptop while trying to hold on to that greased light pole. So his responses will be limited today. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Low of 25 with .01" of additional rainfall yesterday morning. Glad to see all the positive news about overnight runs. Now we just have to keep our emotions in check for the better part of a week. What could go wrong haha. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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