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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


Voyager
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6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I walked around outside and it is 3.5-4 here.  The accums were scattershot a bit with the warm temps.   Already added about 1/4" from this round. 

I might of overestimated when Eyeballing.

2" otg

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7a obs I had 2.4” of snow from 0.20” liquid.  Still snowing lightly. 
 

never went to bed.  Doing my plowing obligations in Cashtown, Carroll Valley, and Harney MD area.   Starting to feel it 

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25 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

0Z AI QPF which would be all snow. It's a jog west from prior runs. It's a big storm and becomes a blizzard once in ENE.

qpf_024h-imp.us_ne.png

6z was a little further east unfortunately, with around .10" I would guess.

This is going to be a painful next 7 days I suspect.  

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2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

2.2" total snowfall. Overall pleased with my prediction. (guess) 

That area of snow on radar is intensifying but it's also consolidating/tightening up west of the river. Some very light snow is falling here currently.

You did better than me.  I was way too high Harrisburg and North.  A little too high for southern LSV.   But I was not going to change with every model run on this one.    Settled on 3.5" here.   A LOT of people gave up early last evening and called it prematurely. 

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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

You did better than me.  I was way too high Harrisburg and North.  A little too high for southern LSV.   But I was not going to change with every model run on this one.    Settled on 3.5" here.   A LOT of people gave up early last evening and called it prematurely. 

Happens every single time. 

I'm simply on a lucky streak. :)

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1 hour ago, AccuChris said:

Picked up 1” overnight in Lebanon


.

I'm thinking 1-1.25" ish in Akron/Litltz area.

Happy to see snow...no matter how much it stacks up.  Just hoping for an event or 2 that can stick around for a while before we close the books on whats been a pleasant surprise of a winter for me/many

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20 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

6z was a little further east unfortunately, with around .10" I would guess.

This is going to be a painful next 7 days I suspect.  

As we seem to "lose" storms upon approach, it'd be nice to eek our way into one.  Been a while since we've done that. 

Hoping Saturday can continue to trend a bit better/colder, but realize that taint/rain is inevitable.  Just hoping to minimize that as mush as possible.  

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13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

You did better than me.  I was way too high Harrisburg and North.  A little too high for southern LSV.   But I was not going to change with every model run on this one.    Settled on 3.5" here.   A LOT of people gave up early last evening and called it prematurely. 

Yes, the negative nellies were out in force last night.  I just chuckle.  

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Happy First Day of Phillies Spring Training to those who celebrate!!

Our 11th winter event of the 2024-25 winter season is in the books bringing our seasonal total to 18.9" this is only 3.8" below our normal snow through today of 22.7". Our next brief winter event arrives quickly on its heels by this evening. Some flurries may be around during the day, but steadier snow looks likely to arrive again this evening but will change to sleet and then freezing rain before a change to all rain later tonight. Temperatures will struggle to get above freezing until 11pm tonight especially in the higher spots. We should have our best day of the week on Friday before more snow quickly changing to what could be our heaviest rain event in quite a while for Saturday into Sunday. We once again turn much colder to well below average temperatures to start the new work week.

image.png.0c1214e1ee20addb6f61d2c586c55eeb.pngimage.thumb.png.2383dc89f76696eb9846b00aa663825b.png

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1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said:

This winter is complexly different then the last few. Last year at this time (if my memory is correct) The tulips were were up about 2 inches out of the ground. Not this year there is no sign of them with that inch of sleet that turned in to an ice pack on frozen ground.

ours are about 1-1.5" as of yesterday.  Happens every year at this time, no matter if warm/cold/snow/no.  I've seen them covered in deep snow, only to pop out as the sun does its thingy.  

This year has been refreshingly normal in its feel winterwise.  Happy happy.

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1 minute ago, Voyager said:

That light snow currently in Central PA just can't seem to get to Tamaqua. Even though it's movement is ENE, it's fizzleing out as it gets to I-81. Must be some serious dry air in the eastern Skook.

Whiles its shown up on the mesos/globals, it's never been modeled to make it east.  Not surprising at all.

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Nws discussion says they are uncertain about this weekend: 

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
By the weekend, another storm will approach the northeast,
though considerable uncertainty remains. An initial burst of
snow appears likely on Saturday as a weak disturbance moves
through ahead of the main system. The latest EPS mean surface
low track across Southeast PA, along with lack of a blocking
high to the northeast, would point to a mostly rain event.
However, there remains plenty of uncertainty and a slight
southward shift could result in significant snow for parts of
the area. It is worth noting that the deterministic guidance has
shifted slightly southward today and indicated the potential
for snow across the northern tier of Central PA.

Although the specifics of the weekend storm remain uncertain,
there is greater certainty in blustery and cold conditions
arriving late Sunday into Monday, as the strengthening surface
low passes east of PA. Mean EPS 2m temps currently support temps
falling into the single digits Sunday night over the NW Mtns,
along with wind chills well below zero.
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