Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[Mount Joy Snowman]

[Yardstickgozinya]

 Im in Lisburn until I walk home in a few hours. It's still snowing here nicely for no returns being close by.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

A lot of people including some "respected" mets were saying that for a big east coast snowstorm next week we should be pulling hard for this weekend's storm to cut. 

I hate today's trends for Saturday. 

I love today’s trend for Saturday!

We are in NO position to turn down any snow.

The models are finally recognizing that there is a strong block developing.

Good news to the concern about cutting on Saturday- it does cut to a certain point before it jumps to the coast.

If we’re lucky, we could get a few inches on the front end, mix/rain for a time, then switch back to a few more inches of snow on the back end as cold air is ushered back in with the final wave as the low heads up & off the coast.

There is plenty of of room & time for the potential blockbuster a few days later.

[Bubbler86]

Heavier banding setting up from Berkley Springs, across southern Franklin,  Central Adams,  and Central York.  Let's see if anything comes of this or it moves away. 

[Blizzard of 93]

I like the northern extent of precip in southern OH.

That should ride over & bring a decent period of snow to the LSV eventually.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Heavier banding setting up from Berkley Springs, across southern Franklin,  Central Adams,  and Central York.  Let's see if anything comes of this or it moves away. 

I noticed this as well. It’s just south of @Itstrainingtime and I. Curious to see if it can bulge north at all. Doubtful. 

[str8liner]

Looks to be pretty much over here. Only got 3/4 inch or so. 

[Ruin]

And it stopped for the last 15 mins no snow. Sorry to say i told you so

[anotherman]

Moderate snow here now.

[Bubbler86]

7 minutes ago, Ruin said:

And it stopped for the last 15 mins mo snow. Sorry to say i told you so

The main part of the storm is not until overnight into tomorrow.   If that does not produce then you can told us so. 

 

[Blizzard of 93]

8 minutes ago, Ruin said:

And it stopped for the last 15 mins mo snow. Sorry to say i told you so

Read more…post less…

 

[paweather]

5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The main part of the storm is not until overnight into tomorrow.   If that does not produce then you can told us so. 

 

Don’t listen to Ruin

[paweather]

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

Read more…post less…

 

Exactly and thanks for your post on Saturday never turn down snow!

[Itstrainingtime]

26 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I love today’s trend for Saturday!

We are in NO position to turn down any snow.

The models are finally recognizing that there is a strong block developing.

Good news to the concern about cutting on Saturday- it does cut to a certain point before it jumps to the coast.

If we’re lucky, we could get a few inches on the front end, mix/rain for a time, then switch back to a few more inches of snow on the back end as cold air is ushered back in with the final wave as the low heads up & off the coast.

There is plenty of of room & time for the potential blockbuster a few days later.

Matter of perspective and wants. I want a big snowstorm, not a sloppy mix that turns to rain and results in nothing much on the ground. I get the idea but in this case why give up a really decent chance of a memorable storm for this? You are positioned to do better on Saturday but even where you live it's quite possible you get very little snow.

[mitchnick]

21 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I like the northern extent of precip in southern OH.

That should ride over & bring a decent period of snow to the LSV eventually.

Just gunna post that. This radar has a wider picture. It's going to boost accumulations for sure and is probably what the models were seeing to come up with their 3"+ totals.

https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/

[AccuChris]

I love today’s trend for Saturday!
We are in NO position to turn down any snow.
The models are finally recognizing that there is a strong block developing.
Good news to the concern about cutting on Saturday- it does cut to a certain point before it jumps to the coast.
If we’re lucky, we could get a few inches on the front end, mix/rain for a time, then switch back to a few more inches of snow on the back end as cold air is ushered back in with the final wave as the low heads up & off the coast.
There is plenty of of room & time for the potential blockbuster a few days later.

Well stated. I know a lot of people want the weekend system to cut to allow more height rises next week for a more bundled system but we cannot keep kicking the can down the road waiting for “the big one”. Lets not forget a week ago the models were jumping on this weekend as the possible “big one” and now its next week. Even this current event was supposed to be much more impactful for our area and clearly it is not. I would love for this weekends event to dump a moderate amount on Saturday and have the frontal zone more towards the east coast and cut off the warm nose to our east and let the new low ride the boundary into the coastal plain. Euro is not there yet but plenty other models are starting to hint at it


.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, AccuChris said:

Well stated. I know a lot of people want the weekend system to cut to allow more height rises next week for a more bundled system but we cannot keep kicking the can down the road waiting for “the big one”. Lets not forget a week ago the models were jumping on this weekend as the possible “big one” and now its next week. Even this current event was supposed to be much more impactful for our area and clearly it is not. I would love for this weekends event to dump a moderate amount on Saturday and have the frontal zone more towards the east coast and cut off the warm nose to our east and let the new low ride the boundary into the coastal plain. Euro is not there yet but plenty other models are starting to hint at it


.

Euro not biting on the Saturday and Sunday Gfs snow threats fwiw. But Gfs has done well with today's storm insisting that heavy streak of snow in southern and central VA, so  who knows.

[Bubbler86]

Someone (like anotherman said) in the LSV is getting jacked right  now.  Thin bad unfortunately. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Someone (like anotherman said) in the LSV is getting jacked right  now.  Thin bad unfortunately. 

It ain't here, lol

I guess I'm in PSU Hoffman's camp. We're hunting big dogs and this weekend would take a miracle.

[Bubbler86]

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

It ain't here, lol

I guess I'm in PSU Hoffman's camp. We're hunting big dogs and this weekend would take a miracle.

Yea it is G-Burg to Red Lion to Willow Street to Gap.  1"/HR rates it appears. 

[Blizzard of 93]

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

It ain't here, lol

I guess I'm in PSU Hoffman's camp. We're hunting big dogs and this weekend would take a miracle.

I’m all aboard the big dog train, but I think we can score both.

[Ruin]

Didn't even get a inch lol

[mitchnick]

14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Someone (like anotherman said) in the LSV is getting jacked right  now.  Thin bad unfortunately. 

I was under it for about 20 minutes., but it's just past.

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, Ruin said:

Didn't even get a inch lol

[mitchnick]

Looks like another impulse over Miss/Louisiana  heading NE.

https://cyclonicwx.com/floater/us/ir/

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

I was under it for about 20 minutes., but it's just past.

It is moving north but not exactly "expanding". 

[Ruin]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

You can't refute it tho

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

It is moving north but not exactly "expanding". 

Back to big flakes mixing in and radar isn't indicative of it.

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, Ruin said:

You can't refute it tho

I just did and you ignored.  You are talking to the man in the mirror.

[Superstorm]

Starting to rip under that weenie band


.