Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Last run of Rap is like 4"+. Lol

 

 

[Yardstickgozinya]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Last run of Rap is like 4"+. Lol

So is my ejection. 

[Bubbler86]

Here is the kind of stuff that keeps showing on meso's.  I would consider this part of "this storm".

 

[Bubbler86]

I have to stay positive so DDweatherman does not misjudge me again

 

[Bubbler86]

Damn...

 

[Bubbler86]

11 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

 

 

That is 3-4 additional as well.  Only 1-2 on the ground at 4PM for you and West. 

[Bubbler86]

If the HH GFS has a CCB of SN++ in the LSV on Sunday (like the Icon) it is going to raise the stakes for this weekend.   Still LSV snow mid day tomorrow.

 

[mitchnick]

23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

That is 3-4 additional as well.  Only 1-2 on the ground at 4PM for you and West. 

I have 1/2" now

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

I have 1/2" now

I meant on the model...it was around 3/4" to 1" for you at 4 or 5PM.  Was comparing what it was suggesting would still fall. 

[mitchnick]

33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I have to stay positive so DDweatherman does not misjudge me again

 

It's there on Gfs

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

It's there on Gfs

4.5" at Harrisburg Saturday AM alone. 

[mitchnick]

Got to go to Harrisburg north for decent stuff on Sunday. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Wow.

Left work at 4:15, somewhere between .5" and 1" of snow with SN+ falling and all surfaces covered. Got home 35 minutes later and it's flurrying with just a light dusting here. Temp was 27 at work and it's 29 here at home. 

[canderson]

It’s virtually stopped here for now. Car hoods and mulch covered 

[Bubbler86]

Steady light snow continues here and about 1.75" now.   Radar spotty as others have mentioned.   27 degrees. 

[Voyager]

1 minute ago, canderson said:

It’s virtually stopped here for now. Car hoods and mulch covered 

Never really got started here. Just those few flurries awhile ago. It's not breaking my heart any, either. Hopefully it stays away.

[paweather]

We need the L to get to the VA capes

[Bubbler86]

Check out the projected 1PM temps for a week out on the GFS.  LOL.    That is cold.

 

[paweather]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Check out the projected 1PM temps for a week out on the GFS.  LOL.    That is cold.

 

Where is TCC? 

[Bubbler86]

The evolution of 2/20 on the 12Z is gone on the 18Z.  A souther system a day or two earlier.   I wonder how much the HH change for a much snowier Sat/Sun plays into that. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Wow.

Left work at 4:15, somewhere between .5" and 1" of snow with SN+ falling and all surfaces covered. Got home 35 minutes later and it's flurrying with just a light dusting here. Temp was 27 at work and it's 29 here at home. 

Same here, just got home to a dusting. The stuff that’s falling now is not of the accumulating variety ha. Later this evening should be our best chance to add something real. We hope. 

[paweather]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

The evolution of 2/20 on the 12Z is gone on the 18Z.  Weather souther system a day or two earlier.   I wonder how much the HH change for a much snowier Sat/Sun plays into that. 

Yeah that is my concern and the cold air to suppress the system 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

The evolution of 2/20 on the 12Z is gone on the 18Z.  Weather souther system a day or two earlier.   I wonder how much the HH change for a much snowier Sat/Sun plays into that. 

A lot of people including some "respected" mets were saying that for a big east coast snowstorm next week we should be pulling hard for this weekend's storm to cut. 

I hate today's trends for Saturday. 

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

A lot of people including some "respected" mets were saying that for a big east coast snowstorm next week we should be pulling hard for this weekend's storm to cut. 

I hate today's trends for Saturday. 

Congrats Charlotte

 

[Bubbler86]

5 hours ago, Festus said:

Cumulative GFS 200+ hr so far this season (not sure if Kuchera or 10:1 )

 

Most spot on post re: HH GFS.

[Chris78]

18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Check out the projected 1PM temps for a week out on the GFS.  LOL.    That is cold.

 

Thank goodness it's cold enough for southern VA

[Bubbler86]

3 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Thank goodness it's cold enough for southern VA

Don't worry, we know how to handle the HH GFS.    A fastball of ensemble snow means.

 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

6pm Obs: 28 with light snow falling and just under a tenth of an inch of accumulation. 

[Blizzard of 93]

30 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

6pm Obs: 28 with light snow falling and just under a tenth of an inch of accumulation. 

Same in Marysville.

[anotherman]

PSUHoffman:

For northern MD and southern PA, the h7 forcing is actually over us now. But there isn’t enough moisture transport to activate the banding. If we can just get that next wave in WV to get decent deep moisture up here tonight it’s not impossible we get a decent band. But I’m skeptical. The trajectory isn’t good.