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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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Honestly, I'm tired of those southern hits. And I  don't really care about ensembles if we're not seeing some consistent hits on the operationals. All we have is 2 runs in a row from the Gem. I expect to lose to NE. I don't expect to lose to NE, MD and VA, including the lower eastern shore of MD and Delaware. 

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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Honestly, I'm tired of those southern hits. And I  don't really care about ensembles if we're not seeing some consistent hits on the operationals. All we have is 2 runs in a row from the Gem. I expect to lose to NE. I don't expect to lose to NE, MD and VA, including the lower eastern shore of MD and Delaware. 

3-5” is decent NAM was great I thought 

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1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Honestly, I'm tired of those southern hits. And I  don't really care about ensembles if we're not seeing some consistent hits on the operationals. All we have is 2 runs in a row from the Gem. I expect to lose to NE. I don't expect to lose to NE, MD and VA, including the lower eastern shore of MD and Delaware. 

Don’t worry, we will win this weekend & next week.

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1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Don’t worry, we will win this weekend & next week.

I see and post model runs so people can see what the models are showing, but that doesn't mean I believe them. This week is looking like the 1st storm of the season barring a last minute bump north, so I  pretty much expect the short end.  Part 2 on Thursday may have more snow to start, but the AI has been showing that for many runs, and it still turns to rain anyhow.

Next weekend I have no faith in at the moment with the Gem as the current sole source of hope. As for the 20th, it's too far away for me to get excited. 

I'm not saying people can't or shouldn't be optimistic based on some stuff out there, but I'm pretty numb to all the threats right now, that's all.

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7 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I see and post model runs so people can see what the models are showing, but that doesn't mean I believe them. This week is looking like the 1st storm of the season barring a last minute bump north, so I  pretty much expect the short end.  Part 2 on Thursday may have more snow to start, but the AI has been showing that for many runs, and it still turns to rain anyhow.

Next weekend I have no faith in at the moment with the Gem as the current sole source of hope. As for the 20th, it's too far away for me to get excited. 

I'm not saying people can't or shouldn't be optimistic based on some stuff out there, but I'm pretty numb to all the threats right now, that's all.

It’s only a matter of time until we get a flush hit.

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29 minutes ago, paweather said:

Now that the game is over lol not yet but can’t wait for another round of models. Never seen Mahomes play this bad 

I think two of his worst games have been Super Bowls . He played horrible in the 21 Super Bowl also.  Jason Pierre Paul and Shaq Barrett had Mahomes on the run in that game to. 

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26 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Latest Srefs 

Now we're talking

sn10_acc-mean-imp.us_ma (1) (10).png

How's the 18z AI looking for Tuesday? Hard to tell off of pivotal.  Looks a little lighter at first but then precip ramps up Wednesday evening but is it still snow at that point? 

2m and 850s look ok but thicknesses is moving north pretty quick at that point

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