paweather Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I can't post a map right now but it looks like the 2" line runs the southern half of the southern tier counties. About 1" up your way? Thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:31 PM 46 minutes ago, paweather said: On my phone what do the snow maps have for us Blizz? 28 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I can't post a map right now but it looks like the 2" line runs the southern half of the southern tier counties. About 1" up your way? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:34 PM Major winter storm next weekend....snow to a major ice storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:37 PM 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Major winter storm next weekend....snow to a major ice storm Gem is more snow with a coastal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:38 PM Drought buster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:39 PM Euro is plain bad for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:40 PM 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gem is more snow with a coastal. Bit of a different time frame but post 'em if you get 'em. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM Just now, Bubbler86 said: Drought buster So that takes us to 2/24 meaning our AN precip month yields most of us less than 10" of snow if the Gfs is right on all scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:42 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Euro is plain bad for next week. 1-3 for the LSV on Tue. Not great but not too far off the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:43 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Bit of a different time frame but post 'em if you get 'em. Evolution is different so it's a day or so later. We know it will not be right and will join the other modeling, which ain't so hot. Needless to say, my positive attitude remains positive...positive we'll get screwed out of anything decent that is. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:45 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: 1-3 for the LSV on Tue. Not great but not too far off the GFS. I don't see anything near 3 inches for Tuesday in PA unless you're including today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I don't see anything near 3 inches for Tuesday in PA unless you're including today. 10-1 on Pivotal had near 2" at ,my place so I was Kuching it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:47 PM 2 hours ago, Ruin said: I think he means the dramatic change from 1 run to the next I’m not sure if everyone here follows JB’s posts on WxBell, but he firmly emphasizes the importance of studying teleconnections, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and historical weather events with similar 500 mb anomalies. He often notes that he cannot rely solely on models the way many younger forecasters do. Instead, his extensive experience allows him to recall past weather events across all seasons and identify similar upper-air patterns and surface maps. Given that history often repeats itself in meteorology, this approach provides valuable insights. (Analog forecasting)... From my observations over the years, JB is an excellent medium- and long-range forecaster. He is also known for his brutal honesty, particularly when addressing the inconsistencies and biases present in weather models. While I’m not here to advocate for him, I do recognize that he is a highly skilled and knowledgeable meteorologist. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:48 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:50 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: You said Tuesday, so I didn't look past 6z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:52 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: You said Tuesday, so I didn't look past 6z Wednesday. LOL, the Tue/Wed systems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Saturday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:59 PM Smh smh smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Saturday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:04 PM One thing for sure.. it's rawer than raw outside this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted Saturday at 06:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:37 PM At this point, just let Tuesday’s storm die. Hopefully that helps the next storm trend better for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:38 PM Flurries atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Saturday at 06:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:42 PM Snowing at Wegmans in Mechanicsburg. We couldn’t come Friday night like we do every week and made the mistake of coming now. Yikkkkkes it’s crowed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Saturday at 06:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:42 PM 4 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: At this point, just let Tuesday’s storm die. Hopefully that helps the next storm trend better for us. Why? I’ll take a couple of inches of snow. Might as well take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Saturday at 06:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:57 PM Precip arrived as 100% sleet. 32.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Saturday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:08 PM Sitting at 33/18 as very stray minuscule flurries have broken out. Not expecting much down this way but I do think someone like @Voyager may do okay today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Saturday at 07:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:11 PM 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Sitting at 33/18 as very stray minuscule flurries have broken out. Not expecting much down this way but I do think someone like @Voyager may do okay today. Interesting. No flurries here. My sleet lasted 47 seconds and now the sun has popped out. Radar looks...uninspiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Saturday at 07:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:16 PM 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Interesting. No flurries here. My sleet lasted 47 seconds and now the sun has popped out. Radar looks...uninspiring. I do agree radar looks shitty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Saturday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:19 PM 42 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: At this point, just let Tuesday’s storm die. Hopefully that helps the next storm trend better for us. Ruin #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Saturday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:21 PM 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Interesting. No flurries here. My sleet lasted 47 seconds and now the sun has popped out. Radar looks...uninspiring. Yeah we were actually outside loading the kids so can confirm it was all snow but as you said, it’s already stopped ha. Feels like things are going to be pretty meager for us down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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