Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[Bubbler86]

7 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

WSW hoisted for Bedford, Blair, Cambria, and Somerset counties.

WWA's (and a flood warning) from Sterling to our South (including LSV for the most part.)

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Oh, I agree with what you're saying, my only (and I feel valid) point is that fun or not, the model did slash snowfall totals. This was never going to be a 15-20" event, and that is what the GFS was trying to sell us. 

Always be wary of salesmen. 

And HR. 

Probably more so HR. 

said to a salesguy....

you CAN trust me.....

promise....lolhehehaha

[Bubbler86]

Euro is not far off from the GFS as to Storm 2 but again it is elongated and strung out so there could be more than one instance of snow. 

[Bubbler86]

Storm 3 is mostly a rainer on the Euro.   A little Ice in the wester part of the forum. 

[pasnownut]

56 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Just for fun, , Nuts week 2 "Unnamed snow storm" on the GFS.  Fluffernutter?   PuffnStuf? 

 

 

bust-a-nut ??

[paweather]

Weak Weak Weak

[canderson]

Fells like a bad 12 hours of model runs for snow next week.  

[Bubbler86]

Valentines day features chilly temps and no precip.  The next system in the west has a cutter look to it but at the surface and 500. 

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Fells like a bad 12 hours of model runs for snow next week.  

Compared to yesterday it was a major "tent down". 

[pasnownut]

Just now, canderson said:

Fells like a bad 12 hours of model runs for snow next week.  

what a diff a day makes. 

[pasnownut]

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Compared to yesterday it was a major "tent down". 

Only caveat that give me a little hope is that GFS ens twins are notably less ridgy for #3.  GEPS would argue that we get a shellacking (basing off of 500's).  Not done yet me thinks.  

[Bubbler86]

UK is still a big boy and this is 10:1

 

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

Only caveat that give me a little hope is that GFS ens twins are notably less ridgy for #3.  GEPS would argue that we get a shellacking (basing off of 500's).  Not done yet me thinks.  

No way we are done, agreed.  Just the state of the models at this moment.  

[paweather]

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

UK is still a big boy and this is 10:1

 

Well now I don't have to start the excuse meter!

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, paweather said:

Well now I don't have to start the excuse meter!

Jerruh has control of the excuse meter. 

[paweather]

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Jerruh has control of the excuse meter. 

I thought Ruin did? 

[pasnownut]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

No way we are done, agreed.  Just the state of the models at this moment.  

so maybe we put em back in holsters, but we can keep our hands on em.....

 

[pasnownut]

1 minute ago, paweather said:

I thought Ruin did? 

queuing Ruin in

3.....

2....

1....

 

[sauss06]

Just now, pasnownut said:

so maybe we put em back in holsters, but we can keep our hands on em.....

 

gotta keep your hands warm somehow

[Bubbler86]

3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

so maybe we put em back in holsters, but we can keep our hands on em.....

 

As long as you know who does not "take it out again." 

[paweather]

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

so maybe we put em back in holsters, but we can keep our hands on em.....

 

Its the same every year with models. They hype us up to only disappoint us in the end. We are now in 2025 you would think it would have changed by now. LOL

[pasnownut]

euro is gonna put the hammer down for #2 mid week mauler and rope y'alls asses 

right

back 

in

I can feel it...or is that whats in my holster?

[Bubbler86]

Just now, pasnownut said:

euro is gonna put the hammer down for #2 mid week mauler and rope y'alls asses 

right

back 

in

I can feel it...or is that whats in my holster?

Is this #2 next week...or #4 all together but #2 for the following week...or #2 after V-Day? 

[canderson]

WWA launched 

PAZ026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-080615-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T1800Z-250209T0800Z/
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-
Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Newport, Harrisburg, Lancaster, Mount
Union, Huntingdon, Lewistown, Chambersburg, Mifflintown, York,
Hershey, Carlisle, Lebanon, McConnellsburg, and Gettysburg
106 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations between one
  tenth and two tenths of an inch.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 3 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and travel disruptions.

 

[pasnownut]

5 minutes ago, paweather said:

Its the same every year with models. They hype us up to only disappoint us in the end. We are now in 2025 you would think it would have changed by now. LOL

AO at -3 deviation give me a touch of hope.  NAO now looking to go neg next week also says a little better troughing here in the east is a possible course correction that the models may latch onto in the coming days.  AO was our path to victory a few years back .

[canderson]

It’s really windy.  35 mph constant winds.  

[paweather]

Just now, canderson said:

It’s really windy.  35 mph constant winds.  

Canderson winds are howling!

[pasnownut]

taking a broader look at tellies one would still argue that ''buckle up'' is still an appropriate phrase for next couple weeks.  PNA gong slightly + also supports a broad trough (albeit low amp), but verbatim would suppress baroclinic zone a bit further south than the Op GFS is showing.  Something to keep an eye on anyways.  

Ok back to work for me.  Philly cheesteaks for us Egles fans here at work, and now I gotta sell somethin.

I hope Euro saves us all.

 

TTFN

 

[paweather]

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

taking a broader look at tellies one would still argue that ''buckle up'' is still an appropriate phrase for next couple weeks.  PNA gong slightly + also supports a broad trough (albeit low amp), but verbatim would suppress baroclinic zone a bit further south than the Op GFS is showing.  Something to keep an eye on anyways.  

Ok back to work for me.  Philly cheesteaks for us Egles fans here at work, and now I gotta sell somethin.

I hope Euro saves us all.

 

TTFN

 

What does JB say? 

[Bubbler86]

17 minutes ago, paweather said:

 

 

 

 

 

What does JB say? 

 

The weather is about to "a salt" us.