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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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19 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

NE will get an average or above winter after all. 

We have a chance to get to average or above If we score a 6 to 8 inch Warning level event next week. Follow that up with at least some front or back end snow from the follow up waves later next week/early the following week, we will be well on our way.

Then, we big game hunt when the blocking pattern sets in a little later in the month to put us over the top.

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At 11:30 my temp has gone absolutely nowhere since 7pm.  It's 32.0 degrees.  Has gone back and forth between 31.8 and 32.2, but mostly 32.0.  My dewpoint is 19.6 degrees with a relative humidity of 60%.  My wet bulb reading is currently 27.7 degrees which also has not changed either.  With these temps it will be easy to drop quickly to 30 degrees and then likely 29 degrees when the heavy precip comes in.  The anticipation continues...

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My latest NWS forecast as of 11:40pm...(by the way, they quietly extended the WWA an additional 2 hours, now running until noon)...
Tonight
Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 4am, then sleet between 4am and 5am, then snow and sleet after 5am. The sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 27. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Thursday
Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 2pm, then a slight chance of rain between 2pm and 3pm. Some thunder is also possible. High near 44. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
 
Thunder sleet anyone?:snowing:
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2 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said:
My latest NWS forecast as of 11:40pm...(by the way, they quietly extended the WWA an additional 2 hours, now running until noon)...
Tonight
Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 4am, then sleet between 4am and 5am, then snow and sleet after 5am. The sleet could be heavy at times. Low around 27. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Thursday
Rain, snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 2pm, then a slight chance of rain between 2pm and 3pm. Some thunder is also possible. High near 44. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
 
Thunder sleet anyone?:snowing:

Very nice catch. There's an impressive amount of strokes in the OHV tonight. There's two separate main clusters of convection . Ones heading ENE and another less vigorous cluster in OH and Western PA. moving ESE at this hour. Looks like these areas will converge in Western or West Central PA . When I say less vigorous, I'm only referring to the amount of lightning.  The cluster of strokes in Weastern PA.  resembles a low topped bow echo of freezing rain.

Screenshot_20250206_013410_Chrome.jpg

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31°F in Fairview Township and it was just dumping sleet here for about two - three minutes. It's back to light sleet and freezing rain. 
Pittsburgh is in the middle of a weird weather night. That lightning definitely held together and here's a quick dirty local lightning map for last 30 min. So 230-300am.

That said the airport and points downtown are mostly between 30-34 degrees.

The real funky temperatures are on the west side of Allegheny front with anyone from 1000' -1400' between 37-40. Anyway ne close by up above 1550' is still below freezing. Until you reach seven springs at 2700' and Somerset at 2300' and it's 28 there. And 29 at fort Hill at 3200

I'm just surprised there is a 5-10 degree difference for temperature for those below 1000' and above 1500' compared to that 400 foot high ribbon for those on the Allegheny ridge

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk


Screenshot_20250206_025947.jpg
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45 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Pittsburgh is in the middle of a weird weather night. That lightning definitely held together and here's a quick dirty local lightning map for last 30 min. So 230-300am.

That said the airport and points downtown are mostly between 30-34 degrees.

The real funky temperatures are on the west side of Allegheny front with anyone from 1000' -1400' between 37-40. Anyway ne close by up above 1550' is still below freezing. Until you reach seven springs at 2700' and Somerset at 2300' and it's 28 there. And 29 at fort Hill at 3200

I'm just surprised there is a 5-10 degree difference for temperature for those below 1000' and above 1500' compared to that 400 foot high ribbon for those on the Allegheny ridge

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

I dont see your map , maybe I miss understood .

I've been watching the strokes tonight more than the radar, and the storms are indeed holding it together. The storms are traversing the  Alleghenys as I write this. If these can make it over the Tuscarora, I think @CarlislePaWx will get his thunder sleet. 

 

Screenshot_20250206_033111_Chrome.jpg

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6 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Well it looks like the Susquahanna Valley will miss out on the at leat the first round of convection.  Hopefully we can get some  convection to lift across the Mason Dixon in a few hours. 

After looking at things again I don't think the flow will support my idea of convection lifting north of the Dixon or any additional convective development in the valley,  but I hope I'm wrong.

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