Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not a fan of THIS particular output. Hate riding the southern edge. I liked the output with purples well down into central VA much better than this. The 50" near Sayre is something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 UK with its chips on the table. Bloody buckle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Lots of ICE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, paweather said: Lots of ICE You know what comes after wrapped up lows like that heading to the NE? One of the colder mid-late Feb's we have had a in a while. Florida freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, Bubbler86 said: You know what comes after wrapped up lows like that heading to the NE? One of the colder late Feb's we have had a in a while. Florida freeze My 2 kids are living down there. They better buckle up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 18z HRRR is a nice sloppy glacial mess that amounts to this for total qpf...... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 February is our snowiest month of the year. We average around 13" in a normal month. Below are the greatest snowstorms in Chester and SE Berks County history since 1893. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Up to 40 here. CXY and HGR 37 or 38. Going to need some sweet DP grabs of those temps tonight with cloud cover mostly here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Up to 40 here. CXY and HGR 37 or 38. Going to need some sweet DP grabs of those temps tonight with cloud cover mostly here already. 32.7 here in NW Chesco DP 14.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, ChescoWx said: 32.7 here in NW Chesco DP 14.7 We do not have Cad defenses over here. It is actually 41 up at Blue Ridge Summit which is 1300-1400 feet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 51 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Total kuchera snow through the period on the Euro . Again, I have to ask. When is the last time the entire Commonwealth Philadelphia notwithstanding had this amount of snow on the ground? I know this is an aggregate and not for one individual storm, but I just don't see it. Am I to believe one storm will pound 80-North and one storm 80-South? Not a chance. I'll ask again: When was the last time a single snowstorm dropped more than 10" on Emporium? This would either require a doubling of that, or a storm that triples that amount. I think the next week plus is pie in the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 High today 35.6. Temp has dropped back to 34.3 with a dew point of 17.8. Overcast has varied with a bit of sun getting through, but generally no sun for most of today. I think the key to how far temps can drop after the precip gets going is the wet bulb. Mine is currently 28.6. That gives wiggle room to get below freezing by the time precip begins. My PNC from NWS this morning had for the overnight..."sleet, possibly heavy at times...". That's something you don't see often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We do not have Cad defenses over here. It is actually 41 up at Blue Ridge Summit which is 1300-1400 feet. Here's hoping we all warm up faster than modeled!! No one likes ice!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Here's hoping we all warm up faster than modeled!! No one likes ice!! I wouldn't say no one. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 MU downgrading tonight's system to .01" to .10" of ice accretion. Yesterday it was up to .15". Still forecasting a trace to 2" of sleet prior to that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 58 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Just a bit of a temperature gradient with the above storm - honestly this is kind of wild in Virginia: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU downgrading tonight's system to .01" to .10" of ice accretion. Yesterday it was up to .15". Still forecasting a trace to 2" of sleet prior to that. Sleet is one thing but FRZ with temps 29-32 just does not scare me especially since a good bit of it is during daylight. Trees get glaze but not roads so much. We get a sleet bomb then that is like a minor snow storm and roads suck. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just a bit of a temperature gradient with the above storm - honestly this is kind of wild in Virginia: Looks sort of like a Civil War Map when US Grant was getting wound up to start his march toward Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 26 minutes ago, paweather said: I wouldn't say no one. LOL. You think someone likes that garbage?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: You think someone likes that garbage?? I do. I root for maximum winter, in all its forms, at all times. Yes, I'm a psycho haha. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: You think someone likes that garbage?? Yeah I do I love winter weather that’s what this is. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Nam quite a bit earlier than GFS with snow Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 20 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I do. I root for maximum winter, in all its forms, at all times. Yes, I'm a psycho haha. 19 minutes ago, paweather said: Yeah I do I love winter weather that’s what this is. If I nor my family had to be out in it, sign me up as well. 100%. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Schools I checked down this way are going with 2 hours delay tomorrow. I doubt they close tomorrow unless modeling is understating reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 It looks like it’s gong to snow. I wish it was instead of sleet / zr. Our agency had closed all offices for Thursday - all remote work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 hours ago, WmsptWx said: Again, I have to ask. When is the last time the entire Commonwealth Philadelphia notwithstanding had this amount of snow on the ground? I know this is an aggregate and not for one individual storm, but I just don't see it. Am I to believe one storm will pound 80-North and one storm 80-South? Not a chance. I'll ask again: When was the last time a single snowstorm dropped more than 10" on Emporium? This would either require a doubling of that, or a storm that triples that amount. I think the next week plus is pie in the sky. The thing with this pattern coming up in this timeframe is it’s likely that kind of a monster swath of snow is going to materialize in some form in the aggregate sense. Perhaps not as wide, but there’s going to be a swath of big winners from this pattern. Overall as I mentioned a couple days I think it’ll be an upstate NY and New England being the biggest beneficiaries, as they’re also going to total decent snows from tonight and Saturday’s event. That doesn’t mean we can’t score a decent snow event or two. The big driver in northern PA’s big totals on the 12z Euro (about 30” of it) mostly came from the modeled long duration event that was way out in like D12 or so. To answer your question, the last time northern PA had a swath like that was the December 2020 storm. That had a band of 2-3+ feet of snow up there, including Emporium over to Renovo and on northeast. I do believe it was also the original wsptwx’s biggest ever snowstorm as well. I think our best opportunity to score a decent area wide snow event that has limited or no mixing is going to come from the thing that’s progged near mid week next week. And there’s a lot to resolve with that, but that seems like the timeframe that lines up with the boundary perhaps being low enough. Beyond I don’t quite think the pattern is going to go really cold yet and we’re going to continue to ride the line. We’re in phase 6 of the MJO right now and models are varying with the speed at which that moves into 7 and eventually the colder phases. We also have some mixed teleconnection signals coming up while we otherwise maintain -NAO/AO and have AK ridging. We’re lucky we’re in the game given the phase 6 MJO, that’s traditionally the torchiest of the torchy phases in JFM. I do still think the eventual end game this month is it will get quite cold with respect to average, but that may be more during the second half of the month. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 HH GFS storm 4 (counting tonight) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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