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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


Voyager
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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

In my observations, we typically only ever see those types of ensemble totals when there is a moderate event or two in the short term.

This is a major signal. 

Definitely a major positive.  Just remember a year or two where constant means were being posted in the MA thread, some very high, and we hardly had any snow.    But as of NOW the idea of an early spring is out the door.   Too much evidence to the contrary.  

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45 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

You did not ask me but I remember some means that were very high within the last 5 years (and not sure which model) as these maps are some of the reason people get down on LR forecasting.  I remember seeing 6-8" means south of us.    Not bad news though!

I talked to Ruin this morning and we think you guys have no idea what your talking about .  Those maps don't show the mean. 

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We could see some light snow showers moving through especially Northern Chester Berks Counties late this afternoon into the evening. Some spots may see a coating of snow. Well below normal temperatures today warm to well above normal for both Monday before it turns colder again during the day on Tuesday. This will set the stage for a wintry mess Wednesday PM into Thursday morning. We should see snow overspreading the area with a quick change to sleet and then freezing rain. Warmer Thursday and we turn chillier again by next weekend with another shot of winter weather by Saturday.

image.png.b3273cbfacd2674e32dcbedc89debd4f.pngimage.thumb.png.fdbbb104fea34a3d24e67acc854fdb98.png

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After a low of 16.3 degrees the temperature has very slowly recovered to 24.6.  Dew point has been hanging out around 10 degrees all day yesterday through the present.  My earlier filtered sunshine has progressed to a solid overcast.  Looks like exciting times are on their way back during the entire month.  I don't think MAG was talking about a snow to freezing rain scenario for the upcoming Wed/Thu system.  As depicted, 2-3" of snow followed by a light coating of ice is another great way to retain the pack.

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Same on the GFS for Thursday am 
IMG_8829.thumb.png.fb2578d1198d6b489dc5c6a4e1173717.png
We may have more of a glacier than snowpack come Valentine's day. That would definitely help out our low temperatures with any cold spells. Especially if we can get the river to freeze over again while having a light west wind over it to the kmdt station

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

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31 minutes ago, anotherman said:


I know he knows what he’s talking about, but the “sadly“ is so pathetic. Go live somewhere else if you don’t like winter.

He said something about wall to wall warmer/not cold for Feb, just going from other posts, so he is not going to like how that has changed.    March is too far out to be guesstimating IMO. 

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29 minutes ago, anotherman said:


I know he knows what he’s talking about, but the “sadly“ is so pathetic. Go live somewhere else if you don’t like winter.

A lot of people went warm/low snowfall this winter and some can't get themselves to admit in public they were wrong. Most that did, have been hanging on to the hope February will torch to bring up the 3 month average winter anomaly. 

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