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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


Voyager
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5 minutes ago, Superstorm said:


One thing I’ve learned, models useless within 12 hours of the event.

I have been fooled too many times by that HRRR thinking I was in for another foot of snow and ended up with an inch additional.


.

Yeah I agree. While I love the hunt, I really love the snow more. Done this for too long and at some point ya just gotta let it b what it’s gonna b and stop obsessing over qpf outputs.  We’ve been jipped a plenty down here so it’s nice to see one come in pretty much as advertised. 

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8 minutes ago, Superstorm said:


One thing I’ve learned, models useless within 12 hours of the event.

I have been fooled too many times by that HRRR thinking I was in for another foot of snow and ended up with an inch additional.


.

I did look to see how the 18z models did, other than the Euro, and they all had that same heavy stripe of 4-5" after 1pm that was on the 12z runs.

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Just now, canderson said:

I got about ~6.5 on pavement. So a good 2” difference. 

That was modeled pretty well I think.  Most models had you guys getting 1-3" more over there regardless of what totals they showed.   I busted real low on you guys but undercutting the models.    Congrats!  I should have stuck with my first call for you. 

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