Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[Blizzard of 93]

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Icon basically holds serve with a bit of a bump for lanco.  Icon one of the higher progs right now.

Solid run & I only have 10-1

[canderson]

5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Fantastic photo.

Yes, the ice was impressive looking out as I drove through Wormleysburg this afternoon.

Just imagine what the ice will look like after the frigid temps this week!

No doubt! 

[paweather]

5 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

He mainly posts in the MA forum since he's living down near Annapolis. 

I figured just asking thanks! 

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Solid run & I only have 10-1

 

[Itstrainingtime]

24 minutes ago, paweather said:

Is Elliott MillevilleWX where has he been 

I told you yesterday that he's on vacation.

Sorry! I thought you were referring to Elliott who is at MU

[paweather]

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I told you yesterday that he's on vacation.

Yes, I know but haven’t seen Millville and he usually post when winter storms hit. All good my thinking might be losing my mind. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Another solid RGEM run.

[Bubbler86]

Rgem another step down but still in Wsw range for most of Lsv.  Definitely behind icon now.

[paweather]

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Another solid RGEM run.

Philly game gonna be fun!

[paweather]

KC refs:

[Superstorm]

Philly game gonna be fun!

RGEM had southeastern Lanco raining yesterday.


.

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, Superstorm said:

RGEM had southeastern Lanco raining yesterday.


.

Yea it is a step up from that for us souther. .  But the big totals are pretty much all gone now. I think I saw 10"  not far from voyager a run or two ago.  

[MAG5035]

Models have generally seemed to finally hone in overall on the extent and position of the main precip shield. RGEM/HRRR remains the most robust QPF wise. Blending with the other middle of the road stuff I think most of the Sus Valley will verify the warning on the low end, with 5” amounts being common. I think some 6-8” could be had but I think they’ll be focused in some kind of a narrow swath reliant on a band or two setting up. Back in central I think advisory placement and amounts (2-4”) look good. That area coincides more with 700mb being within the DGZ (temps 12ªC falling to around -15ªC at 700mb during best precip). So if a band of snow (and good 700mb lift) gets setup early in the central counties.. they would likely see good ratios. Maybe not 30:1 but 18-20:1 type ratios. I think that’s the path to overachieving for places like State College/Altoona/Clearfield. 

So my overall accum breakdown is this:

4-6” for the Sus Valley (H-burg/York/Lancaster)

4-6” for the Laurels (not including post event additional LES/upslope)

2-4” Altoona/State College/Lewistown/Williamsport 

3-5” Bedford/Fulton/Franklin

Around 2” in and around Clearfield and T-2” above I-80 (less as you go northwest). 

[Bubbler86]

Gfs still puts the hammer down in lanco especially southern half as to snow rates.  Thunder snow opportunity down there.  Plenty of snow Adams, York as well.

[Blizzard of 93]

GFS stepped up a bit over its 18z run for most of the LSV.

[Superstorm]

GFS stepped up a bit over its 18z run for most of the LSV.

Nice run


.

[Jns2183]

Here are the entries I have as of 9PM:
Canderson 4.8" (.38)
Paweather 8.0" (.75)
GrandmasterB 5.8" (.50)
AccuChris 5.2" (.47)
Jns2183 6.0" (.49)
Itstrainingtime 5.1" (.43)
Cash_Coop 5.5" (.39)
DDweatherman 6.2" (.51)
Mount Joy Snowman (.53)
Less than 3 hours to get your guess in.

5.5"
.46

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

[Blizzard of 93]

14 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Nice run


.

0z Canadian is similar to the GFS in the LSV.

[Bubbler86]

Tik tok shutting down is nice publicity stunt for them.  Administration told them they could stay on pending Trump 

[Blizzard of 93]

2 hours ago, CASH_COOP said:

10PM Update

Canderson 4.8" (.38)

Paweather 8.0" (.75)

GrandmasterB 5.8" (.50)

AccuChris 5.2" (.47)

Jns2183 5.5" (.46)

Itstrainingtime 5.1" (.43)

Cash_Coop 5.5" (.39)

DDweatherman 6.2" (.51)

Mount Joy Snowman 6.2" (.53)

mahantango#1 6.5" (.44)

Jonesy56 3.5" (.30)

MAG035 4.6" (.37)

I’ve seen too much over the years at MDT…

Put me down for 4.9” & .39 precip.

[WmsptWx]

Bradford county the only county in the entire state without a headline (HWO). That's crazy. 

[CASH_COOP]

 

Canderson 4.8" (.38)

Paweather 8.0" (.75)

GrandmasterB 5.8" (.50)

AccuChris 5.2" (.47)

Jns2183 5.5" (.46)

Itstrainingtime 5.1" (.43)

Cash_Coop 5.5" (.39)

DDweatherman 6.2" (.51)

Mount Joy Snowman 6.2" (.53)

mahantango#1 6.5" (.44)

Jonesy56 3.5" (.30)

MAG035 4.6" (.37)

Blizzard of 93 4.9” (.39)

PghPirates27 4.2” (.42)

[PghPirates27]

What about me? lol. Just kidding all. In butler PA just checking in, love the snow been reading your thread all week. hope someone cashes in with this one. Should  stay around with the cold coming right behind. Hope you don’t mind me barging in.

[Blizzard of 93]

0z HRDPS short res Canadian looks good for the LSV as well.

[Blizzard of 93]

13 minutes ago, CASH_COOP said:

Update

Canderson 4.8" (.38)

Paweather 8.0" (.75)

GrandmasterB 5.8" (.50)

AccuChris 5.2" (.47)

Jns2183 5.5" (.46)

Itstrainingtime 5.1" (.43)

Cash_Coop 5.5" (.39)

DDweatherman 6.2" (.51)

Mount Joy Snowman 6.2" (.53)

mahantango#1 6.5" (.44)

Jonesy56 3.5" (.30)

MAG035 4.6" (.37)

Blizzard of 93 4.9” (.39)

lol, you forgot @WmsptWx putting down a T for MDT

[PghPirates27]

12 hours ago, CASH_COOP said:

I was thinking about putting together a snowfall contest for HIA like I’ve done in the past.   Guess the official snow amount at airport and use qpf as a tie breaker.   If interested in submitting a guess, “like” this post so I can gage if it’s worth putting together.   

4.20” on .42 QPF

[CASH_COOP]

9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

lol, you forgot @WmsptWx putting down a T for MDT

He didn’t want 6.9”.  That will probably be the amount 

[CASH_COOP]

10 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said:

4.20” on .42 QPF

Updated to include your entry.  

[Itstrainingtime]

8 minutes ago, CASH_COOP said:

Updated to include your entry.  

Thank you for organizing this. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Best Euro run yet for the Harrisburg area.