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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


Voyager
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Liking the nooner GFS progression as it keeps a lot of NS influence here in the east, and while we have perfected the science of getting jipped, without the NS-cold conveyor, it gets exponentially more difficult, so I'm chalking that up as a win.  need to see how the ENS's look, but verbatim cold stays here of close by. 

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1 minute ago, canderson said:

River is iced over in the city 

seeing lots of ice on streams/ponds.  Been a while since that has occurred.  Kid at hockey last night was getting excited at the prospect of ice fishing in the near future.  My mind always goes to grumpy old men movie.  

 

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1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

seeing lots of ice on streams/ponds.  Been a while since that has occurred.  Kid at hockey last night was getting excited at the prospect of ice fishing in the near future.  My mind always goes to grumpy old men movie.  

 

I rewatched that a few nights ago. Still great! 

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1 minute ago, canderson said:

I rewatched that a few nights ago. Still great! 

That sounds like a good idea.  My wife is away on a congratulatory retirement beach weekend for one of our friends, and I may just do that (around the football games mind you).

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18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just back from a pleasant lunchtime walk along the river below Washington Boro. Amazing how quickly the river iced over during the past 24 hours. Yesterday morning the channel was 100% clear. 

What a brutal walk with this wind that had to be 

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11 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Just picked up my daughter from preschool and I have some breaking news.  It is cold out; like really F'ing cold.  I don't care how bright the sun is.  I don't know what the temp is and don't want to know.  I just know this:  winter is in full swing.

You're soft. It's 31 degrees. Great day to be walking along the river. :)  

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4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

You're soft. It's 31 degrees. Great day to be walking along the river. :)  

as an avid outdoorsman, proper layers is the key to extended stay outdoors.  I LOVE anything wool.  Wore my Woolrich (yep...red plaid that were likely made in the 50's) for 5 days of being afield during post turk day trip up into the northern hinterlands of NC Pa.  Temp stayed between 14-27 entire time.  Not a complaint from me was heard.  Love my wool.  

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1 minute ago, Superstorm said:

What I have learned, everyone has a different threshold of what cold is to them.

 

1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

And you're a maniac, you damn polar bear  :lol:

This really is true. My parents lived in Alaska for years and while I did not, I think I definitely have my dad's tolerance for cold weather genes. After the great 1978 Blizzard I remember him outside in a tee shirt. I joined him. Mom had other ideas and insisted that I get all bundled up...when I got back outside, dad told me that I was to shovel the bottom of our driveway. That was out of sight to mom. :) 

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3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

as an avid outdoorsman, proper layers is the key to extended stay outdoors.  I LOVE anything wool.  Wore my Woolrich (yep...red plaid that were likely made in the 50's) for 5 days of being afield during post turk day trip up into the northern hinterlands of NC Pa.  Temp stayed between 14-27 entire time.  Not a complaint from me was heard.  Love my wool.  

Very true! Truth is, if I was going to be outside on a day like today for an extended period of time OR sitting at a football game, I would layer up. By far the best and most comfortable way to go. 

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Here’s the 15z NBM,

image.thumb.png.6c65249e729a727017f0f563e896119c.png

CTP’s initial snowfall forecasts are following that fairly close so far. That covers the whole duration of the event through the rest of the NE and such. So the blend that makes up the NBM is quite pessimistic on that broad area of light to moderate accums getting on the other side of the Apps except for that stripe thru VA and the Delmarva associated with the coastal currently. We’ll see if it eventually improves a bit like some of the op’s did today for the area. Either way, definitely a shame this system can’t amplify at least some. That is a huge expanse of accumulating snowfall from Texas thru the Ohio Valley. 

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2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wagons slightly south on 18Z HRRR.    Holds a better surface reflectivity of the SLP heading toward us but has a slightly lower push of qpf to the East side of this forum. 

I think pretty good consensus has emerged to where those of us in the LSV can expect to wake up to anywhere from roughly .5 to 2.5 inches of snow Saturday morning, with the best chances for upper-end totals residing in the western parts of forum.  I'm setting the over/under for KMJS at a flat one inch.

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12 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

I think pretty good consensus has emerged to where those of us in the LSV can expect to wake up to anywhere from roughly .5 to 2.5 inches of snow Saturday morning, with the best chances for upper-end totals residing in the western parts of forum.  I'm setting the over/under for KMJS at a flat one inch.

thats my bar over east of ya.  

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