Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 11:44 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:44 AM I would mind to keep stacking light to moderate events as we wait for a flush hit of hopefully at some point this month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 11:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:47 AM 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The Saturday system doesn’t look to have the upside that a few random model runs showed. The 6z Euro & GFS both have an Advisory level, event 2 to 4 inch type of event for many of us on Saturday. We have also seen these type of systems go either way over the years. The low could slide further east & miss us. But, it could also juice up just a bit & deliver a 3 to 6 or so type of event with a decent track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 12:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 PM 31 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: We have also seen these type of systems go either way over the years. The low could slide further east & miss us. But, it could also juice up just a bit & deliver a 3 to 6 or so type of event with a decent track. That's what I'm hoping for and is likely the top end. I don't like how the Eps keeps jackpotting the MD/DE eastern shores. I'm a firm believer of persistent seasonal patterns and since they were jackpotted yesterday, it wouldn't shock me if it happens again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM I'm putting yesterday in the books at 2.5" as we added an additional .5 with the little round that came through last evening. Right now everything continues to get covered back up with the wind. Its pretty chilly out right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 01:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:11 PM Low of 20 overnight in Maytown. Nice to both see and feel winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted yesterday at 01:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:30 PM I didn't realize/ or forgot until i started writing notes of the snow for yesterday, that last year we had 5" on January 6th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM 21 minutes ago, sauss06 said: I didn't realize/ or forgot until i started writing notes of the snow for yesterday, that last year we had 5" on January 6th Yeah, you guys did better than us Lancaster folk with that one. I only had 2.3", as the snow switched to sleet and then copious rain, totaling 1.2" QPF. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 PM 58 minutes ago, sauss06 said: I didn't realize/ or forgot until i started writing notes of the snow for yesterday, that last year we had 5" on January 6th Biggest event of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 02:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:29 PM The battle of the winds war is on! NWS has slightly less winds tomorrow than today and even calmer on Thursday...MU, however, is channeling his inner Lee Corso (#notsofast) Edit: CTP does have Thursday being the windiest day. Apologies. MU Weather Center @MUweather NW wind gusts will reach 35 mph tomorrow & 40-45 mph Thurs. Highs will be around 10°F below average through the end of the week with overnight lows in the teens & low 20s. Wind chills will be stuck in the single digits & teens until Fri PM. Dress in layers, bundle up & #StayWarm! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted yesterday at 02:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:30 PM Hey @Bubbler86 check out the GFS vs Euro/NAM/Canadian/MS Paint models for Dallas tomorrow and look how much warmer GFS is compared to every other guidance. It's wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted yesterday at 02:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:31 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: The battle of the winds war is on! NWS has slightly less winds tomorrow than today and even calmer on Thursday...MU, however, is channeling his inner Lee Corso (#notsofast) MU Weather Center @MUweather NW wind gusts will reach 35 mph tomorrow & 40-45 mph Thurs. Highs will be around 10°F below average through the end of the week with overnight lows in the teens & low 20s. Wind chills will be stuck in the single digits & teens until Fri PM. Dress in layers, bundle up & #StayWarm! Thursday will be windier than today, seems certain. Then Saturday we might get even stronger depending on that storm evolution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM We ended up with 2.8" of snow yesterday in East Nantmeal for the season we now stand at 6.1" which is 84% of normal snow to date. Windy today with some areas of blowing snow today (like on my road in Chesco). Dry through Friday with temperatures slowly moderating to within a couple of degrees of freezing. Snow chances increase on Friday night into Saturday, but this looks like no more than a moderate event despite what some are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted yesterday at 02:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:40 PM 8 minutes ago, canderson said: Hey @Bubbler86 check out the GFS vs Euro/NAM/Canadian/MS Paint models for Dallas tomorrow and look how much warmer GFS is compared to every other guidance. It's wild. HMM, I see upper 30's to near 40 from the GFS and mid to upper 30's from EC and Nam? 18Z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted yesterday at 02:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:48 PM 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HMM, I see upper 30's to near 40 from the GFS and mid to upper 30's from EC and Nam? 18Z tomorrow. Hm maybe I looked wrong (was on my phone so possible!). It looked like there's a shot of cold air showing up on other models the GFS doesn't bring down. Regardless, Thursday is going to be a bad day in North Texas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM 11 minutes ago, canderson said: Hm maybe I looked wrong (was on my phone so possible!). It looked like there's a shot of cold air showing up on other models the GFS doesn't bring down. Regardless, Thursday is going to be a bad day in North Texas. i told my boss since PSU will be playing later Thursday, Friday i was calling for a 2 hour delay, no morning Kindergarten He wasn't amused 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM 12 minutes ago, canderson said: Hm maybe I looked wrong (was on my phone so possible!). It looked like there's a shot of cold air showing up on other models the GFS doesn't bring down. Regardless, Thursday is going to be a bad day in North Texas. They're under a Winter Storm Watch and the best part of it is the official forecast: (this is quite clearly the rage of this winter!) Wednesday Night A 20 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Increasing clouds, with a low around 28. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Snow showers likely, possibly mixed with sleet before noon, then snow showers. High near 35. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Thursday Night Snow showers. Low around 29. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Friday A 20 percent chance of snow showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. North northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted yesterday at 03:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:05 PM 5 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i told my boss since PSU will be playing later Thursday, Friday i was calling for a 2 hour delay, no morning Kindergarten He wasn't amused He was pissed that you still used the old No Morning Kinder info! If you had said modified he would have accepted! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted yesterday at 03:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:24 PM Something was wonky with the 12z NAM. Texas had basically no winter weather on its run and is completely opposite of the 12z RGEM and its prior runs. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted yesterday at 03:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:38 PM 12 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Something was wonky with the 12z NAM. Texas had basically no winter weather on its run and is completely opposite of the 12z RGEM and its prior runs. RGEm also had 4 SLP's at 78, so me thinks its having a bit of trouble figuring out where this pops. i'll root the norther one on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted yesterday at 03:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:40 PM 14 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: @Chris78 hopefully you scored nicely over the last 2 hours. I have some elevation over you but have to believe you got 1/2-1"? Was able to add another inch from the ULL. We were eating dinner up in Waynesboro around 6pm when it really starting coming down good. Ended with a total of 4.25. Respectable but a little underwhelming considering what the American short range models were showing. Hopefully Saturday ends up being a nice advisory level snow to freshen up the pack. I think the window is closing on the bombs the gfs has shown at times but sign me up for a nice 3 to 5 incher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted yesterday at 03:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:52 PM 8 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Was able to add another inch from the ULL. We were eating dinner up in Waynesboro around 6pm when it really starting coming down good. Ended with a total of 4.25. Respectable but a little underwhelming considering what the American short range models were showing. Hopefully Saturday ends up being a nice advisory level snow to freshen up the pack. I think the window is closing on the bombs the gfs has shown at times but sign me up for a nice 3 to 5 incher. Congrats. Underwhelmed for many of us, so we get it. Agreed abt this weekend. If we can get a refresher, it'll be nice. Pattern showing signs of relax beyond week 2, so maybe when that happens we score something notable. Not sure where we go beyond that but if MJO gets to 3 w/ other tellies as modeled, wouldnt be great for "pack retention". I'll just enjoy the next 2 weeks and see where we go from there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted yesterday at 03:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:55 PM 54 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i told my boss since PSU will be playing later Thursday, Friday i was calling for a 2 hour delay, no morning Kindergarten He wasn't amused Let's just say my boss knows not to bother me too much Friday morning haha. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM Not many noticeable changes on the 12z GFS, with the LSV still on the western periphery. Storm development and track pretty similar to prior runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted yesterday at 04:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:02 PM 12z GFS snowfall for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted yesterday at 04:03 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:03 PM 38 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Something was wonky with the 12z NAM. Texas had basically no winter weather on its run and is completely opposite of the 12z RGEM and its prior runs. . That SW trough must be why. People this week have given CTP a rough time but my god good luck to NWS Ft Worth and Shreveport the next 36 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted yesterday at 04:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:05 PM 2 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 12z GFS snowfall for Saturday . Close to being good for a bunch of us. Wouldn't take a huge adjustment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted yesterday at 04:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:06 PM Just now, anotherman said: Close to being good for a bunch of us. Wouldn't take a huge adjustment. Be nice if we could get the adjustments we used to get often around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted yesterday at 04:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:10 PM Pre-Nooners: Moderate snow and 20°F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:11 PM 8 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 12z GFS snowfall for Saturday . Wheres the 100 mile bump when you need it....oh the good ol days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:12 PM Sounds like JB has given up on the weekend storm producing much if anything in Pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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