Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:19 PM 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Peter Mullinax Getting light snow in parts of northern MD as we are caught between 850mb FGEN in central MD & 700mb FGEN in central PA. That 700mb in particular sports a deep DGZ & increasingly saturated RH area. It's making for an area of subsidence along the Mason-Dixon & southern PA for now. AKA dryslot. 700 Meso 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Monday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:21 PM You see these two wicked bands juuuuust to our north and south right now? I can't quite snag one of those. Still snowing decent. Got one….. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Got one…. . Damn you. Is it coming down good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM 31 minutes ago, paweather said: Places to our north are getting rocked. This shows you how the models once again didn't portray a northern aspect to the storm. This shows how forcing is often part of the challenge, as I suggested the other day (and its known by most), one doesnt have to be in the jackpot qpf, to be able to maximize potential in areas of best forcing (700's and isothermally). We are seeing just that in central/norther pa. May not be a big win, but to be in the game and not on bench is good enough when livin on the edge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Monday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:31 PM Mod snow 23 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Monday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:33 PM Damn you. Is it coming down good?Moderate snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:36 PM I think the 500 low is in SE Ohio right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:37 PM Back to mod snow here. We're going to have snow of varying intensity all day into the night, but not too much that you can't go out in it. Absolute win in my book. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 02:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:38 PM Really rippin here in etown. Just need this for the next few hours or my 3" min is in trouble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Monday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:42 PM I just took a look at the radar and saw two things: there's a huge gap of nothing about to reach my area; easily the northern third up by Williamsport is getting the goods. Incredible! Anyway, like so many of you in the last hour I also measured exactly 2.0" on the board. Also, no grass is visible, so that's a win. Rates have dropped off to just a light, very fine snow that maybe accumulates 0.1" per hour (lol). Temp is 22.8 degrees. I love snow when it's well below freezing. I'm wondering if the passage of the 500 later today will give us another burst? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Monday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:43 PM Just went to heavy snow.23F. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Monday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:44 PM @dcfox1 - what do you have up on top of the hill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Monday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:50 PM It just occurred to me that if the snow is fine enough the radar doesn't pick it up at all. So, maybe the big "nothing" is really some snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:50 PM 7 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Just went to heavy snow. 23F . I hope my backyard in akron is under same band 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:54 PM 3 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: It just occurred to me that if the snow is fine enough the radar doesn't pick it up at all. So, maybe the big "nothing" is really some snow falling. On this radar view you can see some of the forcing in N Central PA is collapsing back a bit. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Virginias-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:56 PM nice to see nooner NAM showing backfilling as 500 vort pass occurs later. Mood snow for much of the day is fine w/ me. edit. most mesos look decent for rest of the day mood snows. Win. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Monday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:58 PM My Uncle in Lewes, DE reported to me that he had 9" when he measured at 9:30am. He had 2" in the previous hour. They live less than a mile from Cape Henlopen State Park. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:01 PM 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: My Uncle in Lewes, DE reported to me that he had 9" when he measured at 9:30am. He had 2" in the previous hour. They live less than a mile from Cape Henlopen State Park. wife headed there this weekend with gal pals. She told me to shussh last night when I spoke of the weekend biggin potential. Sounds like sheel have snow otg no matter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Monday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:09 PM 10am Obs: 24/22 with light snow falling and 1.9" of accumulation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Monday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:09 PM Here in Carlisle at 10:00, the temperature is 23.4 degrees with a dew point of 20.8 degrees and a wet bulb of 22.6 degrees. Nearly the entire previous hour the snow fell very lightly with fine flakes. During the past hour I measured an additional 0.1" of snow with a storm total of 2.1". As I am typing this the rate has picked back up again and the flake size has increased nicely. I'd estimate the rate to be 0.2" to 0.3" per hour. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 03:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:13 PM @Chris78 the latest HRRR rocks us after dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 03:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:13 PM Just now, Bubbler86 said: @Chris78 the latest HRRR rocks us after dark. I saw this, hope its right. Please? ULL's can be boom or bust sometimes, but if we got precip to fire and get over us, I'd like our chances to get some 15-20:1 type fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Monday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:14 PM Just now, Bubbler86 said: @Chris78 the latest HRRR rocks us after dark. Hope it's correct. I ended up with about 3" from round 1. It's great but a little underwhelming considering what the American short range models were showing yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted Monday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:16 PM 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @dcfox1 - what do you have up on top of the hill? Right around 2". Been mainly light snow. 23/21 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 03:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:18 PM 7 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I saw this, hope its right. Please? ULL's can be boom or bust sometimes, but if we got precip to fire and get over us, I'd like our chances to get some 15-20:1 type fluff. 6 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Hope it's correct. I ended up with about 3" from round 1. It's great but a little underwhelming considering what the American short range models were showing yesterday. Yep, would not bet any money on it can still track and hope. We are close to 4" here with several measurements. Elevation probably helped with the extra precip dumping as it climbed the mountain. Still a bit underwhelming to me as well after trends late yesterday. The post plow snow hill was quite high so almost all laid on the streets. 3K too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Monday at 03:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:34 PM Big surprise models got it wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Monday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:37 PM Man, the radar has really collapsed for the LSV, even earlier than I thought it would. Certainly looking like the under is going to easily hit on my 3.5" estimate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Monday at 03:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:38 PM 3.2” light snow 21F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Monday at 03:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:42 PM Just now, Ruin said: Big surprise models got it wrong Models are nothing more than tools that comprise what a good met has at his/her disposal. There were good forecasters in your area that were calling for 1-3". Seems like not such a bad call right now. Models are prone to inaccuracy. The ones who were really wrong? How about the people that slammed CTP for not issuing a Winter Storm Warning for certain areas that only have about 2" on average with not a whole lot more to look forward to? It's not over yet (we'll see what happens later on) but it seems highly unlikely that York and Lanco are getting 5" from this. Seems to me that CTP had our area right. Again. And I'm sure for the next storm, they'll be taken to the woodshed prior to the storm even happening again. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Monday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:45 PM 7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Man, the radar has really collapsed for the LSV, even earlier than I thought it would. Certainly looking like the under is going to easily hit on my 3.5" estimate. That has been modelled so its clearly an option. Looks like later on things start back up a bit. Well we hope so anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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