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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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12 minutes ago, paweather said:

12z GFS says what rain to snow? :weep:

Queues up Bryan Adams..."cuts like a knife". 

As suggested earlier, the reshuffle is gonna need to reshuffle before we can get something more than backdoor cold fronts....until then...meh.

A tidbit of hope is that I was parsing over the Enso thread earlier to see how things have evolved in the last few weeks, and I'm not at all terrified by what I read.

But with MJO heading into maritime phases, neg AO w/ slightly +pna still has a zonalish look to it.  Oh and the NAO notably + doesnt help either.  Just sharing what i see and what me thinks we have to look forward to in next couple weeks.  Hoping I'm way off my rocker...

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1 hour ago, paweather said:

12z GFS says what rain to snow? :weep:

The one thing I will say about the GFS is that we never go full on frontal torch.  May get into the 60's next week but shallow troughs keep rolling through and cooling down the area so that the eb and flow of the ridges coming through do not make it too warm.    With that said, this look is not cold in my definition so lots of 40's and 50's for highs.    Getting literal there is only one day (after today) that MDT stays below 40 through Dec 20th. 

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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

The one thing I will say about the GFS is that we never go full on frontal torch.  May get into the 60's next week but shallow troughs keep rolling through and cooling down the area so that the eb and flow of the ridges coming through do not make it too warm.    With that said, this look is not cold in my definition so lots of 40's and 50's for highs.    Getting literal there is only one day (after today) that MDT stays below 40 through Dec 20th. 

Yeah we can probably close the books on Cold Snowy Weather for December. 

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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

26 this Am as Team Warm gets their goods pushing 40's today then 50's and 60's for a few days. 

I see Nothing anywhere close to 60 on my point & click this week.

Maybe 2 days near 50…

Monday
Rain, mainly after 7am. High near 42. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. 
Monday Night
A chance of rain before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. 
Tuesday
A chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
Rain. Low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday
Rain likely before 1pm, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 34.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 36.

 

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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

What a frigid first week of December at MDT. 
-7.2 month to date below normal with an average temperature of 31.6.

IMG_7834.jpeg

I would love to see some stats on where this ranks for the first week of December in Harrisburg recorded history.

If only TCC would bother to look into cold stats…I’m sure DuBois has had a cold start to the month as well…

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7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I see Nothing anywhere close to 60 on my point & click this week.

Maybe 2 days near 50…

Monday
Rain, mainly after 7am. High near 42. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. 
Monday Night
A chance of rain before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. 
Tuesday
A chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
Rain. Low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday
Rain likely before 1pm, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 34.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 21.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 36.

 

This is AI generated.  I expect two days of 57-62ish with one of those coming early in the day...a MJS overnight high. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

I would love to see some stats on where this ranks for the first week of December in Harrisburg recorded history.

If only TCC would bother to look into cold stats…I’m sure DuBois has had a cold start to the month as well…

 

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I would love to see some stats on where this ranks for the first week of December in Harrisburg recorded history.

If only TCC would bother to look into cold stats…I’m sure DuBois has had a cold start to the month as well…

1989 had a cold start, then boom it went the other way.

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